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Tracking the potential Polar Low - Thursday into Friday


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Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea

    Sleet here in south Essex.

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    Is it only me, or are the 'is it a/isn't it a Polar low' reamrks just plain old semantics.........as long as I get a dumping of snow, you can call it a lesser spotted chocolate teapot if you want    

    Hi all.  Had great fun following this brilliant forum last night.  Just to introduce myself; I was senior forecaster at Manchester Weather Centre for 20 years, now retired.  I think that it was defini

    so then....members in the west believe it'll track down the irish sea giving the action in the western regions...... members in the east believe it'll track though northern england and the SE giving s

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    Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

    All important wet bulb level has increased - not good!

    Flaming typical by the time it drops back down I bet there will be no precip or it'll be too warm.

    post-19153-0-95166000-1422585009_thumb.j

    Parts of Essex are getting heavy snow supposedly, away from coasts & with little alt.

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    Posted
  • Location: Orleton, 6 miles south of Ludlow
  • Location: Orleton, 6 miles south of Ludlow

    Rain here. From the radar it looks like we are in the centre of the PL at 0245

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    Posted
  • Location: St. Neots, south west cambs
  • Location: St. Neots, south west cambs

    It gave a covering as it skirted past St Neots in west Cambs in the early hours

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    Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne

    This so-called Polar Low was described as a 'small feature' by the METO this morning and would be in the Channel by mid morning. giving a smattering of rain, sleet or a dusting of snow on it's travels.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Missed here sadly.

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    Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District 290 mts. Wind speed 340 mts
  • Weather Preferences: Rain/snow, fog, gales and cold in every season
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District 290 mts. Wind speed 340 mts

    About another 5cm of snow here from the low ( looking from the window). Alpine scenes as all the trees are thickly coated in snow.

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    Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea

    Woke up at 2am to sleet went to bed woke up at 6 moderate snow and a cover of about a 1cm.

     

    All of this was forecast to be sleet even the showers I got at 10pm last night.

     

    Real nice for something to finally work in my favour.

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    Posted
  • Location: Home - Hutton, Essex / Work - Camden Town, London
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Sun, Deep Snow, Convective Goodness, Anvil Crawlers
  • Location: Home - Hutton, Essex / Work - Camden Town, London

    Snowing here now too - we had snow 11pm, then again about 2-3-am, rain at 5am and then this at 6am... Still going now..post-15513-0-95101100-1422599299_thumb.j

    Edited by Team Jo
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    Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

    This so-called Polar Low was described as a 'small feature' by the METO this morning and would be in the Channel by mid morning. giving a smattering of rain, sleet or a dusting of snow on it's travels.

    I know I annoyed people going on about it not being a polar low, but honestly how could it have been? We are just diluting our weather terminology so that it is becoming meaningless dumbed down garbage! This has really peed me off and everyone gets suckered in by the hype it's just pathetic, perhaps I contribute to the wrong kind of forum

    Edited by TonyH
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    Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire

    This one managed to pass Oxford. A few splashes of sleet at 2:30am but been dry since.

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    Posted
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Weather Preferences: Not too hot, excitement of snow, a hoolie
  • Location: East Lothian

    Looked like the centre went thorugh Somerset and Dorset, rain on its western side with the coastal gales, eastern PPN had more snow in it , over the cold air for central/SE Britain,The wintry feed from NW England down to SE England kept going all night

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    Posted
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Weather Preferences: Not too hot, excitement of snow, a hoolie
  • Location: East Lothian

    I know I annoyed people going on about it not being a polar low, but honestly how could it have been? We are just diluting our weather terminology so that it is becoming meaningless dumbed down garbage! This has really peed me off and everyone gets suckered in by the hype it's just pathetic, perhaps I contribute to the wrong kind of forum

    Yes but you are looking back 12 hours later. Fine to review what happened but not to slag people off who were in discussion much earlier in its travels off W.Scotland. If you want to show your points for your view, list them and they can be answered.

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    Posted
  • Location: Warwickshire, West Midlands, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Sun
  • Location: Warwickshire, West Midlands, United Kingdom

    Nice covering of rain here :(

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    Posted
  • Location: Lincolnshire - 15m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Frost and snow. A quiet autumn day is also good.
  • Location: Lincolnshire - 15m asl

    Looked like the centre went thorugh Somerset and Dorset, rain on its western side with the coastal gales, eastern PPN had more snow in it , over the cold air for central/SE Britain,The wintry feed from NW England down to SE England kept going all night

     

    Yes. So the slagging off of the MetO was proved wrong, and the pro on pro criticism shown to be even more bizarre than it read at the time. And meanwhile the truth of the story was just a simple reading of the predicted flow which dug further south rather than SE. 

     

    We move on to the next moment of interest (hopefully not too far away!) but perhaps some lessons learned here...

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    I know I annoyed people going on about it not being a polar low, but honestly how could it have been? We are just diluting our weather terminology so that it is becoming meaningless dumbed down garbage! This has really peed me off and everyone gets suckered in by the hype it's just pathetic, perhaps I contribute to the wrong kind of forum

     

    I went to bed and you were moaning about it not being a Polar Low... I wake up, your still moaning about it not being a Polar Low.

     

    If something so insignificant peed you off so badly, and were all pathetic for getting "suckered" by the hype, then maybe you are right.

     

    Some of us actually got quite a dumping from it, thanks !

     

    Anyways, just like to say what a great thread it was last night, lots of interest, nearly 2000 people were on the forum, Server Overload!

     

    Lets hope we see another, "Polar Low" sometime soon !

    Edited by Dr. Astro
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    Posted
  • Location: Peterborough N.Cambridgeshire
  • Location: Peterborough N.Cambridgeshire

    Rather pleased with my forecast. The main area of snow was indeed NW England towards SE and not Wales, SW as the BBC were suggesting. Also the track of the low proved to be further SE than the Euro 4 was predicting.

     

    Nowcasting is all about sat, radar and not model output!

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    Posted
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Weather Preferences: Not too hot, excitement of snow, a hoolie
  • Location: East Lothian

    Well said  Dr Astro "Anyways, just like to say what a great thread it was last night, lots of interest, nearly 2000 people were on the forum,"

     

    It was a super experience and all the differing views lead to lots more trails of info and reading. 

    Still no snow for me  :nonono: 

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    Posted
  • Location: Stourbridge, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: snow!!!!
  • Location: Stourbridge, West Midlands

    Rain here which is absolutely typical...I think I am giving up on snow, we haven't managed even a cm here out of all the opportunities that have presented themselves.

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    Posted
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: Warm, bright summers and Cold, snowy winters
  • Location: Essex, Southend-On-Sea

    Rather pleased with my forecast. The main area of snow was indeed NW England towards SE and not Wales, SW as the BBC were suggesting. Also the track of the low proved to be further SE than the Euro 4 was predicting.

     

    Nowcasting is all about sat, radar and not model output!

    Your forecast was pretty accurate with us in Essex being in a sweet spot.]

     

    1-2cm lying right now with neighbouring counties having very little or nothing at all!

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    Well said  Dr Astro "Anyways, just like to say what a great thread it was last night, lots of interest, nearly 2000 people were on the forum,"

     

    It was a super experience and all the differing views lead to lots more trails of info and reading. 

    Still no snow for me  :nonono: 

     

    Ah Jo, it will come !

     

    It's not often these features come along, but I can imagine even people at the Met Office were quite excited about it ?

     

    For me, it's the best kind that can happen, as it's such a now-cast and can go literally anywhere.

     

    A Major :wallbash:  For forecasters, but i'm sure they love it.

     

    TEITS - Good job, same track as I had it, NW England, through the middle and down the SE.

     

    Was very surprised it got to the SE mind.

    Edited by Dr. Astro
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    Posted
  • Location: Bedford, 30m asl
  • Location: Bedford, 30m asl

    Whilst precipitation discrimination was always going to be difficult to pinpoint,

    I must say for the overall track hats off to the NMM once again for staying pretty consistent with what turned out to be the correct track for the Northern flank vs the Euro4 and, presumably, UKV. Not the first time this winter the NMM has proven itself.

    We ended up with 3-4cms at home. On the train to London now and still a blanket of white as far as the eye can see approaching sawbridgeworth

    SK

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    Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

    Well we got snow

    Brilliant watching the change of wind direction as the polar low came through. Full circle.

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