Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Southeast England and East Anglia - Weather Chat


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 3.5k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Just another link-   The Euro4 model is the one my above post but will add again- For beginners use these 2 - you can just change the timelines with each model run ( some 2 hours after each run it

The front is now beginning to push in-   Watch out for the dewpoints to start dropping from the SE later in the eve,   There is a LOT of of PPN out in the channel arcing NNE ( NNN - even NNW)  

You sound like my ex

Posted Images

Oh yes today marks the day 2 years ago I made this forum account, following years of being a bystander would be fab to see the elusive frozen flake, on my netweather birthday. :hi:

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

What will be will be.

Too old and long in the tooth to worry about something I can do nothing about. Been here so many times before. If anyone gets anything then it's a bonus.

Best way to look at it.

But, good luck one and all.

Totally agree, no sense getting upset over something you have no control over, que sera sera.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Really unsure if Rochester, Kent will get anything. :(

Its simply impossible to say, as is almost always the way with these showers.  Hope for the best come morning time - you might see a few flakes, maybe more, decades of watching these scenarios tells me that the most likely scenario is zilch, so expect nothing and you wont be disappointed.

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

i will try to stay awake to see any flurries , until i fall asleep, which wont be long after i finish my 15hr shift  :lazy:

Edited by Jo S
Link to post
Share on other sites

Mr Essex man, fellow poster in here :good:

@eefnews Showers expected between 03:00 and 07:00 Wednesday morning. Model data suggests minor accumulations (0.5cm) in a few spots.

@TheRetreat_E18 Sledges on standby for next week, several possible snow events for the South of England.

@bwdloyal Very impressive, ensembles too showing good support for a lengthy cold spell. Several snow ops, just need a closer time frame!

This is for Essex which are known as the direst county in the UK, the further west you are generally the greater the likelihood of getting something decent, more sustained. Futher on interest does not wane. This could be just a little sprint, to what may come. And this is not so far away at all.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

If the showers turn out as forecast then almost anywhere away from West and south west facing coasts could get some snow by 9am tomorrow.

 

Probable inhabited sweetspot - somewhere like Crowborough, East Sussex at 700ft asl.  Tunbridge Wells, Sevenoaks will do well IF the precipitation arrives.

Altitude will be a huge help - every metre helps AND distance from windward coasts.  Places like Detling in Kent could do well, High Wealden ridges in Sussex, Leith Hill, Box Hill.

The main activity is not likely until 3am - 8am as a forecasted clump of showers tracks west to east.  Fingers crossed for all snow lovers out there.

 

WI

I just live across the forest from crowborough and my altitude is 125 m above sea level. I hope it won't disrupt my travel to London tomorrow
Link to post
Share on other sites

BBC weather do seem to be downgrading snow potential in the early hours ever so slightly, but imo it is at the time now that it's almost worth not looking at that site anymore and instead looking out the window whilst noting the temperature!

Link to post
Share on other sites

I'd happily stay up for a bit of lamp post watching (even though I'm not expecting anything) but ours get turned off at midnight now.  I think I may have to go out tomorrow and buy myself a powerful torch to shine out of the bedroom window  :D

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

I just live across the forest from crowborough and my altitude is 125 m above sea level. I hope it won't disrupt my travel to London tomorrow

Hi.  Its all very hit and miss (more often miss) BUT the chance is there. 4-6 am looks like the highest risk time, as the colder air with instability takes a long while to work its way south east to this corner. The hi res models (only of which euro4 is indicating much in the way of precipitation) tend to over-exaggerate so I wouldn't lose any sleep worrying about your commute. :D

Link to post
Share on other sites

Surprised to see quite so much optimism in here as I'd say there's nigh on zero chance of anything for the South East...the future looks good but tonight isn't our time.

Happy to be wrong.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

yes but it will die out before it reches us.

It is potent I think it will survive... but we're not on the right side of marginal yet. Potential main event is expected much later, notice them clumps out towards the far South West. :rolleyes:

post-19153-0-20066200-1421183812_thumb.j

Link to post
Share on other sites

A trough will develop later tonight and that'll allow the showers to become a little more organised and head further Eastwards too

 

post-7073-0-34929100-1421183975_thumb.gi

 

The EURO4 model highlights this quite well

 

post-7073-0-86510000-1421184022_thumb.gi

 

post-7073-0-41532500-1421184023_thumb.gi

 

Don't give up hope, our chances were never until the early hours of tomorrow morning anyway (5am - 8am) seems to be our greatest chance. 

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites

A trough will develop later tonight and that'll allow the showers to become a little more organised and head further Eastwards too

 

attachicon.gif00_UKMet_Boden+24.gif

 Agree totally mate!

The EURO4 model highlights this quite well

 

attachicon.gif1.gif

 

attachicon.gif2.gif

 

Don't give up hope, our chances were never until the early hours of tomorrow morning anyway (5am - 8am) seems to be our greatest chance.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Trough arrives after midnight, which should push the showers gathering in the SW east across the SE of England in the early hours.

post-1052-0-36205100-1421184276_thumb.pn

Euro4 perhaps a bit OTT with the snow signal for 06z Weds, 12z UKMO meso looks similar with precip extent, with rain/snow mix for the SE.

Think there's a chance, IMO, for early-up lamppost watchers to see some wet snow in the heavier bursts event a lower levels - though accumulations perhaps reserved to over 150m, say Chilterns, Berkshire Downs, North Downs, South Downs and the High Weald. Perhaps some temporary slushy deposits outside London at lower elevations.

post-1052-0-08503000-1421184732_thumb.gi

Edited by Nick F
  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
×
×
  • Create New...