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Chase Day 19 Discussion - TX/OK/KS/CO


Paul Sherman

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Starting the day in Childress (Tx) and it looks like a few targets are becoming apparant today, will drift north up Highway 6 and watch that dryline, HRRR Breaks out convection quickly again within the 19-21z timeframe. Not great Upper support but an increase in low level winds later this afternoon could be a player. Hoping for at least some Supercell structure!

 

Here is hoping for a decent day today!

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Posted
  • Location: Wickham, S Hampshire, UK
  • Location: Wickham, S Hampshire, UK

Hi Paul

On a number of occasions this season, including yesterday, HRRR has IMO a westward bias (possibly slightly incorrect modelling of DL placement and moisture axis). I might suggest basing your target on a position about 50 miles east of the first initiation progged by HRRR.

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Posted
  • Location: Aylesbury
  • Location: Aylesbury

Tough balance between wind fields and CAPE today. From the comfort of my living room I will virtually sit in Pampa, TX today. Hopefully the large CAPE will do the trick. Might be a late one for a tornado threat though.

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Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

I haven't looked where the team are yet, but with a quick ganders at the models, my virtual starting position today is in the OK panhandle - say Beaver -it has a nice ring to its name. Now to look at the Obs and see how wrong I am, lol.

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Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
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Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

Loving the storm that has quickly grown and become severe warned that the team are chasing. Shot up to 45000ft as well!

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Posted
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire

Loving the storm that has quickly grown and become severe warned that the team are chasing. Shot up to 45000ft as well!

 

Gone Tornado Warned apparently.

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Posted
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire

Mike Olbinski is just east of it, reckons its getting a hook on it. :D

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Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

It's got a fairly strong couple - cant see the tornado warning yet. And I think that the teams GPS isn't working - for me at least.

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level

It's got a fairly strong couple - cant see the tornado warning yet. And I think that the teams GPS isn't working - for me at least.

same here have not moved for a while still showing just south of wheeler 

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Posted
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire

Think the team are near Canadian.

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Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

Tightening up now on radar.


Does anyone else have the radarscope app?

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Nearly Down then - Stunning funnel half way to the ground

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Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

It keeps trying. Come on - you can do it!

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Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

I have a feeling it will get tornado warned very soon....

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Posted
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire

Look at the top on that.. From Dominator 2... 

 

TnKAClW.jpg


From the NW Stream, theres definitely a lowering...

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Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

Best stream of the tour - lovely funnel

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level

amazing come on nearly there

 

lifted looks like its trying again

Edited by Boro Snow
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Posted
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire

This looks awesome. 

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Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

Obviously tor warned now!

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

We have another lowering, can she do it this time

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Posted
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire

cox3dmN.jpg

 

Its trying...

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