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North West England - Weather chat


Captain Shortwave

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.

A better GFS 18z which ties in with Helen Willets forecast, I don't know how up to date data she was using so I would reserve judgement on that forecast for time being, also though the met office map graphic shows a slight NE ward correction again, also - don't be concerned that the medium range prognosis has been compromised for a quick snow to rain event - it wouldnt, you need the low to sink but you need it to dig south East rather than end up just to the south, you can see on the 18z that a tiny correction has now meant the Easterly lasting far longer than on the 12z, if the low just barrelled through from West to East only clipping Northern UK as it would in a mobile set up then it would be the end but there is no chance of this happening, ideally we would want the low to dive SE but then Stall over France but elongate towards the Low countries and the Icelandic High to link up with the Russian high with the really severe uppers coming around the back of the high with the surface isobars tracing all the way to Eastern Russia / Siberia, that isn't going to happen but the 18z is still far better than the 12z.

Edited by feb1991blizzard
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Posted
  • Location: North Liverpool & Huertas Bajas de Cabra Cordoba S
  • Weather Preferences: Any extreme weather conditions
  • Location: North Liverpool & Huertas Bajas de Cabra Cordoba S

Off topic of the up n coming weather......It's still blowing out there, far windier than last night in this area, just put my head out of the door nearly lost my wig!, no rain, scattered clouds and cold

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Posted
  • Location: Maghull, Merseyside 29m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, storms
  • Location: Maghull, Merseyside 29m ASL

Off topic of the up n coming weather......It's still blowing out there, far windier than last night in this area, just put my head out of the door nearly lost my wig!, no rain, scattered clouds and cold

Agreed Jan. House has been creaking tonight - wasn't the case last night.

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Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, very hot weather, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.

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Tuesday looks very good on the GFS!! :cold: :cold: :cold:

 

 

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Edited by pip22
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Posted
  • Location: Littleborough,Greater manchester 164m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Summer storms, hot summer days and Snow :)
  • Location: Littleborough,Greater manchester 164m asl

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Tuesday looks very good on the GFS!! :cold: :cold: :cold:

 

 

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crikey
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Posted
  • Location: North Liverpool & Huertas Bajas de Cabra Cordoba S
  • Weather Preferences: Any extreme weather conditions
  • Location: North Liverpool & Huertas Bajas de Cabra Cordoba S

Agreed Jan. House has been creaking tonight - wasn't the case last night.

I was disappointed in the 'storm' last night after all the hype, went very calm after the initial blusteriness. Tonight as you say the house has been creaking, lots of things blowing around outside. Just chased Meg outside, she took a lot of persuading (fair weather dog) really had to hold on tight to the door handle as the wind took it

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.

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Tuesday looks very good on the GFS!! :cold: :cold: :cold:

 

 

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Unfortunately though, the 120 fax doesn't support it.

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.

Stop being a doom mongerer! lol :)

 

Sorry to bring even more bad news but the JMA 18z out to 84hrs and its further West again.

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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Other than Christmas week, and the days leading up to Christmas, if I had to say best time for a snowfall event then around about the third week of Jan would be it.. to liven things up. This is deep mid winter now for me, and it feels right to see snow on the horizon it what is generally the most 'miserable' period of the year.. its perfect timing.

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.

Good man! :)

 

 

I have sort of.

 

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The one caveat though is that I have never ever checked on the reliability of GEFS mean PPN charts and looking at the graphics the area of PPN looks overdone to me.

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Posted
  • Location: Warrington
  • Weather Preferences: Cold winter/ hot summer
  • Location: Warrington

Can anyone advise if any snow in nw England will be from sea level up? Just that here in Warrington at the lofty heights of 11m asl we can tend to miss out when it's snoring everywhere else.. Thanks

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.

Can anyone advise if any snow in nw England will be from sea level up? Just that here in Warrington at the lofty heights of 11m asl we can tend to miss out when it's snoring everywhere else.. Thanks

 

Marginal for the showers over the next couple of days, anything next week is really too early to tell because we don't know whether the front will even make it yet so cant really speculate how much milder air it brings.

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Posted
  • Location: blackburn
  • Weather Preferences: heavy snow/ heatwaves
  • Location: blackburn

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Tuesday looks very good on the GFS!! :cold: :cold: :cold:

 

 

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If that comes to fruition i shall platt fog.

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester

Hi Res Euro4 has chance of snow for NW England tomorrow around noon.

 

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And again for more Northern regions Fri night Sat morning

 

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Fingers crossed.

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.

Hi Res Euro4 has chance of snow for NW England tomorrow around noon.

 

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And again for more Northern regions Fri night Sat morning

 

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Fingers crossed.

 

 

That's a stonker for me, if there is no melt, I could have about 6cm by the end of it.

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Posted
  • Location: blackburn
  • Weather Preferences: heavy snow/ heatwaves
  • Location: blackburn

Hi Res Euro4 has chance of snow for NW England tomorrow around noon.

 

15011612_1518.gif

 

And again for more Northern regions Fri night Sat morning

 

15011706_1518.gif15011712_1518.gif

 

Fingers crossed.

Are they showers mucka or something a bit more organised.

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Posted
  • Location: Littleborough,Greater manchester 164m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Summer storms, hot summer days and Snow :)
  • Location: Littleborough,Greater manchester 164m asl

Loads of showers developing across the Irish sea, could be VERY interesting in the next hour or so.

anybody got current dew point figures?
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