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nsrobins

Record low number of watches so far in 2015

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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/

 

Interesting article from SPC about the very low number of watches so far.

It is reasonable to suggest low start seasons don't always lead to low count Springs, so no need to get too pessimistic yet!

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Maybe the low number of watches and warning have been due to a lack of southerly flow therefore warmth and moisture. I've also seen data that shows that the temperature of the Gulf of Mexico at it's lowest point has little effect on the upcoming tornado season. Let's see what happens this year!

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Well this year has so far turned out to be below average.

By May 16 its about the 25% mark with the count @ 380, so well down on a average year, which would be around 456 and far from a maximum year which would be 772.

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Well this year has so far turned out to be below average.

By May 16 its about the 25% mark with the count @ 380, so well down on a average year, which would be around 456 and far from a maximum year which would be 772.

Yes, but since mid March the number of tornados has been around average - the reduction is due to the straight line from no tornados up to that point. There were less that 50 tornados in the first 2 and a half months of this year, whereas the average would normally be 200. From then on in, the numbers have been around average. 

 

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