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Paul

By Paul
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worldairgroup Newbie

worldairgroup

Posted
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
Posted
1 hour ago, CRACKPOT said:

I don't think that is on the cards (excuse the pun :) ) any longer.....

JK

Well it was only posted within the last 90 minutes or so. Only passing on info.

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CRACKPOT Apprentice

CRACKPOT

Posted
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Ice, Frost, Thunderstorms, Gales
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
Posted

Rubbish....

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/35556714?ns_mchannel=social&ns_campaign=bbc_weather&ns_source=twitter&ns_linkname=news_central

JK

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CRACKPOT Apprentice

CRACKPOT

Posted
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Ice, Frost, Thunderstorms, Gales
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
Posted
5 hours ago, worldairgroup said:

Well it was only posted within the last 90 minutes or so. Only passing on info.

and I was jokey in my response - there was a card joke in there!

 

JK

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andymusic Accomplished

andymusic

Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
Posted

knife edge stuff - track of the two lows is gonna be interesting for tomorrow into sunday as to whether Wales gets into the snow game or not

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CRACKPOT Apprentice

CRACKPOT

Posted
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Ice, Frost, Thunderstorms, Gales
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
Posted (edited)
5 minutes ago, andymusic said:

knife edge stuff - track of the two lows is gonna be interesting for tomorrow into sunday as to whether Wales gets into the snow game or not

I think it's gonna be too warm Saturday Andy, it looks like the low is coming in a little too far north for us and we are not getting into the cold winds/air. Obviously do not need a lot of deviation to allow the colder air but you would have thought the forecasters would be pretty close to the track at this close range?

Sunday looks too dry and next week looks to be benign for us.... they are saying cold but it doesn't look that cold, more average.

JK

Edited by CRACKPOT
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andymusic Accomplished

andymusic

Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
Posted (edited)
15 minutes ago, CRACKPOT said:

I think it's gonna be too warm Saturday Andy, it looks like the low is coming in a little too far north for us and we are not getting into the cold winds/air. Obviously do not need a lot of deviation to allow the colder air but you would have thought the forecasters would be pretty close to the track at this close range?

Sunday looks too dry and next week looks to be benign for us.... they are saying cold but it doesn't look that cold, more average.

JK

latest brockway video forecast showing snow for south wales starting tonight - as the low passes through it will begin to drag a little colder - north easterly based air into the mix allowing more of the rain to turn to snow before it departs - on the gfs mind you it keeps it just in south wales until sunday morning - we shall see - all depends on the actual track itself

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast-video/21416950

Edited by andymusic
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CRACKPOT Apprentice

CRACKPOT

Posted
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Ice, Frost, Thunderstorms, Gales
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
Posted
30 minutes ago, foggybrynna said:

Ducking Derrick said weds all change for snow

All change 'to' or 'from' snow?

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Jackfrost Aficionado

Jackfrost

Posted
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly County, 175m ASL
  • Location: Nelson, Caerphilly County, 175m ASL
Posted
52 minutes ago, foggybrynna said:

Ducking Derrick said weds all change for snow

 

21 minutes ago, CRACKPOT said:

All change 'to' or 'from' snow?

 

To be specific, it was "all change to rain and snow". Which, given our poor record in these kind of events over the last four or five years and the underwhelming model output for next week, is not something we should get too excited about at this stage.

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Bafan Explorer

Bafan

Posted
  • Location: Tredegar, SE Wales, 330m asl
  • Location: Tredegar, SE Wales, 330m asl
Posted

Met office spot on for Tredegar. Currently 1.2c and snowing. It's sticking too which is surprising as at 7am it was pouring with rain!

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CRACKPOT Apprentice

CRACKPOT

Posted
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Ice, Frost, Thunderstorms, Gales
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
Posted

As expected, nothing from this 'cold' spell - not even cold - average temps!

Mild coming through midweek as well, give up now - held out a little hope with it fluctuating so much, but not anymore.

Look for some spring temps now rather than damp, grey average rubbish.

JK

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Simon SWales Apprentice

Simon SWales

Posted
  • Location: Brynmawr 1300ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: sun and snow
  • Location: Brynmawr 1300ft asl
Posted
31 minutes ago, SLAMMER said:

camera4001.jpg

Looks like only snow on the very top of Pen Y Fan which is a bit surprising

We got the dreaded drip drip now. Yes I was surprised Dowlais had no snow too. Very marginal.  Met office say snow all day but not showing on radar unless that band pivots. 

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CRACKPOT Apprentice

CRACKPOT

Posted
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Ice, Frost, Thunderstorms, Gales
  • Location: Gilfach, Bargoed, South East Wales Valleys, 190m Asl
Posted

Gritter just gone down my street and we wonder why councils have no money. It's drizzling, not even cold (4.5 °C ).

Things still not looking good for the last chances of real snow as we close February out - these winters are getting worse.

JK

 

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Clair_Witch Enthusiast

Clair_Witch

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff 9m (32ft) asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold, thunder and lightning.
  • Location: Cardiff 9m (32ft) asl
Posted

Rain, just as Met Office predicted. :(

Such a shame. 3rd Snowless Winter in a row. Still time though, I'll never give up the hunt and there's always next year. We will have 6 foot drifts again, we will see blizzards. Lol

On another note. Come on Wales. Not the first half I wanted to see in this game against Scotland.

Cymru Am Byth! We seem to love playing catch up rugby.

 

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worldairgroup Newbie

worldairgroup

Posted
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
Posted

meanwhile across the pond their third successive polar vertex is causing temperatures to drop overnight to approx -34c. We can only wish! But that is a bit TOO COLD.

http://news.sky.com/story/1641563/millions-of-americans-shiver-in-polar-vortex

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welshwizard Apprentice

welshwizard

Posted
  • Location: Nantymoel (asl 268m)or 879ft
  • Location: Nantymoel (asl 268m)or 879ft
Posted

Well been chilly today but nice in direct sunlight, been a horrible winter with lots of rain and no real dry cold snap and hardly any snow for the kids,me I just want summer now so please weather gods let us have a very long hot sunny summer. All the talk of snow last Friday etc etc was wrong yet again. I know some areas had tiny amount,but at least in summer if we do get told nice hot sunny day we get it ha ha,may only be once but at least their correct ha ha. Sun and beer lvly.

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worldairgroup Newbie

worldairgroup

Posted
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
Posted (edited)

well it seems GFS has backtracked on itself now and is showing snow potential for east of Wales mid-week. Time to watch is from Wednesday night 0000 until 0600am Thursday. I would take it with a hint of caution as it may just end up as wet snow or very cold rain, but we cerrtainly are back in the running for a snow event.

00_78_preciptype.png.936f3e8b4973a73da27bf669cb03ed3d.png

00_78_uk2mtmpmin.png.e2df6882d6bfb0397da03aa07245a607.png

Edited by worldairgroup
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worldairgroup Newbie

worldairgroup

Posted
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
Posted

From Model Output Discussions

Consistently starting to be modelled across most models now is the threat of Weds rain to turn to sleet/snow towards the backedge of the front through Weds night and into Thursday, even across Central Southern England and into SE. Most likely to settle over elevation further north as Steve Murr alluded too with his cat & fiddle prediction.  Here is a look at the Weather Online charts view of the Precip through Weds and into Thurs.

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=rart&HH=54&ZOOM=1&ARCHIV=0&PRINT=0&PANEL=0&INFO=0&MOUSE=1

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