Storm & Convective Discussion - 01/03/15 onwards

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Good pics :-)

Strange that all forecasts I've read make no mention of storms yet it feels like there could be one.

Even estofex I would expect to have issued at least a 15% lightning chance for the South.

Oh well I'm still optimistic :-)

[Spikecollie]

A nice little set of storms heading my direction here in Limousin - quite often they turn tail east, but here's hoping!

[Azazel]

sky becoming overcast here in Basingstoke, slightly undulating look, definitely elevated in nature

[sunnijim]

Helen Willets confirming that isolated 'high based storms' have been cracking off over parts of Southern England this afternoon,these will die out this evening.

[Raidan]

Had rain late afternoon felt quite humid and the sky did look stormy but nothing happened I didn't expect it to, roll on summer.

[Chris K]

A friend of mine said they saw lightning and heard a clap of thunder near Weston-S-Mare. Can anyone confirm?

Edited April 16, 2015 by Chris K

[legritter]

Yes can confirm .i live about 8 miles east of weston ,we had a very loud crack abo ut 10 mins ago [and again now it seems to be drifting east or n east cheers ,i,v also posted in local thread .

[Andrew_WsM]

A friend of mine said they saw lightning and heard a clap of thunder near Weston-S-Mare. Can anyone confirm?

 

I'm on the hill in WsM and just saw a flash, thunder wasn't much but i do have the tv on.

[MP-R]

Yes I could see and hear it from Yatton too, big bright flash but the thunder was quite distant so not too loud. Nice surprise, that cell built out of nowhere. Hope there's more to come.

[Raidan]

Lol I post then while outside I seen a flash even a bit of a fork no thunder, this was about 9.40

Some bright colours from shower coming in according to rain alarm.

Will give half hour if nothing happens I'm off to bed so tired

[Raidan]

Don't think this cell is going to do anything else bar the one flash

No sign of the rain either.

[MP-R]

Sporadic convective rain but no more thunder.

[Ben Sainsbury]

Haven't been on since December wow! Surprise wasn't catching up on this forum, must've been a cell right overhead my house last night and never had a clue.

 

Doesn't seem to be much potential over the coming weeks for the time being either...

Edited April 17, 2015 by Ben Sainsbury

[Dale Hay]

A friend of mine said they saw lightning and heard a clap of thunder near Weston-S-Mare. Can anyone confirm?

Huh, strange. I was walking into the town (WsM) around the time mentioned by others and I never saw anything (didn't hear anything as I had my headphones in). I always miss the good stuff. :/

[Generalelectrix]

Hi @ all

Interesting upper level low with its centre about to cross over East Anglia in a westward direction. It is curcumventing the surface high pressure area north of Scotland. Is clearly visible on this Satpic and could possibly lead to some convective activity over land. Lets keep an eye on it and find out

 

 

 

Regards

 

Ralph

[Eye to the sky]

Hi @ all

Interesting upper level low with its centre about to cross over East Anglia in a westward direction. It is curcumventing the surface high pressure area north of Scotland. Is clearly visible on this Satpic and could possibly lead to some convective activity over land. Lets keep an eye on it and find out

 

ULL.PNG

 

 

Regards

 

Ralph

Yes some interesting skies around here at the moment,was going to put the washing out but don't think I'll bother just yet!.

[Mokidugway]

The core is moving into northern England now, some ppn from what looks like large cumulus development on sat 24 ..

[Harry]

MetO showing a thunderstorm symbol for London on Friday......

[Captain Shortwave]

Hi @ all

Interesting upper level low with its centre about to cross over East Anglia in a westward direction. It is curcumventing the surface high pressure area north of Scotland. Is clearly visible on this Satpic and could possibly lead to some convective activity over land. Lets keep an eye on it and find out

 

ULL.PNG

 

 

Regards

 

Ralph

It didn't product very much, just shallow convection which led to a cloudier spell with a few drizzly showers.

[Greeny]

MetO showing a thunderstorm symbol for London on Friday......

 

Maybe they are going by this then it could be a possibility but its still a way off..

 

 

GFS showing nothing significant for Friday as it stands..

 

[Harry]

Maybe they are going by this then it could be a possibility but its still a way off..

 

Friday 1500.png

 

GFS showing nothing significant for Friday as it stands..

 

GFS Friday 15.00.png

 

When I checked the charts I couldn't see anything in the way of CAPE/negative LIs. 

 

Incidentally, the symbol now is a cloud, lol

[Greeny]

When I checked the charts I couldn't see anything in the way of CAPE/negative LIs. 

 

Incidentally, the symbol now is a cloud, lol

 

Lol they should know the disappointment of storm enthusiasts teasing us like that!

 

The weekend is worth keeping an eye on where there is potential change I guess.

[Generalelectrix]

@ Harry and Greenday:

 

Yes, indeed it is beginning to look as if the coming weekend will herald the start  of some serious convective activity for a change. The model runs are becoming more and more conclusive in suggesting a change over to more unsettled weather during the WE and next week with the passage of a number of consecutive troughs (April weather pattern, hey )

The strength of the spring sun should aid in creating some good convection, indeed something to look forward to..

 

Regards

 

Ralph

[The PIT]

Quick run through the GFS and that doesn't show anything of note over the weekend. Light showers for Saturday.

[IanR]

'thunder in spring, cold will bring'    as the saying goes