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Tracking the potential Polar Low - Thursday into Friday


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Is it only me, or are the 'is it a/isn't it a Polar low' reamrks just plain old semantics.........as long as I get a dumping of snow, you can call it a lesser spotted chocolate teapot if you want    

Hi all.  Had great fun following this brilliant forum last night.  Just to introduce myself; I was senior forecaster at Manchester Weather Centre for 20 years, now retired.  I think that it was defini

so then....members in the west believe it'll track down the irish sea giving the action in the western regions...... members in the east believe it'll track though northern england and the SE giving s

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Has anyone got a good satellite grab of the structure of this from the visible satellite earlier? Preferably one with a good view of the UK in it too.

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So forecaster pressure on now, which English counties will the centre of the low move over tonight. Will have to be judged from radar imagery. Irish Sea to English Chanel or North Sea. Forecast tracks please. 700mb 850mb winds are NNW

 

 

Just for fun, and we can have a look in the morning. This kind of small scale low is notoriously tricky to forecast, so don't feel pressured

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Has anyone got a good satellite grab of the structure of this from the visible satellite earlier? Preferably one with a good view of the UK in it too.

 

 

post-7292-0-83680100-1422564812_thumb.jppost-7292-0-93583100-1422564819_thumb.jp

 

The satellite receiving site is credited below, it doesn't take long to create a log in and they have the best overhead images of the UK.

 

 

 

Image courtesy of NERC Satellite Receiving Station, Dundee University, Scotland" with a link to our home page http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/

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On another note, coming soon to certain national media somewhere near you..

 

attachicon.gifPOLAR LOWBEAR.jpg

 

 

Add your own hyperbole ridden, weather apocalypse headline... :cold:

LOL  :rofl:  'Super Apocalyptic displaced polar vortexed weather BOMB'!!

 

This does look like its getting interesting now, noticed a couple of streamers setting up over the Cheshire gap and Lancashire heading SE. Could be that polar low destabilising the atmosphere a bit more maybe. What a night this is going to be. Just shows how quick sudden events can crop up in these scenarios.

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Has anyone got a good satellite grab of the structure of this from the visible satellite earlier? Preferably one with a good view of the UK in it too.

 

dundee.ac.uk link should provide such a thing, but I haven't used it for years, so don't even know if it still exists.

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attachicon.gifch9.jpgattachicon.gifch38 (1).jpg

 

The satellite receiving site is credited below, it doesn't take long to create a log in and they have the best overhead images of the UK.

 

 

 

Image courtesy of NERC Satellite Receiving Station, Dundee University, Scotland" with a link to our home page http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/

 

Ah I actually have that link in my favourites! Was just hoping someone had already saved one from earlier save me trawling through for a good one :D

 

Cheers.

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Has anyone got a good satellite grab of the structure of this from the visible satellite earlier? Preferably one with a good view of the UK in it too.

from NW extra Nick (eumetsat hi-res) 1500hrs

 

post-4149-0-34370000-1422564969_thumb.pn

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attachicon.gifch9.jpgattachicon.gifch38 (1).jpg

 

The satellite receiving site is credited below, it doesn't take long to create a log in and they have the best overhead images of the UK.

 

 

 

Image courtesy of NERC Satellite Receiving Station, Dundee University, Scotland" with a link to our home page http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/

 

That's the one, well done Lorenzo and his PolarLowBear team.  :hi:

Edited by gottolovethisweather
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So forecaster pressure on now, which English counties will the centre of the low move over tonight. Will have to be judged from radar imagery. Irish Sea to English Chanel or North Sea. Forecast tracks please. 700mb 850mb winds are NNW

 

 

Just for fun, and we can have a look in the morning. This kind of small scale low is notoriously tricky to forecast, so don't feel pressured

 

Ha!

 

You first ?

 

Irish Sea... Via Peak District... Towards SE ! Heavy snow for those East of Manchester...

 

If you look at the latest NW Radar, you can see the streamer running through the Peaks... Thats my track.

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Ha!

 

You first ?

 

Irish Sea... Via Peak District... Towards SE ! Heavy snow for those East of Manchester...

 

If you look at the latest NW Radar, you can see the streamer running through the Peaks... Thats my track.

good start, I'm still considering. SE isn't a county, it is a large area! ;)

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Could this head litterally anywhere?

 

Basically.

 

Polar Lows are magical in the sense that they can crop up out of the blue and unpredictable from then on. Usually comes to a nowcast scenario until landfall when it hits land it's likely to continue in that direction and weaken.

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So forecaster pressure on now, which English counties will the centre of the low move over tonight. Will have to be judged from radar imagery. Irish Sea to English Chanel or North Sea. Forecast tracks please. 700mb 850mb winds are NNW

 

 

Just for fun, and we can have a look in the morning. This kind of small scale low is notoriously tricky to forecast, so don't feel pressured

I'm naming Wiltshire after Wales, Hants, clip W.Sussex - will the snow to the east get london?

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