Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Pollen

Model Output Discussion - 14th Jan 12z Onwards


Recommended Posts

Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
  • Replies 1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

I'm fairly certain when Frosty see's this chart:     He's going to be outside doing a lot of this:  

My last post this morn as I'm fed up with the misery in here already. The UKMO at 144 has the PF straddling the UK & a stalled frontal line delivering snow on it similar to feb 96 - It is more a

Or perhaps it means instead that some 'apparent' absentees are sitting back and looking at a very much bigger picture than simply building cyber snowmen to get knocked down, re-built, and then knocked

Posted Images

Posted
  • Location: Reigate Hill
  • Weather Preferences: Anything
  • Location: Reigate Hill

    I have heard that the GFS won't be ready till 5pm. Not sure if that is true though?

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: st albans
  • Location: st albans

    I have heard that the GFS won't be ready till 5pm. Not sure if that is true though?

    I think it will be around 30 Mins later than the old op used to be.

    Guess we'll find out soon enough.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Aylesbury, Buckinghamshire

    I have heard that the GFS won't be ready till 5pm. Not sure if that is true though?

     

    Untrue. It's arriving on Wetterzentrale.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Bramley, Rotherham - 114M ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and Cold! Winter :)
  • Location: Bramley, Rotherham - 114M ASL

    Good post from Mucka there :) Im glad everyone is seemingly confident, or as confident as we can be of a cold spell, seeing as its still just outside of the reliable i think? Good enough agreement in the models though and the earlier update from Ian F in the last thread helps a lot as its a bonus to have METO now coming onboard.

    Edited by Winter Cold
    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    I have heard that the GFS won't be ready till 5pm. Not sure if that is true though?

     

    Updating on wetterzentral as we speak

     

    http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsgfseur.html

     

    :)

     

    EDIT

     

    meteociel now updating as well

     

    http://translate.google.co.uk/translate?sl=auto&tl=en&js=n&prev=_t&hl=en&ie=UTF-8&layout=2&eotf=1&u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.meteociel.fr%2Fmodeles%2Fgfse_cartes.php&act=url

    Edited by Summer Sun
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Preston, 19m ASL when tide out :(
  • Location: Preston, 19m ASL when tide out :(

    Regarding ecm data, find this link prety good
     

    www.wunderground.com/wundermap

    Click on data then settings, choose ecm then which ever chart you need, has snowfall option though doubt its accuracy

    Sorry not hyperlink, on phone and cant work it out

    Edited by Nick L
    Hyperlink added :)
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.

    Untrue. It's arriving on Wetterzentrale.

     

    Well spotted, I've got it running on meteociel and that is some windstorm up North (945hpa give or take at t+18hrs). Whilst eyes are firmly on future developments, let us not forget the more immediate events and hope and trust that everybody stays safe in the affected region.  :help:

    Edited by gottolovethisweather
    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Swansea South West Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in winter Warm Sunny Summer
  • Location: Swansea South West Wales

    It's such a similar set up to January 2013 it's uncanny and from what I can remember these types of synopsis have a starting point to Far East and then all of a sudden closer to the event you get westward corrections! Imby we did well the last time this happened! Anyone else think this is something that could happen again?

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Woodham Walter Essex,between Danbury and Maldon 42 m asl
  • Location: Woodham Walter Essex,between Danbury and Maldon 42 m asl

    In defence of the mod thread,it never operates in the 'now ' it's always days ahead of current weather, the regionals will be where talk of the storm is likely to be,or the thread dedicated to storms.

    • Like 6
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.

    I love the fact everybody is so fixated on cold weather, there isn't a single comment about the 75+mph storm going to hit tonight.

    Well, I am, it looks bad.

     

    See here, https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/82281-model-output-discussion-14th-jan-12z-onwards/?p=3118171

     

    Nothing wrong with focussing on all that is on offer in this wonderful British climate of ours, anyhow. I also noted that we do seem to forget what's happening under our very noses sometimes though. Anyway guys n gals, where are your updates, complete with beautiful charts and wondrous analysis.  :clapping:

    Edited by gottolovethisweather
    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE

    That feature still there on the GFS P, snow spreading se and better upstream at T96hrs. A good start so far, long may it continue!

    • Like 8
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester

    Well I suppose the first area of interest as far as cold spell is concerned will the embedded trough in the NW flow. (Steve M talked about this I think a couple of times)

     

    gfs-0-96.png?12

     

    Could bring a band of sleet and snow South across the breadth of the country on Sunday.

     

    Edit

    Nick got there first.

    Edited by Mucka
    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE
  • Location: NR LOURDES SW FRANCE

    It's not the P anymore Nick. Its the GFS.

    Yes its weird getting used to that, its a shame they couldn't keep both going then we'd have more to talk about! lol

    • Like 6
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester

    First slider snow possibilities

     

    gfsnh-0-132.png?12gfs-2-132.png?12gfsnh-2-138.png?12

     

    850's not that cold but surface temps very chilly.

     

    gfs-9-126.png?12

    Edited by Mucka
    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    Snow for the SE on Saturday if GFS is correct

     

    gfs-2-72.png?12

     

    Maybe some more widespread snow Monday as a band of rain moves in from the west and hits the colder air

     

    gfs-2-126.png?12

     

    After a long wait the wait for a cold snowy spell could be over by early next week

    • Like 9
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth

    I love the fact everybody is so fixated on cold weather, there isn't a single comment about the 75+mph storm going to hit tonight.

    Well, I am, it looks bad.

    Having taken the brunt of the storms last year, I'm not actually that worried. The winds speeds have downgraded somewhat for the coasts and is now not really much to speak about inland. The only place I'd be keeping a close eye on is Northern Ireland and the Western Isles. 90 mph gusts not far away, a little change in track there and I'd be worrying. But not here. 70mph won't disrupt much in the middle of the night. We were often above 80mph last year.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    • More heavy, thundery rain for England

      Further pulses of heavy rain will move up from the south in the coming days with the threat of torrential downpours from thunderstorms. Read the full update here

      Netweather forecasts
      Netweather forecasts
      Latest weather updates from Netweather 1

      UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

      UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2021-06-16 23:15:36 Valid: 17/06/2021 0600 - 18/06/2021 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - THURS 17TH JUNE 2021 Click here for the full forecast

      Nick F
      Nick F
      Latest weather updates from Netweather

      Heat is back for SE UK today, but lively thunderstorms loom for overnight

      A Spanish Plume will visit southern and eastern areas today, with heat returning to SE England, where temperatures may reach 30C. But the plume will become unstable later, with thunderstorms moving northeast tonight. Read the full update here

      Netweather forecasts
      Netweather forecasts
      Latest weather updates from Netweather
    • Recently Browsing   0 members

      No registered users viewing this page.

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...