Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

North West England - Weather chat


Recommended Posts

A better GFS 18z which ties in with Helen Willets forecast, I don't know how up to date data she was using so I would reserve judgement on that forecast for time being, also though the met office map graphic shows a slight NE ward correction again, also - don't be concerned that the medium range prognosis has been compromised for a quick snow to rain event - it wouldnt, you need the low to sink but you need it to dig south East rather than end up just to the south, you can see on the 18z that a tiny correction has now meant the Easterly lasting far longer than on the 12z, if the low just barrelled through from West to East only clipping Northern UK as it would in a mobile set up then it would be the end but there is no chance of this happening, ideally we would want the low to dive SE but then Stall over France but elongate towards the Low countries and the Icelandic High to link up with the Russian high with the really severe uppers coming around the back of the high with the surface isobars tracing all the way to Eastern Russia / Siberia, that isn't going to happen but the 18z is still far better than the 12z.

Edited by feb1991blizzard
  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
  • Replies 3.8k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

For goodness sake, will people stop hanging on to every nuance of what some silly app says?! It will be down to the here and now when it gets here.

Snow this morning in Saddleworth.......will there be more on Tue/ Weds??

Hello follow north westerners, I'm just south of the city of Preston ( Walton Le dale) I've been watching the forum for a couple a years, but never posted but trying to understand what is going on, th

Posted Images

Off topic of the up n coming weather......It's still blowing out there, far windier than last night in this area, just put my head out of the door nearly lost my wig!, no rain, scattered clouds and cold

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

Off topic of the up n coming weather......It's still blowing out there, far windier than last night in this area, just put my head out of the door nearly lost my wig!, no rain, scattered clouds and cold

Agreed Jan. House has been creaking tonight - wasn't the case last night.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Agreed Jan. House has been creaking tonight - wasn't the case last night.

I was disappointed in the 'storm' last night after all the hype, went very calm after the initial blusteriness. Tonight as you say the house has been creaking, lots of things blowing around outside. Just chased Meg outside, she took a lot of persuading (fair weather dog) really had to hold on tight to the door handle as the wind took it

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Other than Christmas week, and the days leading up to Christmas, if I had to say best time for a snowfall event then around about the third week of Jan would be it.. to liven things up. This is deep mid winter now for me, and it feels right to see snow on the horizon it what is generally the most 'miserable' period of the year.. its perfect timing.

  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

Good man! :)

 

 

I have sort of.

 

gens-21-2-120_avk5.png

 

 

The one caveat though is that I have never ever checked on the reliability of GEFS mean PPN charts and looking at the graphics the area of PPN looks overdone to me.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Can anyone advise if any snow in nw England will be from sea level up? Just that here in Warrington at the lofty heights of 11m asl we can tend to miss out when it's snoring everywhere else.. Thanks

 

Marginal for the showers over the next couple of days, anything next week is really too early to tell because we don't know whether the front will even make it yet so cant really speculate how much milder air it brings.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Hi Res Euro4 has chance of snow for NW England tomorrow around noon.

 

15011612_1518.gif

 

And again for more Northern regions Fri night Sat morning

 

15011706_1518.gif15011712_1518.gif

 

Fingers crossed.

 

 

That's a stonker for me, if there is no melt, I could have about 6cm by the end of it.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
×
×
  • Create New...