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South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion - 1300z 12/1/15 ------>


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Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland

    This is my first post on netweather and have been reading in the background for years. I have to say I'm dissapointed in the flack that Ian F has to endure on behalf of his colleagues at the bbc.

    I don't think improving graphics or trying to make them look prettier is the answer when the answer is that a modelled solution cannot be shown in better detail/higher confidence. One thing that I've learned in being a forum lurker is that the solution that our model forecasting provides is simply the most likely scenario but we need to accept the element of uncertainly - and that is the weather.

    For the record, Ian F replies to nearly every post/question directed at him (not just on this regional thread) on here (plus his commitments at the Met O) and I think some should show a little more gratitude. Ian's posts are the most informative (and frankly unbiased) that I've ever read on here and long may they continue...

    what's the problem?....there's no flack......I simply voiced my opinion, am I not allowed to disagree with a BBC and/or Met employee?.....am i not allowed to for fear of offending the BBC?......a reality check is seriously needed.....I stand by my opinion, I'm not a fan of the BBC weather graphics and much prefer analyzing the models and drawing my own conclusions from them...thank you

     

     

     

    just to add, if you have been reading in the background for years, then you would know that I have been vocal in my support for Ian's postings and valuable snippets of info in this thread, and to suggest otherwise is frankly quite offensive, I just simply don't hang on to one member's every word, I glean as much information from as many respected and accredited sources as possible

    Edited by ajpoolshark
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    I have a plan......   All this marginal/north of the M4 malarkey is too boring to tolerate any longer, we've got to do something. Considering just how much rain we get down here, we could have the m

    Agreed. Trough circa 3am may extend snow showers across even to S of London (hence UKMO warning amended). Meanwhile, latest UKV and MOGREPS signal for snow remains particularly strong for Exmoor and M

    What a beauty!   By far the best chart of the Winter, very much deserving of an OMG for this regional.      You couldn't make it up, just remember as a NWP model chart at t+84 hours, it is jus

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    Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny summers. cold snowy winters
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

    Day has arrived then! Those with decent altitude and away from coasts will surly do well if ppn strikes. Nervous times for my location yes I have height but the hill faces SW towards the direction of the coast and we're just 12 miles from the English channel. Latest updates have yo yo'ed from 4 hours of rain to hours of snow now back to sleet. Which means confidence must be low. These things are never simple!

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    Posted
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire
  • Location: Yate, South Gloucestershire

    The quicker that cold air travels south the better! :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL

    My new vantage pro2 is up and running and ready for a interesting days weather.

    4.6C

    95%

    Dew P 4C

    1.2mm Rain since midnight

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon

    I can't believe its my day off and I couldn't sleep :nonono:

     

    Going to be a long day... will it or won't it :pardon:

     

    First heavy ppn inbound I wonder what will fall?

    Edited by Nights King
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    Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL

    Cloud increasing temp still slowly dropping since my last post 4.2°C Dew P 3°C not expecting any wintry weather until the dew point gets lower.

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    Posted
  • Location: Peasedown St John.N.E.Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Fair to Foul...
  • Location: Peasedown St John.N.E.Somerset

    Scattered cloud. Sun is up but behind the buildings. Will be sunny very soon. Pressure 989.5 hpa. Humidity 91%. rh. Temperature  5.4c. Lamposts out later for lamppost watching of falling flakes....... **********

    Edited by ARTDEMOLE
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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon

    Cloud increasing temp still slowly dropping since my last post 4.2°C Dew P 3°C not expecting any wintry weather until the dew point gets lower.

     

    perhaps although the radar is showing sleet/snow over the high ground of Devon currently? I'd be happy to get sleet at this early juncture.

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    Posted
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol

    W COUNTRY Snow showers likely to give some settling in areas >100m later PM/tonight. However, hail may be more more hazardous on e.g. M4/M5

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL

    Anyone from Devon Cornwall, What is that heavy precipitaion currently falling as?

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon

    Anyone from Devon Cornwall, What is that heavy precipitaion currently falling as?

     

    slower pace of life down there, they are still wrapped up in bed for another hour :rofl:

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    Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL

    perhaps although the radar is showing sleet/snow over the high ground of Devon currently? I'd be happy to get sleet at this early juncture.

     

    Sorry I was talking about here but as your some 200m higher than me you could easily see some wintry weather when this next lot moves in keep us updated :) temp has shot up to 4.9°C and humidity has gone up to 96% (Dew P) 4°C

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon

    Sorry I was talking about here but as your some 200m higher than me you could easily see some wintry weather when this next lot moves in keep us updated :) temp has shot up to 4.9°C and humidity has gone up to 96% (Dew P) 4°C

     

    Fair comment, not a much lower temperature currently although I have lower dp.  4.5c and dp of 1.8

     

    I guess each round of showers will have a progressively lower snow line as the day goes on, would be nice to see something before sunset as its always more magical to see it falling. :)

    Edited by Nights King
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    Posted
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol

    Anyone from Devon Cornwall, What is that heavy precipitaion currently falling as?

    Rain..

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    Posted
  • Location: Somerset.
  • Location: Somerset.

    Torquay, feeling cold, overcast with light rain.

    Am thinking about travelling up to Somerset this evening. Who has the best chance of snow? Torquay V Taunton?

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    Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL

    Fair comment, not a much lower temperature currently although I have lower dp.  4.5c and dp of 1.8

     

    I guess each round of showers will have a progressively lower snow line as the day goes on, would be nice to see something before sunset as its always more magical to see it falling. :)

     

    Luckily i'm not far away from the Cotswolds about a 5min drive and about 210m asl so I could always have a drive later as long as it isn't to dangerous hopefully I won't need to. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon

    Torquay, feeling cold, overcast with light rain.

    Am thinking about travelling up to Somerset this evening. Who has the best chance of snow? Torquay V Taunton?

     

    If I was you I would head up to Exmoor around ilfracoombe way looking at track of showers, could be stunning up there.

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    Posted
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol

    Torquay, feeling cold, overcast with light rain.

    Am thinking about travelling up to Somerset this evening. Who has the best chance of snow? Torquay V Taunton?

    Crazy for snow Bazray? If you travelling I would head for the Mendip hills, you wont find anything in Torquay but maybe Taunton. Not until the very late tonight or early hours tomoz.

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Hot in Summer Cold in Winter
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire

    slower pace of life down there, they are still wrapped up in bed for another hour :rofl:

    hahahah

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Hot in Summer Cold in Winter
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire

    fingers crossed for later, it was rather mild first thing this morning, it was hard to imagine the potential for later.

     

    I had my snow fix earlier by looking at the traffic cams from Scotland they have had a good dumping by the looks of it.

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    Posted
  • Location: Somerset.
  • Location: Somerset.

    If I was you I would head up to Exmoor around ilfracoombe way looking at track of showers, could be stunning up there.

    Crazy for snow Bazray? If you travelling I would head for the Mendip hills, you wont find anything in Torquay but maybe Taunton. Not until the very late tonight or early hours tomoz.

    Crazy for snow Bazray? If you travelling I would head for the Mendip hills, you wont find anything in Torquay but maybe Taunton. Not until the very late tonight or early hours tomoz.

    Crazy for any extreme weather! Always head down to the seafront when there is a good storm on, gets wild down there. But a bit of thunder snow, that is damn exciting.

    Let it snow :-)

    If I was you I would head up to Exmoor around ilfracoombe way looking at track of showers, could be stunning up there.

    Thank You, it's a toss up between Torquay and Taunton tonight. Partner lives in Somerset. Edited by Bazray
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    Posted
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow and summer heatwaves.
  • Location: Now moved to tropical Bradford on Avon

    Crazy for any extreme weather! Always head down to the seafront when there is a good storm on, gets wild down there. But a bit of thunder snow, that is damn exciting.

    Let it snow :-)

    Thank You, it's a toss up between Torquay and Taunton tonight. Partner lives in Somerset.

     

    Then head out to the Quantocks in the early morning if you have not seen much Taunton way that is your closest port of call unless you fancy Exmoor or Mendips.

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    Posted
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Most(see in interests section.)
  • Location: Frome 330ft ASL

    Hi Offerman

     

    Raining at the moment on the edge of Dartmoor but have had a couple of beefy hail showers. A bit blustery!

    Good Morning SNOW CRYSTAL.  Many Thanks for the update and i wish you a change to some 50p sized flakes later today :-)

    Good Morning SNOW CRYSTAL.  Many Thanks for the update and i wish you a change to some 50p sized flakes later today :-)

    I`ll post some snow pics for you tomorrow if we get any!!

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