Tracking the potential Polar Low - Thursday into Friday

[TonyH]

How on earth can this be a polar low - it's close on 5c here in the warm sector of this standard secondary low.

[Bristawl Si]

Anyone willing to predict track now? Has it changed at all?

[Nick L]

How on earth can this be a polar low - it's close on 5c here in the warm sector of this standard secondary low.

 

We get it, you don't think it's a polar low.

[Mark wheeler]

Where did the showers over the south west appear from . Appeared last through shots on rain today

[Snowshine]

Why is the lowm suddenly turning more to the East :o trying to avoid S Midlands!

Edited January 30, 2015 by Cumulonimbus123

[Catacol]

Latest guestimate of track

 

Screen Shot 2015-01-29 at 22.13.20.png

 

I'll go with that. :-) .

[inghams85]

Yorkshire looking the sweet spot again!

[Allseasons-Si]

It looks like the center of the low is in the irish sea @ the moment and is forcing the ppn to the east of it pushing east,s yorkshire looks to be in the firing line.

[tayzi]

Snow in Sheffield and chesterfield pushing eastwards

[chionomaniac]

How on earth can this be a polar low - it's close on 5c here in the warm sector of this standard secondary low.

I guess when the barotropic system formed in -35°C 500hpA air to the northwest of Scotland, the surface conditions 800 miles to the south and 12hours later really didn't enter into the mix. It may have become more baroclinic now though.

[Polar Maritime]

Very heavy snow here.

[Winter Cold]

Pennines seem to be holding it up a bit at the moment. Its not getting over yet really. Just a few light flakes here atm! It could be startingt to slip past...

[feb1991blizzard]

Very heavy snow here.

 

Was here not so long ago but its stopped.

[PolarWarsaw]

Rain at 80m asl in South Staffs. 

[Mapantz]

I guess when the barotropic system formed in -35°C 500hpA air to the northwest of Scotland, the surface conditions 800 miles to the south and 12hours later really didn't enter into the mix. It may have become more baroclinic now though.

100% Baroclinic now imo. After careful reading, it would suggest that it was a polar low when it was born. But, it became heavily modified since then. It would have been really interesting if it had slipped down the East coast- a touch out in the North sea. Nonetheless, It certainly caused a good stir.

[Staffordshire]

Rain at 80m asl in South Staffs.

snow 165 South staffs

[summer blizzard]

Drat. Radar shows it's just rubbing against urban west yorkshire but no further movement west.

[PolarWarsaw]

snow 165 South staffs

 

Just goes to show how a tiny amount of height makes a difference here.

[Met4Cast]

Just goes to show how a tiny amount of height makes a difference here.

 

The slightly less cold Atlantic air getting into the flow definitely wont be helping either

[MKN]

Heavy snow here. Apparently rain 10 miles south west in coventry though

[JOPRO]

Real heavy snow here in west northants.

[skyblusam]

Heavy snow here. Apparently rain 10 miles south west in coventry though

still snowing in my part of coventry

[MKN]

still snowing in my part of coventry

Think someone may have been joking perhaps... Still snowing here

[Eye to the sky]

Moderate snow here, with 3-4 inches lying already.

[snowangel32]

Heavy rain here after a few cms of snow temps on the rise now