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Possible storm/wind event - 9th December onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Spital Tongues)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Newcastle Upon Tyne (Spital Tongues)

    Here's what we'd all like to see with this wind!

     

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yCxnjgrZ5Lg

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    Thought I'd do a run down of events for the rest of the week in here. Sorry not able to post any charts for now.   A disturbed pattern is unfolding for the rest of this week, starting with an intens

    For the public there are several stages to this midweek windy weather, which need identifying to avoid confusion Tuesday becomes windy, but is not the main event. Weds looks like become an Amber war

    From Hebridean news      about 5 mins down the road from me   http://www.hebrides-news.com/storm-surge-91214.html

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    Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

    Lovely weather there Born :-)

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    It's looking quite wet for the duration. 10 - 15mm quite widely, higher totals likely in the west/south west.

    post-15177-0-16135000-1418298248_thumb.ppost-15177-0-97825900-1418298247_thumb.ppost-15177-0-04742000-1418298262_thumb.p

    40 to 50mph gusts possible inland, 60mph+ on the coast. It wouldn't surprise me if somewhere got a 70mph in exposed locations, Portland, IoW or the coast of Kent tomorrow morning.

    Thankfully, it is quite short lived. It looks like the strong winds will clear the far south east before 9am.

    post-15177-0-64987900-1418298806_thumb.ppost-15177-0-10844800-1418298821_thumb.ppost-15177-0-99546000-1418298830_thumb.ppost-15177-0-96311100-1418298838_thumb.p

    A lively period of weather to come and most of it while many of us are asleep. :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Jersey, Channel Islands
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Jersey, Channel Islands

    Evening all

     

    The latest warning from Jersey Met - Code Red  :help:

     

    However, we've experienced far worse although I'm glad they're taking the potentially volatile situation seriously. That said, our local Met Department don't issue code reds willy nilly so probably best to stay in and monitor the situation carefully.

     

    We're just glad that the worst of the wind looks likely to affect our region between 03:00 and 08:00 with a peak somewhere in the middle when most peeps should be safely tucked up in bed  :drinks:

    post-5600-0-89794100-1418316091_thumb.jp

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    I think the key here, is gust speeds.

    The St Jude storm barely showed 25mph windspeeds for here, but gusts were 55 to 60mph, and there were a lot of trees down due to that.

    post-15177-0-93056500-1418316347_thumb.ppost-15177-0-30113700-1418316348_thumb.p

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    Posted
  • Location: Bognor Regis West Sussex
  • Location: Bognor Regis West Sussex

    Overreactions, gusts of 50 to 60mph are a normal winter storm.

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    Overreactions, gusts of 50 to 60mph are a normal winter storm.

    You might wish to view one of my previous posts, the bit near the bottom.

    https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/81943-possible-stormwind-event-9th-december-onwards/?p=3084048

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    Posted
  • Location: Dublin
  • Location: Dublin

    I think there will be a short but quite severe slot of winds tonight along the south coast. I do expect to see a few gusts in the low 70mph.

     

    Will be interesting to see the the reports overnight but i suspect some will be surprised by the strength of the winds.

     

    Although max in London region will probably be circa 55mph.

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    Posted
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny with night time t-storms
  • Location: Haute Vienne, Limousin, France (404m ASL)

    Torrential showers of rain, hail and sleet here all day and especially this evening. Roads running like rivers in places and I got stuck in one of the showers on my dog walk - slipping and sliding down the moorside as fast as we could in the torrents...by torchlight as it was virtually dark!

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    Posted
  • Location: East Grinstead (Nr Gatwick) West Sussex 150m asl
  • Location: East Grinstead (Nr Gatwick) West Sussex 150m asl

    I would dread to think what the sea state would look like under this..

    attachicon.gifviewimage (9).png

    I'm watching deadliest catch right now as well!

    Thursday night/Friday morning still looking hairy for a time, particularly on the coasts (although nowhere near what Scotland's coasts will see)

    Still, 50 to 60mph likely on western and southern coasts, perhaps 70mph in those extreme spots.

    Here's the NetWx MR, GFS, GFS Parrallel gusts charts, respectively..

    attachicon.gifviewimage (5).pngattachicon.gifviewimage (6).png

    attachicon.gifviewimage (7).pngattachicon.gifviewimage ( 8).png

    attachicon.gifviewimage (10).pngattachicon.gifviewimage (11).png

    A few small discrepancies between them on exact timings but it's academic really.

    It will be 3 years, almost to the day that a similar system brought gales and heavy rain to southern areas. I was out fishing in Poole harbour at night when I heard sirens coming from the Poole side, it turned out to be a friend of mine who was killed instantly when her car aquaplaned and hit a fallen tree.

    attachicon.gifRrea00120111213.gif

    This is why I take my hat off to the MO. They have been superb with warnings for storms/wind events in the last few years, you cannot take them lightly.

    So sad to hear that. Until someone you know is affected these are just 'winter storms'. 

    A similar story with drink drivers. You may not think its a problem until you know someone who has been killed by it and sadly I and many others do.

     

    Lets hops everybody stays safe tonight

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    Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

    Have done a blog on tonight's depression moving across southern Britain here: http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=news;storyid=6344;sess=

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    Good evening folks.

    Well it's not often the Midlands finds itself sandwiched between MO weather warnings for snow to the north and strong winds to the south, leading me to think the path of the low centre is a little unusual.

    Anyone have any thoughts on a shuffle north of the system over the next few hours?

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    Have done a blog on tonight's depression moving across southern Britain here: http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=news;storyid=6344;sess=

    What are the chances of a squall line developing Nick? The NMM precip rate shows one, but it has done many times before without one occurring, so it can be misleading.

    I would have thought the cold front may be rather active?

    post-15177-0-63935800-1418325600_thumb.p

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    Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

    It has just been a typical windy few days here and far from constant, highest gust 37mph so far was the other day.

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    Posted
  • Location: Milford Haven, Pembrokeshire
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Milford Haven, Pembrokeshire

    Here in Haverfordwest I got 50mph in the early hours of this morning.  Been cold all day and very blustery

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    Posted
  • Location: North of Falkirk
  • Weather Preferences: North Atlantic cyclogenesis
  • Location: North of Falkirk
    Atlantic low 1013 moving very rapidly northeastwards, expected German Bight 981 by same time

     

     

    Says the shipping forecast. Anything moving and deepening that quickly will pack a punch. 

     

    And here we have it:

     

    Dover
    Gale warnings - Issued: 2156 UTC Thu 11 Dec

    Southwesterly severe gale force 9 increasing violent storm force 11 imminent

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    Posted
  • Location: inter drumlin South Tyrone Blackwater river valley surrounded by the last last ice age...
  • Weather Preferences: jack frost
  • Location: inter drumlin South Tyrone Blackwater river valley surrounded by the last last ice age...

    causing a little light rain here  :)

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    Posted
  • Location: North of Falkirk
  • Weather Preferences: North Atlantic cyclogenesis
  • Location: North of Falkirk

     

     

    Although max in London region will probably be circa 55mph.

    Probably enough for mass hysteria!

     

    The "weather-bomb" stuff has been pure gold for the media. It was just a typical winter storm for the north with increased wind shield (mega waves formed) in reality, but the short, snappy title of weather bomb sure made its presence on social media, and mocked to boot!

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    Posted
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.
  • Weather Preferences: Gales, T-storms, Heavy Rain, Heat, Cold - Love it all.
  • Location: The Purbeck Microclimate, Dorset.

    The wind is beginning to pick up down here on the coast. :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Ramsgate, Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes, to a point .....
  • Location: Ramsgate, Kent

    Ramsgate here, not expecting much until the early hours, I will update if I'm awake :-)

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    Posted
  • Location: Haverhill Suffolk UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Squall Lines, Storm Force Winds & Extreme Weather!
  • Location: Haverhill Suffolk UK

    Interesting few hours ahead for Southern England, the SE and E.Anglia. 

     

    Rapidly deepening now..... the low pressure really feeding itself......

     

    IR Satellite Image

     

    I suspect inland gusts hitting 70.mph across Sussex, Kent and Essex during the early hours, with 80.mph through the Dover Straits.

     

    Mammatus

    Edited by Mammatus
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