Southeast England & East Anglia, Weather Chat...July 1st 2015...

[NO LONGER POSTING]

My goodness. So near yet so far! As VillagePlank says, hopefully later....

 

Lightning Sun 20.35.jpg

As I thought, the winds currently don't favour it, perhaps like you said later anf tomorrow early morning

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

Any thoughts as to when/if I might reasonably anticipate sferics this far north in the region (please see my profile for my location)?

[seaside 60]

Well I see Calais has been blockaded again and 3 ferries stuck outside.

I reckon they have a pretty good light show to keep them awake or to stop the boredom.

[lassie23]

It's raining here, wet rain too, unlike yesterday's errrrrrr not so wet rain. Warm and muggy out and in. My lawn has been transformed from a dry, yellow patchy one, to a green, wet patchy one. Surely those northerlies this week won't bring frosts as far south as the tropical capital. If so, my tomatoes are screwed. Got dark at 8.15pm today, double :cray:

Edited August 30, 2015 by lassie23

[Blessed Weather]

As I thought, the winds currently don't favour it, perhaps like you said later anf tomorrow early morning

 

These cells seem to be on a more favourable trajectory. Will they be lighting up your back garden later!

 

21.00 

[slater]

Two days of cloud and fed up already looks like 3 tomorrow with cold wind and rain, it's a summer bank hol for f**k sake. Feel so sorry for all the local traders on the east coast tomorrow. Iv just looked at my records and the past 5 years not had one decent summer bank holiday yet. In fact I have recorded better sunshine hours on Boxing Day than a August bank holiday just goes to show how poor they really are.

[suffolkboy_]

Two days of cloud and fed up already looks like 3 tomorrow with cold wind and rain, it's a summer bank hol for f**k sake. Feel so sorry for all the local traders on the east coast tomorrow. Iv just looked at my records and the past 5 years not had one decent summer bank holiday yet. In fact I have recorded better sunshine hours on Boxing Day than a August bank holiday just goes to show how poor they really are.

 

August Bank Holiday 2013 was very warm, if not hot! The only reason I remember it so well is that I had my new car hit into on the way back from the beach. I had only had it a day and a dosy twonk on his mobile rear ended me. I sat out waiting for the AA to recover my car for 3 hours and got sunburnt.

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

It would appear from NWx radar that our region may be affected by the arc of cells just off the coast of Normandy.

[Blessed Weather]

It would appear from NWx radar that our region may be affected by the arc of cells just off the coast of Normandy.

 

Yes, looking that way chrisbell. 

 

Rainfall 22.00  Lightning 22.10 

[suffolkboy_]

Yes, looking that way chrisbell. 

 

Rainfall 22.00 Rainfall Sun 22.00.jpg Lightning 22.10 Lightning Sun 22.10.jpg

 

I wouldn't be so sure. The storm that passed through the Chanel to the south of Kent started to the west of Le Havre, and missed mainland UK completely. This one is in the same place roughly, so wouldn't be surprised to see it take the same track. Run the radar loop back over the past 2 to 3 hours, it's all circling that flabby low to the south.

 

Hope i'm wrong of course!

Edited August 30, 2015 by suffolkboy_

[chrisbell-nottheweatherman]

Yes, looking that way chrisbell. 

 

Rainfall 22.00 Rainfall Sun 22.00.jpg Lightning 22.10 Lightning Sun 22.10.jpg

 

On the latest radar frames, it appears that the PPN is weakening.

Edited August 30, 2015 by chrisbell-nottheforecaster

[VillagePlank]

Well, GFS model seems to have nailed the primary areas of precipitation that we are currently observing,

 

 

Rolling it forward, it looks like the heaviest, and most widespread, precipitation around 6am tomorrow; almost certainly nothing this side of midnight.

 

Edited August 30, 2015 by VillagePlank

[Harps]

Wet night in west London with intermittent rain and drizzle, thunderstorms still hundreds of miles away so doesn't look like we'll see anything here

[VillagePlank]

Euro4 doesn't look so good:missing out the stuff to our direct SE: it has, however, picked up on the stuff leaving Normandy. According to this model, almost all over by 6am tomorrow morning,

 

 

Humidity seems to have really risen quite dramatically here in Rochester over last hour or so. It feels still, close, and stormy: plenty of chance for homegrown stuff still.

[VillagePlank]

Having a good look at things, for Medway, looking at rain starting just after midnight, with all the chances of thunderstorms that brings. More likely between 1am and 5am, in my view. There's a chance of second dip with the cluster just crossing Jersey, now, but not sure that it'll be thunderstorms by the time it gets to Medway.

[Blessed Weather]

Looking like a few storms will make it into Kent and Sussex.

 

23.15 

[snowrye]

Had a few strikes nearby but nothing great yet,still looks like the main band is following the same path as the others,hope im wrong

[k66yla]

Some big lightning flashes to my south and some rumbles. Just started to rain

Edited August 30, 2015 by k66yla

[snowrye]

A few more and some nice thunder to boot,but still the msin action is in the channel,its like the french are blockading the storms as well,cmon france unleash it please,here stormy stormy,come to daddy

[Essexgooner]

Just went outside and saw several distant flashes of lightening across the water, and as I type a rumble of thunder  

[VillagePlank]

Flashes observed but no thunder heard ... yet!

[Snow Queen one]

Raining here now big flashes and some distant thunder too. Here Comes the light show for this eve.

Edited August 30, 2015 by Snow Queen one

[Paul Ashford]

Ashford - Thunder and Lighting, a few drops of rain

[VillagePlank]

Distant thunder heard now, too. Started to rain

[barmybint]

Rumble of thunder in the distance. Here's hoping for a proper storm