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Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat


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Just another link-   The Euro4 model is the one my above post but will add again- For beginners use these 2 - you can just change the timelines with each model run ( some 2 hours after each run it

The front is now beginning to push in-   Watch out for the dewpoints to start dropping from the SE later in the eve,   There is a LOT of of PPN out in the channel arcing NNE ( NNN - even NNW)  

You sound like my ex

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Clear and cold here also, nothing wintry, not even a frost (which I am glad of as I was expecting to have to chip into the car this morning). As the light comes I can see there is just some scattered cloud, looks like a mostly clear ans potentially sunny morning willbe had here before the storm system arrives in our area later today.

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Actually looks like the trough is sitting in the channel and was due to be further north, anyway.. Don't matter so mmany more chances this winter... And tonight is going to be wild! With one chart suggest when the front moves through we could experexperience 80mph gusts in land!!! (check storm thread)

I knew something went on, with english channel being bombarded with PPN. :wallbash:

It will either die or it will be too warm... place your bets. Oh well this is first of many hopefully. :)

post-19153-0-73838000-1421221488_thumb.j

Edited by Daniel*
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I would rather on the north coast of France a the moment, a line of thundery rain has developed in the channel and is pushing into the area at the moment. Looks like many over the channel are getting a real soaking.

Edited by Captain shortwave
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With the angle of the band and its shape it looks to me like a Bristol channel streamer, just hope it doesn't die out before it reaches London

Most of the stuff has over the last few hours.

Funny thing is if it was milder & nailed on rain it would most probably intensify

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I feel what's happened is a good thing for this thread for the coming 10 days atleast.

Anyone new will have learned not to get carried away by the models even at close range, them accumalation charts can be taken as a pinch of salt 90% the time.

There are so.many factors that need to play ball especially when having to rely on stuff from the West.

Just goes to show the term nowcast is the best method of practice in these set-ups.

Still plenty of interesting weather on offer.

Edited by Kent Blizzard
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Little heads up and people please disregard the word "downgrade" 

 

 

 

Tonight is looking VERY windy for this region! 

 

NOTE the below is convective gusts associated with the front moving through.. 80 knots = 92MPH 

gfs_gusts_eur42.png

Rtavn2412.gif

 

Again backed up here... These are NOT the surface winds but these gusts could potentially be pulled down to ground level... 

 

 

ALSO! Back onto surface gusts.. Tomorrows second wave of winds has been shunted well south... Another shift on the models south today and London gets a repeat of tonight AT peak school kick out!!! 

 

nmmukgust.png

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The met office simply dont agree with some of those charts, obviously i hope the meto are wrong.

Im going by the wind maps on the meto, soemone said dont trust those graphics but they are from our

national weather service.

Edited by mickeyb44
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Well looks like there was another graupel shower whilst I was asleep. With regards to the Met Office graphics it is their own raw data. At close range like this it is best to look at them alongside any written forecast from them. I have a feeling the Met Office warning map is going to look pretty complicated later today.

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Mickey, you seem to have been riding the rollercoaster of emotion that goes with consuming weather models without a healthy dose of salt.

 

You need to chill, I know you want a huge storm but it's like wanting to find the right woman: when you make too much effort to find her, you won't.

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