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South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion - 1300z 12/1/15 ------>


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I have a plan......   All this marginal/north of the M4 malarkey is too boring to tolerate any longer, we've got to do something. Considering just how much rain we get down here, we could have the m

Agreed. Trough circa 3am may extend snow showers across even to S of London (hence UKMO warning amended). Meanwhile, latest UKV and MOGREPS signal for snow remains particularly strong for Exmoor and M

What a beauty!   By far the best chart of the Winter, very much deserving of an OMG for this regional.      You couldn't make it up, just remember as a NWP model chart at t+84 hours, it is jus

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Turning to sleet / rain now. Well that 15 minutes of snow was the best snowfall I've seen for 2 years, to the day, almost. Sad eh.

Great post. Yep...waiting 2 years for the same, some wet flakes. The only reason why it settle was due to the slight frost overnight. Now its like a normal cold wet morning in Winter! 

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Yay!!!! Have just woken up to half a cm of settling snow exclusively on my car and grass.

By God, that was a good winter.

So what now?

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Partly cloudy with temp with temp 3.3C and wind WSW 10mph.

 

Looking ahead to Sunday the occlusion gets stuck over Kent and weakens.

 

Looking further ahead to the coming 'event' the GFS and the fax are in broad agreement but I would ignore the GFS precipitation forecast.

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Woke up to a hard frost this morning, not seen one of those for sometime.

-0.4c at 2:30am and is only 2.2c now, light wind and SW, 1014 hpa

4mm of rain yesterday morning, but been dry since.

 

Have noticed the netweather 7 day updated at 6am has us and neighbouring area down for snow from noon to midnight. Not seeing this on any other sites weather forecast?

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Odd . Woke up about 40 mins ago every white, not thick covering good dusting, but now raining ? Thought it was supposed to get colder from friday with snow at times? Ah well , weather keeps us on our toes for sure.! Probably snow later this moring if heavy enough.

Odd . Woke up about 40 mins ago every white, not thick covering good dusting, but now raining ? Thought it was supposed to get colder from friday with snow at times? Ah well , weather keeps us on our toes for sure.! Probably snow later this moring if heavy enough.

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Looking at current charts if say the low centred bang on us for wednesday could bring something in the way of snow as temps look just about cold enough with a little elevation and of course any heavy burst will lower freezing level and low lying areas could catch some to. Things can change so much as we know but just how it looks to me at present!

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Somebody seems to have scattered icing sugar all over my side of Warminster, either that or a wintry mix has fallen onto the frozen ground!

 

As for prospects into the week, it is surely a day at a time! Even tomorrow now looks set to be fine when yesterday's forecasts suggested anything could fall from the fronts which will run to our South overnight instead.

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Somebody seems to have scattered icing sugar all over my side of Warminster, either that or a wintry mix has fallen onto the frozen ground!

 

As for prospects into the week, it is surely a day at a time! Even tomorrow now looks set to be fine when yesterday's forecasts suggested anything could fall from the fronts which will run to our South overnight instead.

Morning, looks as if the models have backed away from yesterday's runs so I think it will keep changing hopefully for the better!

Fromey

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