Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Spring/Summer 2015.

Polar Maritime
 Share

Recommended Posts

Milhouse Seasoned

Milhouse

Posted
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Spanish plumes, hot and sunny with thunderstorms
  • Location: Keyingham, East Yorkshire
Posted

I like how high pressure seems to force its way through on the latest GFS 12z later on in the week. Almost like its been shut out for far too long so 'its my turn now!'.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted

It very much deserves it's turn now! Hopefully this developing plume event at the start of August is just the beginning of something better... :)

 

Agree with a post by Thunderbolt_, I don't usually, yes lets hope it is start, but I still think over last 10 years, high pressure is becoming less and less around the UK at all times of the year

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

You wait, Summer will be back with a vengeance come September!

it better  im off for 2 weeks!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Yarmy Maestro

Yarmy

Posted
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Hoar Frost, Snow, Misty Autumn mornings
  • Location: Near King's Lynn 13.68m ASL
Posted

You wait, Summer will be back with a vengeance come September!

 

 

Hmm...

 

cfsnh-0-1260.png?06

 

 

Anyway, back to the near future and the GFS 06z op stalls the depression in the Atlantic which delivers a much more pleasant outlook for early next week:

 

gfsnh-0-186.png?6

 

We'll have to see how many GEFS members go with that.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Wildswimmer Pete Aficionado

Wildswimmer Pete

Posted
  • Location: Runcorn New Town 60m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and blisteringly hot
  • Location: Runcorn New Town 60m ASL
Posted (edited)

Hmm...

 

cfsnh-0-1260.png?06

 

 

Anyway, back to the near future and the GFS 06z op stalls the depression in the Atlantic which delivers a much more pleasant outlook for early next week:

 

gfsnh-0-186.png?6

 

We'll have to see how many GEFS members go with that.

528dam air over the north of the UK? That indicates the possibility of wintry precipitation if not actually snow at sea level. Please tell me I'm mistaken.  Where is all this cold coming from?

Edited by Wildswimmer Pete
Link to comment
Share on other sites
I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted

528dam air over the north of the UK? That indicates the possibility of wintry precipitation of not actually snow at sea level. Please tell me I'm mistaken

 

''Eavens above it is a fantasy FI chart, only posted for fun, no way will 16th Sept turn out like that

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ANYWEATHER Maestro

ANYWEATHER

Posted
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
  • Weather Preferences: Enjoy the weather, you can't take it with you 😎
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
Posted

''Eavens above it is a fantasy FI chart, only posted for fun, no way will 16th Sept turn out like that

Never say Never with the weather, Ive done that a few times and got plenty of egg on my face!!! :oops:  :rofl:  :D

Link to comment
Share on other sites
summer blizzard Maestro

summer blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted

Does look like a warmup coming (NW/SE split somewhat) although the pattern looks a bit fragile to me with the core of any heights well north east.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Don Maestro

Don

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted (edited)

Hmm...

 

cfsnh-0-1260.png?06

 

 

 

 

Lol, what a nice Birthday present that would be for me!

 

:D  :cold:

Edited by Don
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
draztik Rising Star

draztik

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Location: Bristol
Posted (edited)

Latest EC32 inline with last umpteen CFS ensemble updates; negative temp anomaly throughout - thats out to August 28th. No doubt Knocker will update in morning.

Edited by draztik
  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Bradowl Community Regular

Bradowl

Posted
  • Location: Rotherham
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Frost Sun
  • Location: Rotherham
Posted

Frosty still going for a heatwave next week, doesn't look likely to me, BBC have given a monthly forecast today and they go for a mostly unsettled month especially next week and only a chance of something a bit better mid month.

 

I think that could be it now for any prolonged summery weather with high temps, maybe a few nice days from time to time with temps in low to mid 70's. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted

September will bring in the good weather, patience...

Yes! you maybe right, just like the that last two months and still waiting :cold:

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
ANYWEATHER Maestro

ANYWEATHER

Posted
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
  • Weather Preferences: Enjoy the weather, you can't take it with you 😎
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
Posted

Frosty still going for a heatwave next week, doesn't look likely to me, BBC have given a monthly forecast today and they go for a mostly unsettled month especially next week and only a chance of something a bit better mid month.

 

I think that could be it now for any prolonged summery weather with high temps, maybe a few nice days from time to time with temps in low to mid 70's. 

Heatwave , what planet is he on??? :rofl:  :rofl:  :rofl:

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites
cheese Veteran

cheese

Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds
Posted

I'm fine with the output for here - highs in the low twenties once we get this terrible week over and done with. Still subject to change mind you - but currently looks okay to me. Location dependent as ever.

 

I don't place any faith into long-range models. If you took them as a gospel in early June you'd have thought June and July were going to turn out terrible but in reality both are/will be within average range, albeit slightly below. An extremely average summer for most places - continuing the theme of extremely average months, with the exception of April. Just the past few days that have spoilt an otherwise good July.

 

Just my opinion of course.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
knocker Maestro

knocker

Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne
Posted

Latest 12z anomaly charts even out to t384 mid August show odd warmer day...otherwise standard or below fare...normal UK weather nothing great and this Summer is gradually winding down...roll on Autumn.

 

Being able to pick out the odd warm day on anomaly charts out to T384 shows a very impressive level of expertise. :good:

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
cheese Veteran

cheese

Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds
Posted

Cherry picking is well known amongst summer lovers on here cough cough

Not half as bad as winter - where people posting anything mild are hounded out of any thread!

 

Anyway, why would people be disappointed with normal summer weather in the UK? That's precisely what this summer has been - normal.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites
ANYWEATHER Maestro

ANYWEATHER

Posted
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
  • Weather Preferences: Enjoy the weather, you can't take it with you 😎
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
Posted

Not half as bad as winter - where people posting anything mild are hounded out of any thread!

 

Anyway, why would people be disappointed with normal summer weather in the UK? That's precisely what this summer has been - normal.

Perhaps its been a normal summer in your back garden but other folks have different views,,,,, :closedeyes:

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
draztik Rising Star

draztik

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Location: Bristol
Posted

Not half as bad as winter - where people posting anything mild are hounded out of any thread!

 

Anyway, why would people be disappointed with normal summer weather in the UK? That's precisely what this summer has been - normal.

Try telling that to the folk in Northern Ireland & Scotland - while prone to some inclement periods in summer, it has been far from average there. In fact, it has been miserable!

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites
mushymanrob Maestro

mushymanrob

Posted
  • Location: chellaston, derby
  • Weather Preferences: The Actual Weather ..... not fantasy.
  • Location: chellaston, derby
Posted

Frosty still going for a heatwave next week, doesn't look likely to me,

NO HE ISNT.... This really jaffa cakeses me off. You are misreprisenting what frosty says.

Frosty only posts what the charts are SHOWING.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites
cheese Veteran

cheese

Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds
Posted (edited)

Try telling that to the folk in Northern Ireland & Scotland - while prone to some inclement periods in summer, it has been far from average there. In fact, it has been miserable!

Yes, you're quite right - my apologies to folk there. It's been decent here though.

 

In all honesty though, the summer averages here are still below what I like, and 20C is the bare minimum I consider acceptable in July and August - so an average summer in Scotland and NI would just be disastrous!

Edited by cheese
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...