Tracking the potential Polar Low - Thursday into Friday

[Jo Farrow]

Rain reports over NI so its official this is the first ever rainy polar low to hit the UK!

A polar low can bring heavy precipitation, often snow but not exclusively

[lorenzo]

On another note, coming soon to certain national media somewhere near you..

 

 

 

Add your own hyperbole ridden, weather apocalypse headline...

 

 

 

[Nick L]

Has anyone got a good satellite grab of the structure of this from the visible satellite earlier? Preferably one with a good view of the UK in it too.

Edited January 29, 2015 by Nick L

[Jo Farrow]

Has anyone got a good satellite grab of the structure of this from the visible satellite earlier? Preferably one with a good view of the UK in it too.

http://eumetrain.org/eport VIS.6 from 12z today

[Nick L]

http://eumetrain.org/eport VIS.6 from 12z today

 

Doesn't load for me unfortunately.

[cyclonic happiness]

Doesn't load for me unfortunately.

me neither

[Jo Farrow]

So forecaster pressure on now, which English counties will the centre of the low move over tonight. Will have to be judged from radar imagery. Irish Sea to English Chanel or North Sea. Forecast tracks please. 700mb 850mb winds are NNW

 

 

Just for fun, and we can have a look in the morning. This kind of small scale low is notoriously tricky to forecast, so don't feel pressured

[lorenzo]

Has anyone got a good satellite grab of the structure of this from the visible satellite earlier? Preferably one with a good view of the UK in it too.

 

 

 

The satellite receiving site is credited below, it doesn't take long to create a log in and they have the best overhead images of the UK.

 

 

 

Image courtesy of NERC Satellite Receiving Station, Dundee University, Scotland" with a link to our home page http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/

[Jo Farrow]

Doesn't load for me unfortunately.

http://eumetrain.org/eport/euro_12.php?width=1366&height=768&date=2015012912&region=euro

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

On another note, coming soon to certain national media somewhere near you..

 

POLAR LOWBEAR.jpg

 

 

Add your own hyperbole ridden, weather apocalypse headline...

LOL   'Super Apocalyptic displaced polar vortexed weather BOMB'!!

 

This does look like its getting interesting now, noticed a couple of streamers setting up over the Cheshire gap and Lancashire heading SE. Could be that polar low destabilising the atmosphere a bit more maybe. What a night this is going to be. Just shows how quick sudden events can crop up in these scenarios.

[gottolovethisweather]

Has anyone got a good satellite grab of the structure of this from the visible satellite earlier? Preferably one with a good view of the UK in it too.

 

dundee.ac.uk link should provide such a thing, but I haven't used it for years, so don't even know if it still exists.

[Nick L]

ch9.jpgch38 (1).jpg

 

The satellite receiving site is credited below, it doesn't take long to create a log in and they have the best overhead images of the UK.

 

 

 

Image courtesy of NERC Satellite Receiving Station, Dundee University, Scotland" with a link to our home page http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/

 

Ah I actually have that link in my favourites! Was just hoping someone had already saved one from earlier save me trawling through for a good one

 

Cheers.

[A.J]

Has anyone got a good satellite grab of the structure of this from the visible satellite earlier? Preferably one with a good view of the UK in it too.

from NW extra Nick (eumetsat hi-res) 1500hrs

 

[gottolovethisweather]

ch9.jpgch38 (1).jpg

 

The satellite receiving site is credited below, it doesn't take long to create a log in and they have the best overhead images of the UK.

 

 

 

Image courtesy of NERC Satellite Receiving Station, Dundee University, Scotland" with a link to our home page http://www.sat.dundee.ac.uk/

 

That's the one, well done Lorenzo and his PolarLowBear team. 

Edited January 29, 2015 by gottolovethisweather

[Dr. Astro]

So forecaster pressure on now, which English counties will the centre of the low move over tonight. Will have to be judged from radar imagery. Irish Sea to English Chanel or North Sea. Forecast tracks please. 700mb 850mb winds are NNW

 

 

Just for fun, and we can have a look in the morning. This kind of small scale low is notoriously tricky to forecast, so don't feel pressured

 

Ha!

 

You first ?

 

Irish Sea... Via Peak District... Towards SE ! Heavy snow for those East of Manchester...

 

If you look at the latest NW Radar, you can see the streamer running through the Peaks... Thats my track.

[chionomaniac]

Try this

 

http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html

 

beautiful

[Jo Farrow]

Ha!

 

You first ?

 

Irish Sea... Via Peak District... Towards SE ! Heavy snow for those East of Manchester...

 

If you look at the latest NW Radar, you can see the streamer running through the Peaks... Thats my track.

good start, I'm still considering. SE isn't a county, it is a large area!

[fUnKy]

Could this head litterally anywhere?

[conor123]

Could this head litterally anywhere?

Sheffield/Leek/East Mids then down into the South East probably.

[Weather-history]

Could this head litterally anywhere?

Of course not, it can't go back where it go from, it isn't going to suddenly go immediate westwards etc...

[Snowman.]

Could this head litterally anywhere?

 

Basically.

 

Polar Lows are magical in the sense that they can crop up out of the blue and unpredictable from then on. Usually comes to a nowcast scenario until landfall when it hits land it's likely to continue in that direction and weaken.

[weirpig]

Try this

 

http://www.yr.no/satellitt/europa_animasjon.html

 

beautiful

wonderful  animation  however to me that seems to be tracking through mid to east wales 

[Sussex Jules]

Might just as well get people to put their locations in as that will be the track that they predict!

[Jo Farrow]

So forecaster pressure on now, which English counties will the centre of the low move over tonight. Will have to be judged from radar imagery. Irish Sea to English Chanel or North Sea. Forecast tracks please. 700mb 850mb winds are NNW

 

 

Just for fun, and we can have a look in the morning. This kind of small scale low is notoriously tricky to forecast, so don't feel pressured

I'm naming Wiltshire after Wales, Hants, clip W.Sussex - will the snow to the east get london?

[imballinger]

Sheffield/Leek/East Mids then down into the South East probably.

 

 

Should have replied, Anywhere but Telford