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Storm & Convective Discussion - 01/06/15 onwards

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William Grimsley Seasoned

William Grimsley

Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
Posted

The problem we have here is that everywhere now across SW England it is feeling awfully muggy but not everyone experiencing this will get something, that's my worry. :/

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A.J Maestro

A.J

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland
Posted

Looking on the V4 Netweather Radar. There looks to be a huge crop just over the channel

yes, but they're exclusively for devon and cornwall, more especially south devon....It looks like my home town of Brixham will get hit well tonight

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sunnijim Seasoned

sunnijim

Posted
  • Location: Saltdean,Nr Brighton,East Sussex,Hither Green,SE London.
  • Location: Saltdean,Nr Brighton,East Sussex,Hither Green,SE London.
Posted

Where does it say that?

check post 1445 from Chris K.
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Chris K Rising Star

Chris K

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
Posted (edited)

For those asking regarding the SE....from the blog I have linked twice above.

 

"Isolated thunderstorms are possible from Thursday, but they will become more likely and potentially more severe by Friday afternoon, with some locally torrential downpours possible, especially for parts of southeast England"

 

This is taken from the Met Office Global Model. So like I said earlier, many areas of S England are in for a chance and yes some will be disappointed because it's often a hit & miss situation. Hopefully less so this time!!

Edited by Chris K
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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

Might be me, but the storms look further east than forecasted over France and seem to be pepping up on the eastern edges more so.

Any strong cells that do form tend to travel slightly east of the mean 500hpa direction also, supercellular storms more especially.

Pure nowcasting this

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sunnijim Seasoned

sunnijim

Posted
  • Location: Saltdean,Nr Brighton,East Sussex,Hither Green,SE London.
  • Location: Saltdean,Nr Brighton,East Sussex,Hither Green,SE London.
Posted

Might be me, but the storms look further east than forecasted over France and seem to be pepping up on the eastern edges more so.

Any strong cells that do form tend to travel slightly east of the mean 500hpa direction also, supercellular storms more especially.

Pure nowcasting this

Given what you say perhaps thats why the M.O are calling for the severest storms to be across SE England tomorrow then,that would be on the Eastern extent of precipitation.

Simuler happened last Friday with the most extreme conditions just over the Water in Belgium.

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Karl83 Community Regular

Karl83

Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Heat Waves, Tornadoes.
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
Posted

Its all kicking off nicely in France. Some lightning now in Jersey. A sign of things to come for many!

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted

Funny how we get reports of how humid it is, yet it's not expected to rise signficantly until later this evening, in to tonight. 

It's only at 55% here, feels fine in this wind.

 

post-15177-0-24210300-1434036343_thumb.g


Given what you say perhaps thats why the M.O are calling for the severest storms to be across SE England tomorrow then,that would be on the Eastern extent of precipitation.
Simuler happened last Friday with the most extreme conditions just over the Water in Belgium.

 

As i put in a post earlier today; "Dorset and Wilthsire eastwards, south of the M4" are the words used by the MetO. Quite promising sj! :)

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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

Funny how we get reports of how humid it is, yet it's not expected to rise signficantly until later this evening, in to tonight. 

It's only at 55% here, feels fine in this wind.

 

attachicon.gifcgicurrentgraph.gif

 

Yep it's not actually particularly humid at all. DPs are only just into double figures in many areas. The juicy air gets in through tomorrow morning, with DPs widely around 16/17c, maybe even 18c in a couple of places.

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Dean E Community Regular

Dean E

Posted
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
Posted

Funny how we get reports of how humid it is, yet it's not expected to rise signficantly until later this evening, in to tonight. 

It's only at 55% here, feels fine in this wind.

 

attachicon.gifcgicurrentgraph.gif

 

Was literally just about to mention this, currently at 54% down here on the South Coast, yesterdays cool breeze is much more pleasant compared to yesterday.

 

Clear us in the UK haven't felt 20+c heat since last summer, so will feel hot I guess!  :D

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stainesbloke Maestro

stainesbloke

Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
Posted

Might be me, but the storms look further east than forecasted over France and seem to be pepping up on the eastern edges more so.

Any strong cells that do form tend to travel slightly east of the mean 500hpa direction also, supercellular storms more especially.

Pure nowcasting this

Yes, the eastern edge of the stormy mass seems to be developing quite rapidly. Makes me think most of the South at risk not just the SW.

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stevofunnelcl Aficionado

stevofunnelcl

Posted
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: storms - of the severe kind
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
Posted (edited)

Whoops.. never mind, it's back up

 

Well that's just great !!

 

http://www.lightningmaps.org/realtime?lang=en

 

Has stopped plotting recent lightning strikes

 

Typical, it would have to go down now

Edited by stevofunnelcl
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boogercj Rookie

boogercj

Posted
  • Location: Newton Abbot, South Devon
  • Location: Newton Abbot, South Devon
Posted (edited)

If it helps, I'm just about to light the BBQ...Should upset the weather gods sufficiently, or at the very least create some very localise convection  :D

 

EDIT: It's just started raining. Bl**dy typical. This rain better have lightning with it!!

Edited by boogercj
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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted

For those folk looking to chase tonight and during tomorrow and wondering where to watch from, you might wish to bookmark the following topic and follow the recommended inside knowledge of vantage points in your area.

 

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/83325-storm-viewing-vantage-points/

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Dean E Community Regular

Dean E

Posted
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
Posted

For those folk looking to chase tonight and during tomorrow and wondering where to watch from, you might wish to bookmark the following topic and follow the recommended inside knowledge of vantage points in your area.

 

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/83325-storm-viewing-vantage-points/

 

Great shout there GTLTW! Great to see my local vantage point of Portsdown Hill on the list, literally perfect for Channel Storms! 

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Karl83 Community Regular

Karl83

Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Heat Waves, Tornadoes.
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
Posted

If we go by the EURO4 then we may not see anything storm wise until later on Friday eve.

 

post-15744-0-37962300-1434038675_thumb.g

 

What time is the next EURO4 run out?

 

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Nick L Maestro

Nick L

Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
Posted

If we go by the EURO4 then we may not see anything storm wise until later on Friday eve.

 

attachicon.gif15061221_1106.gif

 

What time is the next EURO4 run out?

 

Within the next hour or so.

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sparky1972 Community Regular

sparky1972

Posted
  • Location: spalding, sth lincs
  • Location: spalding, sth lincs
Posted

i have a feeling that although the met office has us in the warning area i dont think we will see anything stormy, a very strong easterly componant to the wind keeping it fresher and will prob keep the storms further west.

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