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December 2014 CET forecasts (start of 2014/15 contest year)


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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

CET averages and extremes

12.9 ... warmest daily mean, 12th 1994

8.1 ... warmest Decembers 1834 and 1974
7.7 ... third warmest 1852

 

6.3 ... Dec 2013

5.1 ... average for 1971-2000

4.8 ... Dec 2012
4.7 ... average for 1961-90
4.6 ... average for 1981-2010, also 1901-2000
4.5 ... average for 2001-2013
4.1 ... average for 1659-2013
4.0 ... average for 1801-1900
3.9 ... average for 1701-1800
3.4 ... average for 1659-1700

-0.5 ... third coldest 1676
-0.7 ... second coldest 2010
-0.8 ... coldest December 1890

-10.8 ... lowest daily mean 25th 1796

_______________________________________________

 

Enter your forecast for Dec 2014 in this thread.

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam

CET averages and extremes

12.9 ... warmest daily mean, 12th 1994

8.1 ... warmest Decembers 1834 and 1974

7.7 ... third warmest 1852

6.3 ... Dec 2013

5.1 ... average for 1971-2000

4.8 ... Dec 2012

4.7 ... average for 1961-90

4.6 ... average for 1981-2010, also 1901-2000

4.5 ... average for 2001-2013

4.1 ... average for 1659-2013

4.0 ... average for 1801-1900

3.9 ... average for 1701-1800

3.4 ... average for 1659-1700

-0.5 ... third coldest 1676

-0.7 ... second coldest 2010

-0.8 ... coldest December 1890

-10.8 ... lowest daily mean 25th 1796

_______________________________________________

Enter your forecast for Dec 2014 in this thread.

There is one number missing on that list: 5.9C

Mentioned this before in past December CETs threads but there has never been a 5.9C CET for that month.

I wonder if this is the nearest value to a long term average that has never been recorded?

Think about it, two 8.1Cs have been recorded for December which is at least 3.0C above the December long term average and yet a value between 1C and 2C above the long term average has never been recorded. Against, the 1971-2000 average, it is only 0.8C above. A strange stats quirk,

Edited by Weather-history
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Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom

 Rest in pieces 2014!  8.5C :(

Edited by IHaveNoTrueFriendsNow!
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Posted
  • Location: South Manchester. Summer=LV-426. Other=Azeroth
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, cold, cold and errrr......cold. I am, unashamedly, a cold fan.
  • Location: South Manchester. Summer=LV-426. Other=Azeroth

4.5 please.

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Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)

5.2C :)

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Posted
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL
  • Location: Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

3.3C :)

Increasingly becoming colder albeit drier as we near the mid part of the month. White Christmas this year wouldn't discount? With the warming projected in the stratosphere, volatile output.

post-19153-0-08507100-1416662377_thumb.j

Edited by Daniel*
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Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

5.5C

My winter forecast went wet with temperatures near or slightly above average. Expect deep Atlantic troughing regularly encroaching on the UK.

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Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

I'm thinking 3.6C

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Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)

4.2C - a month of 2 halves...

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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

6c for me

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Posted
  • Location: Broxbourne, Herts
  • Weather Preferences: Snow snow and snow
  • Location: Broxbourne, Herts

There's only a sample of six years going back to 1700 to choose from in winters where both the August CET was below 15C and the November was above 8C.

I'll go for the average December those years have produced being 3.6C

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Posted
  • Location: halifax 125m
  • Weather Preferences: extremes the unusual and interesting facts
  • Location: halifax 125m

Am going average at 4.2 deg.

 1981 coldest here at -1 deg beating 2010 at -0.7deg

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Posted
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts
  • Weather Preferences: hot summers; frigid winters; golden fall; bright spring
  • Location: Trowbridge, Wilts

3.9 for me please

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

I think I'll hold fire in the hope that, this time next week, there's a clearer indication of how things'll pan out. The now, it all looks as clear as mud!

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