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South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion - 1300z 12/1/15 ------>


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Posted
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol

    Don't think we saw a easterly flow like was modelled a couple of days ago in the recent cold winters? Mainly NE and North. Ok, March 2013 had an easterly but these are very rare and always seem to disappear.

     

    Will be an interesting week. 

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    I have a plan......   All this marginal/north of the M4 malarkey is too boring to tolerate any longer, we've got to do something. Considering just how much rain we get down here, we could have the m

    Agreed. Trough circa 3am may extend snow showers across even to S of London (hence UKMO warning amended). Meanwhile, latest UKV and MOGREPS signal for snow remains particularly strong for Exmoor and M

    What a beauty!   By far the best chart of the Winter, very much deserving of an OMG for this regional.      You couldn't make it up, just remember as a NWP model chart at t+84 hours, it is jus

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    Posted
  • Location: Bedhampton - Hampshire 30m above sea level.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Blizzard, Hot & Sunny
  • Location: Bedhampton - Hampshire 30m above sea level.

    This isn't cold enough to snow, not looking good to be honest.

    post-15823-0-82183200-1421396578_thumb.j

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    Posted
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol

    At lower levels I wouldn't expect anything to stick as it probably would be wet snow or sleet here due to the marginality but like a couple of days ago, higher areas such as the Mendips could keep any covering the may get, especially night falls.

    All speculation at this stage yet anyway as we can't even be sure if it is or isn't going to snow yet.

    Agreed. But its good that something wintry is expected to fall even this weekend, this seems to have just popped up. With the colder conditions from Monday hopefully more little events will pop up so we can at least see snow falling.

     

    I'm interested in the night time temps, during the last colder spell my back yard got down to -5.4 and that was impressive..........Can this be beaten next week!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol

    This isn't cold enough to snow, not looking good to be honest.

    You are right on the south coast.

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    Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.

    Will it snow in Cardiff

     

    banned again  :rofl:

    Edited by gottolovethisweather
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    Posted
  • Location: Bedhampton - Hampshire 30m above sea level.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Blizzard, Hot & Sunny
  • Location: Bedhampton - Hampshire 30m above sea level.

    You are right on the south coast.

    Of course..

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    Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,

    Holy hell get the mental health team into the MOD thread!! Talk about knee jerk reactions, get your coats guys and girls it's all over!!! Lol

    Fromey

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    Posted
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol

    Of course..

    I find it amazing how our country is so small that we can never get a country wide event! In the USA its such a different story, impressive cold areas that would cover most of NW Europe!

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    Posted
  • Location: Bedhampton - Hampshire 30m above sea level.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Blizzard, Hot & Sunny
  • Location: Bedhampton - Hampshire 30m above sea level.

    I find it amazing how our country is so small that we can never get a country wide event! In the USA its such a different story, impressive cold areas that would cover most of NW Europe!

    I think I might move there. It is exceptionally impressive.

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    you would think that some of the members in that MOD thread would have learnt by now! we are trying to trust charts that were over 5 days away from verifying and it's still not near being sorted yet! Perhaps our region is just more used to failure when wintry weather is concerned. 

     

    I see Ian F has put a half decent update in the Mod Thread anyway.

    Edited by karlos1983
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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    Some PPN now pepping up just off the coast of Wales to probably give Cornwall and Devon some showers which could be wintry over the hills, with temperatures still relatively low.

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    Posted
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol

    you would think that some of the members in that MOD thread would have learnt by now! we are trying to trust charts that were over 5 days away from verifying and it's still not near being sorted yet! Perhaps our region is just more used to failure when wintry weather is concerned. 

    Well..sometimes the south west can be in prime location. Remember Easterly flow can usually be just dry...north and north west flow can be more interesting.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny summers. cold snowy winters
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

    Certainly cold here thus far. Temps have actually dropped in the last hour to now 1c. Lot of cloud about though keeping the sun at bay.

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    Well..sometimes the south west can be in prime location. Remember Easterly flow can usually be just dry...north and north west flow can be more interesting.

     

    Perhaps for where you are MPG, but Northerly or North Westerly the showers tend not to reach MBY unless its a screamer of a flow! I much prefer an Easterly, but I won't lose sleep over it not evolving now(at least it looks that way), seen to many failures over the past years of model watching to get bent out of shape any more.

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    Posted
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol

    Perhaps for where you are MPG, but Northerly or North Westerly the showers tend not to reach MBY unless its a screamer of a flow! I much prefer an Easterly, but I won't lose sleep over it not evolving now(at least it looks that way), seen to many failures over the past years of model watching to get bent out of shape any more.

    When was the last time an Easterly brought you a good covering of snow and temperatures below freezing during the day? Feb 91? :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    When was the last time an Easterly brought you a good covering of snow and temperatures below freezing during the day? Feb 91? :)

     

    Honestly I cant remember....... :nonono:

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    Posted
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Hot in Summer Cold in Winter
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire

    I came in here first, thanks for the warning i'll avoid the MOD thread today

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    Posted
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!

    10cm to fall on English channel??

    Nooo!! What a waste!!! Don't do that. I always cry when I see snow in the sea.

    I do believe its been cancelled now, so sorry. However, it could well be replaced by a SW England trough with stalled fronts aligned SE'wards from central Wales to Winchester. The depression's frontal boundaries lying as suggested, during next Tuesday into Wednesday looks to slowly fill, stall and is likely to produces 36 hours of intermittent snowfall.

     

    Any takers? February 1978 twas an often quoted month which contained such a snow event and who knows, history might repeat itself.

     

    *this is NOT a forecast*  :rofl: yet it is a hopecast which may become one. 

    *SMACKS You round the chops* No loosing the faith! It will return ... Please note will requires a little lot of faith!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol
  • Location: Yatton, South of Bristol

    Honestly I cant remember....... :nonono:

    Well that's what I mean....why get your hopes for an Easterly if you can't remember if it was good for your area. Get the cold air in place, then lets see what happens.

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    Posted
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!

    Hello. . . .what do you all think the chances for snow in Southampton are? Please tell me what I want to hear thank you ;-)

     *Wave Wave from up the M3* Not seen you on here before ...

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    Posted
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL
  • Location: Poole, Dorset 42m ASL

    Temperature still falling now 3.1C and the wind has now spun into the NW, finally some cooler air is arriving.

     

    With 10cm of snow in the channel, wont the sea level rise, scary? :hi:

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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    So Sunday just got interesting

    post-16760-0-41996000-1421399634_thumb.j

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    Posted
  • Location: Bedhampton - Hampshire 30m above sea level.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Blizzard, Hot & Sunny
  • Location: Bedhampton - Hampshire 30m above sea level.

    Met Office do their forecast update at 11am, we will see what that brings.

    Heads down for the GFS forecast.

    Edited by liam300
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    Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

    Met Office do their forecast update at 11am, we will see what that brings.

    Heads down for the GFS forecast.

    Well it didn't say that at 7am on my App

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    4.1°C after 2.3mm of rain.

    Damp and depressing this morning.

    Looking forward to building a sleetman!

    post-15177-0-65979700-1421402367_thumb.p

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