South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat

[Frosty_wsm]

right then, just for us snow starved folk in the north and east of then region

 

I'm keeping an eye on that batch of snow showery activity over the east midlands.

The hi-res modelling didn't pick them up too well (06z) and they're considerably further west than modeled and and they're tracking south westwards towards Oxon, Wilts, Berks/Hants and are recycling, whereas modelling had them due south towards London & the South East....

 

It'll probably amount to nothing, but worth keeping an eye on over the next few hours to see if they can reach our neck of the woods?

If they do reach the north east of the region then it'll just be us snow starved folk slap bang in the middle of our region that see nothing! lol

[alex12]

Yes they might even penetrate the Bristol force field!?

 

Okay that was a daft thing to say Bristol and Somerset won't see any of that.

 

My Village had some some today! Although I didnt see any at work! 

[Nights King]

Don't you live in the Mendips though, the Bristol crowd don't need your assistance you know. 

 

I spend most of my time in Bristol working but live in Somerset.   

 

Last time it snowed in Bristol the poor people were running out into the streets with rolled up 10 pound notes   

Edited February 2, 2015 by Nights King

[alex12]

Anything on the radar heading in the direction of Somerset?

[Zephyr]

 

 

*looks out window* hmmmm........

[Mapantz]

RE Aj's post: This is the latest 12Z NMM with the comparison of the 18:00 radar.

Here's the NMM for midnight..

On the basis of that, I should be in here screaming about snow later on.

[Nights King]

If it's all been modeled to far east then maybe ppn in east will move west too??

[Mark Neal.]

Wasn't yesterday Euro 4 quite bullish about showers around the Wash & N Home Counties overnight into Tues morning? Not quite that unexpected in that aspect, but for it to be potentially getting closer, that certainly would be a welcome surprise.

[Mapantz]

If it's all been modeled to far east then maybe ppn in east will move west too??

In my opinion, the Euro4 has it slightly further East than what the radar is showing too.

Here's midnight again..

More lucky surprises for some!

Edited February 2, 2015 by Mapantz

[Jayfromcardiff]

Will it snow in Cardiff? Yes according to the chart.... Looks outside hmmm nothing.

 

 

*looks out window* hmmmm........

[gottolovethisweather]

 

Will it snow in Cardiff? Yes according to the chart.... Looks outside hmmm nothing.

 

 

*looks out window* hmmmm........

 

 

You're speechless. It must *%&!ing then. 

[Nights King]

Looks like the chilterns will get a dusting. I expect same people will get lucky again from Wiltshire way.

[Jayfromcardiff]

You're speechless. It must *%&!ing then. 

I'm sure these charts are normally accurate lol, not when it comes to snow for Cardiff though.

[Andy Bown]

Last Thursday Ian's Points West forecast showed heavy snow for tonight from a system moving down the Western side of the UK. That hasn't materialised but isn't it amusing that the shower streamer has kept going in the far SW while a different snowy area has developed and is moving down the Eastern side of the country. This proves that forecasting snow anything other than 2 days ahead (and more likely 24 hours) is nigh on impossible!

[A.J]

Last Thursday Ian's Points West forecast showed heavy snow for tonight from a system moving down the Western side of the UK. That hasn't materialised but isn't it amusing that the shower streamer has kept going in the far SW while a different snowy area has developed and is moving down the Eastern side of the country. This proves that forecasting snow anything other than 2 days ahead (and more likely 24 hours) is nigh on impossible!

this post should be pinned in the model thread!......would save some serious collective sanity 

[Frosty_wsm]

I do believe that's either sleet or snow I can see on the harbour cam at St. Ives.

[Fitzwis]

Evening all

 

Looking at the latest radar images, we could have an interesting night here in Jersey. Our local Met are still going for isolated sleet or snow showers but there's nothing isolated about developments in the channel right now Stay safe peeps

[gottolovethisweather]

Last Thursday Ian's Points West forecast showed heavy snow for tonight from a system moving down the Western side of the UK. That hasn't materialised but isn't it amusing that the shower streamer has kept going in the far SW while a different snowy area has developed and is moving down the Eastern side of the country. This proves that forecasting snow anything other than 2 days ahead (and more likely 24 hours) is nigh on impossible!

 

Good point Andy, a post of mine a page or two back referred to the reasonable accuracy of Ian's forecasts from three or four days back, quite impressive when all the snow-making parameters must come together to even get the white stuff out of the sky in the first instance and in specific timeframes such as today's events in the SW. 

Edited February 2, 2015 by gottolovethisweather

[Mapantz]

I hope some of you get lucky tonight. I'd quite like a sprinkling of graupel or ice pellets if I'm honest?! lol

[dec10snow]

Ian mentioned in his points west forecast that the precip band others have been talking about, he expects to be a bit further west than the graphics showed - obviously in response to the radar showing it a bit further west, as others have been mentioning

[Beast of Plympton]

Well have just come back from cornwall and on the way down there was some very heavy snow. Nice to see.

[Dunlop Dave]

Sleet/rain at sea level but a bit of snow at 100m here in Guernsey but not amounting to much

[katemart]

Evening all

 

Looking at the latest radar images, we could have an interesting night here in Jersey. Our local Met are still going for isolated sleet or snow showers but there's nothing isolated about developments in the channel right now Stay safe peeps

 

Are you getting some sferics, too, Fizwis, you lucky thing? Have a fun evening!

[katemart]

I'm working in Warwick this week.... If any pass this direction I will be sure to fire them down to your neck of the woods. 

 

Thank you, theprophecyman.

[katemart]

1.2C, dp-4.5C. wb -0.7C. Humidity 66%.

 

Netweather now gives Soton 80% chance of very light snow between midnight and 3am. All is forgiven.