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South West & Central Southern England Regional Discussion - 1300z 12/1/15 ------>


A.J

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset

Looks like I messed some snow fall up Bristol airport way, precipitation died right down just as I got here! Parked cars up here with a little snow on them. Absolutely hammered it down back home with rain, little sleet in the really heavy bursts.

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Posted
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Hot in Summer Cold in Winter
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire

https://flic.kr/p/qPnaZD Hope this works, heavy snow that started as sleet and when the sleet got heavy it turned to Snow, I never expected that

 

 

Edit taken near Nympsfield

Edited by Rich_Clements
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Posted
  • Location: Somerset
  • Location: Somerset

W COUNTRY Very uncertain prospects late Sat into Sun; ditto by Tues. Awkward f'cast re rain v snow, & wide spread of poss outcomes...for now

 

Latest from Ian! :)

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Posted
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL
  • Location: North East Cotswolds, 232m, 761feet ASL

Snow in swindon

Heavy now with 50p flakes...wet ones though

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Posted
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Continental winters & summers.
  • Location: Cleeve, North Somerset

All finished here. Showers are taking an odd track further north than they normally do off the Bristol Channel.

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Posted
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Gales, frost, fog & snow
  • Location: Longwell Green, near Bristol

W COUNTRY Very uncertain prospects late Sat into Sun; ditto by Tues. Awkward f'cast re rain v snow, & wide spread of poss outcomes...for now

Latest from Ian! :)

Can see what Ian means. ECMWF Det shows a tease for more southern members as early as Saturday night;

post-12721-0-10216900-1421357088_thumb.jpost-12721-0-63903200-1421357098_thumb.j

post-12721-0-33448700-1421357106_thumb.jpost-12721-0-24158100-1421357114_thumb.j

post-12721-0-20952700-1421357122_thumb.jpost-12721-0-96479200-1421357129_thumb.j

Edited by AWD
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Posted
  • Location: isle of wight
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW
  • Location: isle of wight

Really happy to c a decent cold spell coming now just so scared as usual us on th South coast will get rain while everyone else gets Snow!!! Anyone kno if we r in with a decent chance or do I give up now?! Thanks

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Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, nr Bristol, SGlos

Ian's posted in Mad disc thread as well, about Sat night/early Sun morn.

Maybe some interest for our southern members, and a slight possibility for those of us further North in our region.

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

Dry as a bone here.

5.8C DP 0.5C

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Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,

Ian's full quote

A mixed bag of EC clusters.... any pronouncements of a secure and swift return to 'mild' conditions need to be taken with pinch of salt. Meanwhile, nearer-term focus needs to be on the late Sat-Sun high WBPT plume curving atop the low running off down into Biscay. *Could* get interesting on N flank of this feature, but wide spread in PPN envelope (e.g. MOGREPS has this anywhere from N France to S Midlands!!)....

Hope it stops a few people from calling a swift return to mild weather for the time being, a very fluid situation

Fromey

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Posted
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Hot in Summer Cold in Winter
  • Location: Eastington Gloucestershire

Ian's full quote

A mixed bag of EC clusters.... any pronouncements of a secure and swift return to 'mild' conditions need to be taken with pinch of salt. Meanwhile, nearer-term focus needs to be on the late Sat-Sun high WBPT plume curving atop the low running off down into Biscay. *Could* get interesting on N flank of this feature, but wide spread in PPN envelope (e.g. MOGREPS has this anywhere from N France to S Midlands!!)....

Hope it stops a few people from calling a swift return to mild weather for the time being, a very fluid situation

Fromey

Thanks fromey, goes to show how much uncertainty there is at the moment, I wouldn't right anything off at the moment

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Posted
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,
  • Weather Preferences: cold snow, thunderstorms
  • Location: frome somerset 105m ABSL,

Thanks fromey, goes to show how much uncertainty there is at the moment, I wouldn't right anything off at the moment

Anything is possible South of the M4!!!been here before!!

Fromey

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Posted
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl
  • Weather Preferences: The fabled channel low
  • Location: Dousland, South Dartmoor 205 m/asl

Not overly cold here with temps at 4.1c but dew point at -0.7c. Lots of intriguing scenarios in the next week. Nothing set in stone!

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

Another good run from the 18z GFS. More longevity in the easterly with snow chances a plenty

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Posted
  • Location: Verwood, Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,Wind,Lightning
  • Location: Verwood, Dorset

Just watched an interesting BBC One weather update for the next few days from Helen Willets, worth watching if you did not see.

Was an excellent forecast i thought, they are keeping an eye on a few things for sure!

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Posted
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!

CHANNEL LOW! CHANNEL LOW!

CHANNEL LOW! CHANNEL LOW!

CHANNEL LOW! CHANNEL LOW!

CHANNEL LOW! CHANNEL LOW!

CHANNEL LOW! CHANNEL LOW!

 

PWITTY PLEAAAAAAAAAAASE!!! 

 

I misse that last one I was in ruddy Munich! December 20??? 10?

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Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.

CHANNEL LOW! CHANNEL LOW!

CHANNEL LOW! CHANNEL LOW!

CHANNEL LOW! CHANNEL LOW!

CHANNEL LOW! CHANNEL LOW!

CHANNEL LOW! CHANNEL LOW!

 

PWITTY PLEAAAAAAAAAAASE!!! 

 

I misse that last one I was in ruddy Munich! December 20??? 10?

 

I do believe its been cancelled now, so sorry. However, it could well be replaced by a SW England trough with stalled fronts aligned SE'wards from central Wales to Winchester. The depression's frontal boundaries lying as suggested, during next Tuesday into Wednesday looks to slowly fill, stall and is likely to produces 36 hours of intermittent snowfall.

 

Any takers? February 1978 twas an often quoted month which contained such a snow event and who knows, history might repeat itself.

 

*this is NOT a forecast*  :rofl: yet it is a hopecast which may become one. 

Edited by gottolovethisweather
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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset

Well depending on just how far east those fronts get before they stall, your statement could be bang on the money, those fronts get too far east however and the mood in here would not be a good one lol.

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