Southeast England & East Anglia, Weather Chat...July 1st 2015...

[Daniel*]

That big mass is slowly heading NE, not NW towards the UK.

Definitely not heading NE it looks like only extreme SE is in with a chance say Margate - it is taking a more NNW turn thus East Essex are in with a shout here.

Edited August 13, 2015 by Daniel*

[VillagePlank]

Outflow boundary to spark further cells to west of this storm? God to push the mass 50 miles west? I can clutch straws like the best of 'em.

[Biggin]

You're interfering with my straw-clutching

I can't possibly allow facts or observation to get in the way.

No I think you are right. The band north of London  is swinging in a NW direction. This new band will also circulate the low anticlockwise ie NWesterly for a time.

[seaside 60]

Main cells seem to be further east now and pos only easy kent and suffolk getting main hit.

However Village I think your best straw clutch is home grown ones later tonight.

[loopydreamer]

Dammit... I was getting so excited. Now Medway are going to miss out?

[Lauren]

Dammit... I was getting so excited. Now Medway are going to miss out?

 

From that bad boy in North France at the moment, yes. I'd say it won't even be a Kent clipper. But homegrown is always a possibility.

[VillagePlank]

I don't know guys: the cloud still looks SE - even though the rain might be heading in a different direction (a consequence of outflow boundaries, and the clouds are just not big enough to precipitate, yet)

 

Here's the sat pics,

 

[loopydreamer]

I'm supposed to be packing for the holiday... getting a bit distracted at the moment... lolol

[VillagePlank]

Main cells seem to be further east now and pos only easy kent and suffolk getting main hit.

However Village I think your best straw clutch is home grown ones later tonight.

 

I think it's going to be Madam Secretary then bed for me

... and note the cluster around Paris: that's certainly got Medway/Kent's name on it,

 

Edited August 13, 2015 by VillagePlank

[VillagePlank]

And just to demonstrate that I am considering all possible straw-clutching scenarios, I've found this bad-boy. Must be about the size of Wales,

 

 

It might be here next week sometime.

[weathertoski]

Decent tower has gone up to my south-east. Picked up nicely on radar too...

[Daniel*]

It is heading towards Clacton

Far SE may be left with the light rain being the extreme western extent of the mass unless it changes course fast certainly inbound for the UK.

[VillagePlank]

The rain might be heading of to Norway but the storm mass is still advecting Kent bound,

 

 

 

[Azores Hi]

I've got the anvil in sight here.

[Rain123]

We had a few distant rumbles earlier. Those storms in NE France may clip the extreme east. 

[VillagePlank]

Met Office still going for heavy rain in Medway,

 

[10 Days Away]

More interested from an IMBY perspective on the blob around Le Harve. Not electric yet but has potential

[VillagePlank]

More interested from an IMBY perspective on the blob around Le Harve. Not electric yet but has potential

 

Still plenty of interest,

 

Circled just suddenly appeared, which looks a bit weird, and the odd polygon is all heading towards the SE

 

[snowrye]

Huge storm in northern france,sadly it looks like heading out into the north sea,cmon swing south easterly and give us some fun

[VillagePlank]

Huge storm in northern france,sadly it looks like heading out into the north sea,cmon swing south easterly and give us some fun

 

One would expect it to swing a little west,

 

 

But even if it does, now, it's only North Kent, Essex etc. More likely is that it's going to go it's own way directly north into the North Sea. I am out of straws to clutch. Just a slight one - more like a fragment of hay, than a straw proper - is that outflow boundaries appear to have been observed, and therefore the cloud mass which is coming our way is building, just not precipitating, yet; but will do soon.

 

That's a bit of a long shot, though.

Edited August 13, 2015 by VillagePlank

[snowrye]

Drooling over blitzortung,why oh why does the north sea have all the fun,absolute waste of a fantastic storm

[VillagePlank]

Forgetting about the blob from Belgium,

 

 

The circle looks promising, the square less so.

[VillagePlank]

Me feeling a little like this, now,

 

 

:sorry:

[k66yla]

Well I have to say I didn't enjoy that storm at all this morning. In 27 years of delivering the post I've never been so scared (apart from massive spiders). Almost constant lightning for about 2 hours and torrential downpours. Thought I was going to get fried.

[VillagePlank]

Met Office still going for heavy rain in Medway,

 

 

I suppose the sun had best go in soon, given that there's only 29 minutes to go to 6pm. 90% chance of rain at 8pm: maybe that's the Paris blob.

Edited August 13, 2015 by VillagePlank