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Storm & Convective Discussion - SPANISH PLUME - 30/06/15 onwards

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tomp456 Seasoned

tomp456

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

Absolutely scorching here, not a cloud in the sky. Still looks as though we are too far south for any storms today, which is a shame since later on today the cape values are huge! 

A long way to go yet though! Good luck everyone

All that energy is being wasted here. It's completely overcast now

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted (edited)

Tony Gilbert on UKWW forecast update for today...

 

attachicon.gifrisk copy.jpg

And as people have recognised it says from 13z-0z therefore it storms seemingly begin early this is promising!

 

Channel beginning to see some action again too!

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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BA Baracus Enthusiast

BA Baracus

Posted
  • Location: Liversedge, West Yorkshire ASL : 74m
  • Location: Liversedge, West Yorkshire ASL : 74m
Posted

Approaching 30C in Leeds with some more noticeable clouds to the west.  Very, very sticky out there.

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Thunderbolt_ Experienced

Thunderbolt_

Posted
  • Location: Failsworth, Manchester - alt: 93m
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunshine and thunderstorms. Mild in winter.
  • Location: Failsworth, Manchester - alt: 93m
  • Author
Posted

Tony Gilbert on UKWW forecast update for today...

 

attachicon.gifrisk copy.jpg

 

So according to that, I'm at risk of a tornado at 16:00? Somehow I don't buy that, to be honest...

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MrNooo Enthusiast

MrNooo

Posted
  • Location: Ampney Crucis, Nr. Cirencester
  • Location: Ampney Crucis, Nr. Cirencester
Posted

A couple of very large Cu-Nim's seen to my North, building very very rapidly, sure to be some action under them shortly, circa 15-20 miles away

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ThunderBuddy21 Explorer

ThunderBuddy21

Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: calm and cold (im brontophobic)
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
Posted

It is raining. It is wet.

It's blobbing

Im in my garden and o can't feel rain! Weird

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fazer76 Apprentice

fazer76

Posted
Posted

I was quite disappointed as previously it looked as if there was big potential Friday midday, however it has reduced the northward extent of the instability allowing overnight imports and potential in eastern areas Saturday too.

This always subject to change. 90F plus temps here and over the channel is a heady combination. Much to play for and as always storms are mighty difficult to predict, no better example than today as isolated cells developed from nothing.

All eyes towards France Thurs/Friday on.

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Costa Del Fal Experienced

Costa Del Fal

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
Posted

Storm rapidly developed in the Cotswolds.

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toggerob Veteran

toggerob

Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
Posted

So according to that, I'm at risk of a tornado at 16:00? Somehow I don't buy that, to be honest...

 

The tornado risk comes from any surface-based convection which will have a uplift speed of 25m/s, no guarantee that any tornadoes will occur but given the environment any that potentially do have the risk of being potent.

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted (edited)

34'c Heathrow at 11:30? Like come on when is that ever possible!? Got a feeling it'll reach 38, half a degree of the all time record...

Edited by Ben Sainsbury
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ChezWeather Experienced

ChezWeather

Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
Posted

Just like that! Storm out of nowhere NW of Oxford. Good signs for us that are abit further south than the main risk zone 

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted

Sun got itself back out now, still mid level altocumulus everywhere though

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted

Storm over the Cotswolds has Derby in its sights if it can survive :)

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Panayiotis Seasoned

Panayiotis

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
Posted

Stuck in muggy cloudy skies here, need that sun to come out!

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Carl46Wrexham Rising Star

Carl46Wrexham

Posted
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
Posted

So according to that, I'm at risk of a tornado at 16:00? Somehow I don't buy that, to be honest...

It'll probably be one of those mini ones. Get low to the ground, you might just hear it squeaking along!

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Carl46Wrexham Rising Star

Carl46Wrexham

Posted
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Wrexham, North East Wales 80m asl
Posted (edited)

Does anyone have too much sun at their location and want some cloudy relief?

I have ample cloud cover, and will swap you.

Edited by Carl46Wrexham
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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted

The key period is supposed to be 16:00 onwards, so to see storms breaking out now, especially south, is good news for us up here.

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Arnie Pie Accomplished

Arnie Pie

Posted
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
  • Weather Preferences: Columus Bigus Convectivus
  • Location: Birmingham, Harborne 160 asl
Posted

Storm over the Cotswolds has Derby in its sights if it can survive :)

If so.....Via Brum :)

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SalopWatcher Enthusiast

SalopWatcher

Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow, Floods...
  • Location: Shrewsbury
Posted

That storm that went up over the Stow on the Wold was not on the radar at 11.05 and was going mental by 11.40.... its about the fourth/fifth storm that's developed from nothing within in around half an hour today (Lancaster, Knighton, west of Newcastle, and one in scotland)... just shows, that anywhere could suddenly see something like this develop very quickly. 

 

They have all been quite short lived thus far today though. 

 

East Birmingham next in line for the Stow on the Wold storm if it hold together. Derby does look good if it lasts, its growing to the east... 

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Daniel* Maestro

Daniel*

Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
Posted (edited)

It is 34C which is exceptional especially before midday relatively clear skies it is so hot and humid everyone is wilting this lis ike being in Florida.

Edited by Daniel*
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Mesosphere Contributor

Mesosphere

Posted
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Warm summer evenings
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
Posted (edited)

Rapidly developing cells in the Scottish Borders now heading North. Two cells appearing on the V4 radar, one approaching Edinburgh from the south, the other East Lothian/eastern borders 

Edited by Mesosphere
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