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Severe Atlantic storms 8-10th January

Skullzrulerz

By Skullzrulerz
in Storms & Severe Weather

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

Would that suggest it will take more of a Northerly track than FC?

After looking at the satellite/model outputs I think the track is pretty much going as per the latest models are predicting. 

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted (edited)

Whilst the north gets battered with storm force winds tonight the strongest winds for my location according to the 12z guidance look like occurring during Saturday morning in association with the second system. Wind speeds & gusts some 5-10mph stronger than what I can expect tonight. 

 

Winds already picking up over Western Ireland, a bit stronger than forecast as well. http://www.xcweather.co.uk/

Edited by Liam J
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Mark Neal. Seasoned

Mark Neal.

Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
Posted

Clear skies and 6mph down here in far South, will pick up through the night, and touch gale force at times.

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

NMM4 wind gusts charts for the overnight period, going to be a very extreme night for the north with a sleepless night for some!

 

post-9615-0-55012400-1420743245_thumb.pnpost-9615-0-89527700-1420743252_thumb.pnpost-9615-0-68824000-1420743258_thumb.pnpost-9615-0-27396700-1420743270_thumb.pnpost-9615-0-29001100-1420743285_thumb.pn

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Friday morning up to 50mph here from Friday afternoon maybe up to 60mph. But at least it will feel like spring.

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Matty M Community Regular

Matty M

Posted
  • Location: Dublin
  • Location: Dublin
Posted

It is deeper, however these storm's usually have a relatively short live where the sting-jet type phenomenon forms.

 

So a rapid deepening now may mean the storm is weakening as it crosses northern Scotland.

Of course the storm is going to be violent up north but if it reach peak intensity just off shore and begins to fill slightly the risk of those gusts to near 110/120mph will reduce. 

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shetland islands Contributor

shetland islands

Posted
  • Location: Eshaness, Shetland Islands
  • Weather Preferences: Cool and Stormy
  • Location: Eshaness, Shetland Islands
Posted

NMM4 wind gusts charts for the overnight period, going to be a very extreme night for the north with a sleepless night for some!

 

attachicon.gifnmm47.pngattachicon.gifnmm48.pngattachicon.gifnmm49.pngattachicon.gifnmm50.pngattachicon.gifnmm51.png

To me eye it looks like the extreme winds are further north on this with Orkney getting the worst?

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Mesosphere Contributor

Mesosphere

Posted
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Warm summer evenings
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
Posted

So strange that it's fairly calm here just now, just a 14mph SW'ly at Edinburgh Airport circa 1820. To think in 6 hours it will be wild 

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted (edited)

Friday night into Saturday, round two for the north! Although wind speeds down a notch or two on tonight, also severe gales more widespread into Saturday morning and generally windy for most of the UK.

post-9615-0-68307300-1420743783_thumb.pnpost-9615-0-71895700-1420743789_thumb.pnpost-9615-0-26225200-1420743797_thumb.pnpost-9615-0-70760400-1420743803_thumb.pn

Edited by Liam J
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Mark Neal. Seasoned

Mark Neal.

Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
Posted

Thanks for Posting Liam.  Fri Night into Sat AM looks more windier than tonight into tomorrow, the further south you go! 

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

Thanks for Posting Liam.  Fri Night into Sat AM looks more windier than tonight into tomorrow, the further south you go! 

Yeah, Friday night on into Saturday looks like bringing some wild weather to many areas further south. Obviously the major concern is for the far N&NW of the UK tonight - do not underestimate what is currently winding up over the Atlantic as we type! Significant disruption coming for Scotland. 

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted (edited)

To me eye it looks like the extreme winds are further north on this with Orkney getting the worst?

You will certainly get a good battering from this event and again on Fri/Sat, Second storm poss stronger for you in Shetland as it tracks a bit further north. 

Edited by Liam J
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shetland islands Contributor

shetland islands

Posted
  • Location: Eshaness, Shetland Islands
  • Weather Preferences: Cool and Stormy
  • Location: Eshaness, Shetland Islands
Posted (edited)

You will certainly get a good battering from this event and again on Fri/Sat. Second storm poss stronger for you in Shetland as it tracks a bit further north. 

In Shetland? Looks like we will miss it.

Edited by Liam J
added the rest of my reply.
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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted (edited)

In Shetland? Looks like we will miss it.

The core of really damaging winds are predicted just to the south of Shetland but gusts could still reach 70-80mph for a time. Poss 90mph with the second storm.

 

Friday

 

post-9615-0-79038600-1420744789_thumb.pnpost-9615-0-58505900-1420744796_thumb.pn

 

Saturday - Track still open to changes. 

 

post-9615-0-58822300-1420744803_thumb.pn

Edited by Liam J
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Mark Neal. Seasoned

Mark Neal.

Posted
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Headington,Oxfordshire
Posted (edited)

I'd say Shetland one of the areas at risk of seeing the highest gusts?! Obviously just cloesby could see 100mph, but still 60-80mph at least for you guys.

Edited by Mark N
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Mesosphere Contributor

Mesosphere

Posted
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Warm summer evenings
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
Posted

Wow, Ship Report in from 58.7N -14.9W, pressure tendency -16.6mb!! she's defo bombing

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shetland islands Contributor

shetland islands

Posted
  • Location: Eshaness, Shetland Islands
  • Weather Preferences: Cool and Stormy
  • Location: Eshaness, Shetland Islands
Posted

The core of really damaging winds are predicted just to the south of Shetland but gusts could still reach 70-80mph for a time. Poss 90mph with the second storm.

 

Friday

 

attachicon.gifgfs150.pngattachicon.gifgfs151.png

 

Saturday - Track still open to changes. 

 

attachicon.gifgfs152.png

Thanks Liam. Might be a bit wild then. Saturday looks bad in southern Shetland.

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Jo Farrow Veteran

Jo Farrow

Posted
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Weather Preferences: Not too hot, excitement of snow, a hoolie
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Popular Post
Posted (edited)

 

18Z image out

'The dry areas (dark) are a sign of cyclogenesis as stratospheric (dry) air is protruding down.'

Edited by Jo Farrow
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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted

 

 

 

18Z image out

 

Sting jet! Really winding up now. 

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Liam J Experienced

Liam J

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
Posted (edited)

Wind continues to increase here, mean winds nearly touching severe gale force now over W ireland, again a little stronger than forecast. http://www.xcweather.co.uk/

Edited by Liam J
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