Yorkshire and Lincolnshire - Weather Chat

[Cheese Rice]

10 minutes ago, snow*please said:

Ok well now I have got the face on, meto have removed my lovely snow symbols from early hours of Sunday morning.

All this up and down and for what! Where is the coldies reward for putting up with a week or so of shockingly confused outputs  

Well I would hope you been on a weather forum you would also make use of plethora of data available to you on Net Weather and meteociel.

 

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2016/01/15/basis18/ukuk/prty/16011618_1518.gif

 

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2016/01/15/basis18/ukuk/prty/16011700_1518.gif

 

EURO4 is an upgrade though the feature looks and light in nature.

[Sara_south_yorks]

39 minutes ago, Cheese Rice said:

Well I would hope you been on a weather forum you would also make use of plethora of data available to you on Net Weather and meteociel.

 

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2016/01/15/basis18/ukuk/prty/16011618_1518.gif

 

http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/euro4/2016/01/15/basis18/ukuk/prty/16011700_1518.gif

 

EURO4 is an upgrade though the feature looks and light in nature.

I would love nothing more than to gain the knowledge and be able to actually read the models and everything else available to me, I just really don't know where to start and in all honesty I doubt it would go in if I tried. 

Thanks though  

[Barking_Mad]

So a large upgrade with the latest run. Led to an amber warning from between 11am Saturday through Sunday,with 1 to 3cms at low levels. 5-10cms at elevations. Although this isn't reflected in the BBC's graphics which show cloud all day. Same for Met Office. 

Edited January 16, 2016 by Barking_Mad

[Barking_Mad]

In fact it's quite amusing to see how much it can change if you flip between the GFS previous run and latest run charts. Massive difference between the runs. 

[LeeSnowFan]

1 hour ago, Barking_Mad said:

So a large upgrade with the latest run. Led to an amber warning from between 11am Saturday through Sunday,with 1 to 3cms at low levels. 5-10cms at elevations. Although this isn't reflected in the BBC's graphics which show cloud all day. Same for Met Office. 

Just as I said yesterday to someone

The change on an hourly basis and day by day!

 

This morings GFS is an upgrade for some

 I expect it to change later today and also T24

 

 

[LeeSnowFan]

Lovely Red Sky here

 

"Red Sky in the morning, shepherds warning"

[cowdog]

I really hope the snow comes today, I am probably in the best spot for it in the region given I am on the edge just it keeps switching and changing a LOT e.g. now due to come this afternoon / evening when yesterday it was due Sunday morning.

 

Also we really need it come as expect Snow pictures on the TV come Monday if it plays out as its looking to as the Midlands and South East are going to be pasted on Monday yet we won't see a darn thing from it if the models are right (maybe South Yorkshire / Lincolnshire). Just checked the GFS and that is showing snow for us, but at this range its not really that reliable.

 

Temp didn't drop as much as expected here last night, only down to -2.8c, which is what its still at now.

Edited January 16, 2016 by cowdog

[Kentish Snowman in Yorks]

Looks like an extension of the cold spell in Yorkshire this morning based on the Met Office outlook with temperatures not rising above 3c until at least Thursday now.

It wouldn't take much movement from that front coming down from the Northwest to dump a few centimetres of snow in Western areas of our region tonight either...

[LeeSnowFan]

1 minute ago, Kentish Snowman said:

Looks like an extension of the cold spell in Yorkshire this morning based on the Met Office outlook with temperatures not rising above 3c until at least Thursday now.

It wouldn't take much movement from that front coming down from the Northwest to dump a few centimetres of snow in Western areas of our region tonight either...

Even the week ahead forecast I just watched showed that snow moving southwards tonight but they said "Unsure how it's going to "Develop"

A case tonight of lamppost watching

[Kentish Snowman in Yorks]

7 minutes ago, cowdog said:

I really hope the snow comes today, I am probably in the best spot for it in the region given I am on the edge just it keeps switching and changing a LOT e.g. now due to come this afternoon / evening when yesterday it was due Sunday morning.

 

Also we really need it come as expect Snow pictures on the TV come Monday if it plays out as its looking to as the Midlands and South East are going to be pasted on Monday yet we won't see a darn thing from it if the models are right (maybe South Yorkshire / Lincolnshire). Just checked the GFS and that is showing snow for us, but at this range its not really that reliable.

 

Temp didn't drop as much as expected here last night, only down to -2.8c, which is what its still at now.

Yes despite the cold spell having now established itself I am yet to record an air frost!

Lowest temperature was 0.2c the night before last and the temperature is still holding up at 0.5c as I type.

Edited January 16, 2016 by Kentish Snowman

[summer blizzard]

Complete capitulation from the GFS0z. Postcode forecast still has me at 0C on Thursday.

Also suggests snow today and Monday. 

Current radar has the precipitation down as far south as Northern Ireland but only as far east as Glasgow so can't be sure of snow yet.

[SouthYorks]

25 minutes ago, LeeSnowFan said:

Just as I said yesterday to someone

The change on an hourly basis and day by day!

 

This morings GFS is an upgrade for some

 I expect it to change later today and also T24

 

 

Comparing GFS, Arpege and Euro4 precipitation forecast to latest Radar image, I would say the models have probably underestimated the Eastward extent of the precip.  Precip is already into Scotland. rather than over Scottish Islands, and heading SSE, so I think we could be in with a chance as long as it stays on the same track.  Meto forecast also just updated showing light snow for Barnsley from 18.00 today.

[cowdog]

On checking the radar and its currently east of its predicted position, maybe by as much as 50 miles. Its also got a not insignificant band of snow in front of it which if it makes it this far (its past Glasgow at moment) should be here about midday at a guess, if it survives.

Edited January 16, 2016 by cowdog

[summer blizzard]

West Yorkshire for the the win.

 

Edited January 16, 2016 by summer blizzard

[Barking_Mad]

Certainly looks a tad further East when comparing gfs to radar. 

[yorkieblade]

Just looking at the national BBC graphics on their latest video forecast , it's showing the snow line to be around the Pennines , looks like Sheffield might just miss out , depends how Far East the front gets, I usually back the BBC as they use Meto \ MOGREPS data , funnily enough it's the cold air that we need in that will stall the front pushing East, but we have had some severe snow in these set ups before, window watching from around 18:00 then.

[Barking_Mad]

Nooooo. To the east, to the east.  - - - >

[Kentish Snowman in Yorks]

5 minutes ago, yorkieblade said:

Just looking at the national BBC graphics on their latest video forecast , it's showing the snow line to be around the Pennines , looks like Sheffield might just miss out , depends how Far East the front gets, I usually back the BBC as they use Meto \ MOGREPS data , funnily enough it's the cold air that we need in that will stall the front pushing East, but we have had some severe snow in these set ups before, window watching from around 18:00 then.

I think it will be as far South as Yorkshire by early afternoon.  Lets just hope it goes further East!

[LeeSnowFan]

It does seem to be moving further east which is good for us

[tayzi]

My fellow Barnsley colleagues...have you ever noticed on predicted snowfall charts Barnsley is always on the border, no matter which way ...so today we are borderline east/west even when coming from other directions we are on the borderline.  I know its as we sit next to the Pennines  just so frustrating...why cant we just have a big blob smack on top of us?  Whinge over 

Edited January 16, 2016 by tayzi

[LeeSnowFan]

Interesting

Edited January 16, 2016 by LeeSnowFan

[tayzi]

8 minutes ago, LeeSnowFan said:

Interesting

Lee have you just made those up to prove my theory wrong ?

[LeeSnowFan]

hahah I promise Ive not

[Cheese Rice]

It looks knife edge for us in West Yorkshire. We'll see. 

[Barking_Mad]

Those two charts would be nice.