Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Pollen

Severe Atlantic storms 8-10th January


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Warm summer evenings
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland

    I imagine they'll be some quick transatlantic flights going west to east tonight/early tomorrow!  

     

    hgt300.png

     

    Some very streamlined middle/high level cloud here in the last half hour

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    Posted
  • Location: Darton, Barnsley south yorkshire, 102 M ASL
  • Location: Darton, Barnsley south yorkshire, 102 M ASL

    Spent contrails are really shifting here, moving faster than the low fair weather cumulus

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Ireland
  • Location: Ireland

    eur_full.gif?1420731750

     

    The image at that point is just based on the model. Later in the hour when the observation data comes in, the image gets automatically redrawn with a blend of model+data.

     

    Or we may need to wait until 6pm. I think that the full data only comes in every 3 hours if I remember right.

    Edited by radiohead
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

    Is the storm tracking further north than forecast? Hows the 12z looking? I'm at work so can't check :)

    Looks further north on the chart BFT posted.

    Edited by Liam J
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    The beeb are going for the low to get down to 964hpa tomorrow some planes from the USA have landed 1hr to 1hr 30mins early today at London Heathrow because of the strong tailwinds

     

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/30733817

    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: storms - of the severe kind
  • Location: Torrington, Devon

    That shows the baroclinic leaf effect.

    It's going to be very bad, the only good news, it's going through quickly

    Seem to be closing on the timeline somewhere from 2am until 7am for the worst of it

     

    edit: look at the latest radar !! - it's all lining up just to the west of Ireland

    Edited by stevofunnelcl
    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne

    Xc weather has 90mph winds for Lerwick on Saturday, is this likely?

     

    Well not according to the Latest gfs (P) chart but I wouldn't place everything on that as the old GFS is looking in that direction as shown. Keep an eye on the METO updates is the best bet.

    post-12275-0-29828000-1420737391_thumb.p

    Edited by knocker
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Eshaness, Shetland Islands
  • Weather Preferences: Cool and Stormy
  • Location: Eshaness, Shetland Islands

    Well not according to the Latest gfs (P) chart but I wouldn't place everything on that as the old GFS is looking in that direction as shown. Keep an eye on the METO updates is the best bet.

    Still uncertainty. See what the ECM brings...

    The GFS (P) has not been the most reliable model lately.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Camborne
  • Location: Camborne

    Still uncertainty. See what the ECM brings...

    The GFS (P) has not been the most reliable model lately.

     

    I don't think it matters what the ECM brings as the exact position of the second low is critical to what winds you get and that will not be decided on the 12z run. It wasn't the P that is giving the strong winds but old one.

    Edited by knocker
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Weather Preferences: Atlantic storms, severe gales, blowing snow and frost :)
  • Location: Carlisle, Cumbria

    Crazy 24-36hrs or so coming up with storm force winds, rain, snow and blizzards all on the menu!! Breeze starting to pick up here, over the next few hours the wind will pick up quite quickly from the west, widespread gales towards midnight & into the early hours with storm force winds for the far NW. Waiting for the 12z NMM4 to update. 

    Edited by Liam J
    • Like 2
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Mids & Kent
  • Weather Preferences: snow heat storms and sunshine!
  • Location: Mids & Kent

    I imagine they'll be some quick transatlantic flights going west to east tonight/early tomorrow!

    hgt300.png

    Some very streamlined middle/high level cloud here in the last half hour

    200kts+ tailwinds do help when travelling at over 450kts. Not quite so appealing when moving east to west :)

    Crazy 24-36hrs or so coming up with storm force winds, rain, snow and blizzards all on the menu!! Breeze starting to pick up here, over the next few hours the wind will pick up quite quickly from the west, widespread gales towards midnight & into the early hours with storm force winds for the far NW. Waiting for the 12z NMM4 to update.

    Appreciate the updates Liam, not least live and direct reports. Ever thought of moving nearer Stornaway lol. Edited by snow..chance
    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Warm summer evenings
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland

    200kts+ tailwinds do help when travelling at over 450kts. Not quite so appealing when moving east to west :)

    Appreciate the updates Liam, not least live and direct reports. Ever thought of moving nearer Stornaway lol.

     

    Yeah, quite a large number of the E to W's travelled up over Greenland today, routing so that they missed the strong tailwinds.

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

    200kts+ tailwinds do help when travelling at over 450kts. Not quite so appealing when moving east to west :)

    Appreciate the updates Liam, not least live and direct reports. Ever thought of moving nearer Stornaway lol.

     

    this link is quite good for its presentation, direct out of GFS but it does quite often seem to fit UK Met predictions at reasonably close time frames; just type in your location or a main one nearest to you.

    done it for Lewis

    http://www.windfinder.com/forecast/flesherin

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: very cold frosty days, blizzards, very hot weather, floods, storms
  • Location: Clayton-Le-Woods, Chorley 59m asl.

    Made this map up showing the highest wind speeds for each area according to the Met Office Weather Map,

     

    attachicon.giftopwindforecast.png

    God dammit!! Why do I always between the lines where I live!!! lol. :D

    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Eshaness, Shetland Islands
  • Weather Preferences: Cool and Stormy
  • Location: Eshaness, Shetland Islands

    I don't think it matters what the ECM brings as the exact position of the second low is critical to what winds you get and that will not be decided on the 12z run. It wasn't the P that is giving the strong winds but old one.

    True, not sure what to make of it really. I expect it to be a non-event here.

    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Posted
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Warm summer evenings
  • Location: Haddington, East Lothian, Scotland

    K5 buoy is one to keep an eye on tonight, centre of the low should pass nearby http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=64045

    Later on in the night as the centre moves eastwards, K7 will be one to watch http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=64046

     

    Pressure falling rapidly at K5 now, 993.7mb and tendency is -4.9mb. Will be interesting to see how low this one gets

    Edited by Mesosphere
    • Like 1
    Link to comment
    Share on other sites

    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
     Share

    ×
    ×
    • Create New...