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Paul

By Paul
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The Post-modern Winter Enthusiast

The Post-modern Winter

Posted
  • Location: Clwydian Hills 210/300 Metres ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Seasonal
  • Location: Clwydian Hills 210/300 Metres ASL
Posted

My area following on from 5 hours of heavy snowfall on the Tuesday evening. . Please don't change. . 

post-19721-0-86226600-1421701400_thumb.p

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gareth moo Explorer

gareth moo

Posted
  • Location: Machen, Caerphilly, 80m asl.
  • Location: Machen, Caerphilly, 80m asl.
Posted

Euro 4 outlier? - probably. Another upgrade of that nature would put many of us back in the game.

It's only got to: a) upgrade at short notice b) actually happen. Damn!

 

Amazing lack of consensus at 24hrs out really.

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dbaloo Enthusiast

dbaloo

Posted
  • Location: Hengoed 208m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snowy..warm summers but not so hot you can fry an egg on the ground
  • Location: Hengoed 208m asl
Posted

haven't seen the models all day and evening because of work and after reading and trying to catch up,I still don't have a clue what's going to happen!

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J10 Veteran

J10

Posted
Posted (edited)

EURO4 18Hz now out and another outcome.


post-213-0-90553900-1421710389_thumb.gif post-213-0-79652100-1421710388_thumb.gif post-213-0-53032400-1421710387_thumb.gif post-213-0-33868900-1421710386_thumb.gif

 

post-213-0-11390300-1421710385_thumb.gif post-213-0-82769400-1421710383_thumb.gif post-213-0-49854200-1421710382_thumb.gif post-213-0-30850000-1421710381_thumb.gif

 

This goes more with the North East theme suggested earlier however

 

This also goes with things tuning back to snow over a wider areas later including the south as surface winds revert to an easterly and colder upper air edges in.

 

post-213-0-25754100-1421710721_thumb.gif

 

Temps and Dewpoints closely aligned - also very close (initially midnight then 6am)

 

post-213-0-96166200-1421711066_thumb.gif post-213-0-11489400-1421711066_thumb.gif

post-213-0-45376900-1421711002_thumb.gif post-213-0-81884500-1421710930_thumb.gif

 

You can see why more snow potential in the south later.

Edited by J10
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andymusic Accomplished

andymusic

Posted
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
  • Location: Pontypridd, Wales 240m asl
Posted

gonna b a total nowcast event

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gareth moo Explorer

gareth moo

Posted
  • Location: Machen, Caerphilly, 80m asl.
  • Location: Machen, Caerphilly, 80m asl.
Posted (edited)

Hmm, stalling and dying at about Swansea. Uppers look ok for you at 6am. DPs are marginal.

Will be interesting to see what it produces as it rolls across tomorrow evening. You never know!

There's going to be some prozac in the Midlands thread.

Edited by gareth moo
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J10 Veteran

J10

Posted
Posted

Hmm, stalling and dying at about Swansea. Uppers look ok for you at 6am. DPs are marginal.

Will be interesting to see what it produces as it rolls across tomorrow evening. You never know!

There's going to be some prozac in the Midlands thread.

 

Never say never, Very unlikely though.

 

Some "sweet spot" with evaporational cooling, and heavy precipitation could do well.

 

Perhaps as well EURO4 is overdoing precip amounts, if it is snowfall is likely to be more concentrated for the more previously highlighted areas.

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bradymk Rising Star

bradymk

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
Posted (edited)

Attached is the 18z Euro 4 model for midnight tonight and it's predicted snowfall for the precipitation moving east over Ireland. The other image is the live radar image over Ireland. Many areas are seeing snow, more areas than shown were predicted snow. Maybe an encouraging sign, who knows. The front looks dead.

post-16336-0-85943200-1421713234_thumb.j

post-16336-0-02878000-1421713242_thumb.j

Edited by bradythemole
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whiskers Enthusiast

whiskers

Posted
  • Location: blackwood south wales 179m asl
  • Location: blackwood south wales 179m asl
Posted

Currently -2.5 here,nothing in the way of any precipitation,roads and paths frozen solid but my weather station is showing snow! Fingers crossed it means for us:)

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freeze for all Enthusiast

freeze for all

Posted
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: freezing cold and lots of snow
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL
Posted

Something definitely wrong with the netweather radar, its been saying snow here for the last 30mins but it definitely isn't :(

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worldairgroup Newbie

worldairgroup

Posted
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
Posted

Anything to sell papers! Any one heard from that exacta weather man about the cripling winter we are having For 3 months ?

 

Aghh James 'Mad one' yeah hes always putting out exclusive press interviews to make some cash from his back bedroom professional weather station LOL

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worldairgroup Newbie

worldairgroup

Posted
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
Posted

Watching various weather forecasts on TV, online and reading online posts - in my opinion anytime from 6pm tonight until 6am Wednesday morning Wales as a whole has a chance of snow. After dark is the obvious time, but depends on how quick this front fizzles away when meeting the warm air - so could be rain or snow. Nowcasting event again. Exciting times though!

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Clair_Witch Enthusiast

Clair_Witch

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff 9m (32ft) asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold, thunder and lightning.
  • Location: Cardiff 9m (32ft) asl
Posted (edited)

The radar's showing a small patch of sleet/snow over cardiff. Yet it's as dry as a bone, nothing falling from the sky at all. Not even rain.

post-18830-0-50456400-1421744991_thumb.p

Edited by Clair_Witch
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Clair_Witch Enthusiast

Clair_Witch

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff 9m (32ft) asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold, thunder and lightning.
  • Location: Cardiff 9m (32ft) asl
Posted (edited)

Something definitely wrong with the netweather radar, its been saying snow here for the last 30mins but it definitely isn't :(

Snap! Though I'm sure somebody said before that the radar shows the predicted precipitation and not what's actually happening right then.

Edited by Clair_Witch
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Clair_Witch Enthusiast

Clair_Witch

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff 9m (32ft) asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold, thunder and lightning.
  • Location: Cardiff 9m (32ft) asl
Posted

A bucket has iced up with water in, but no frost. Still really bitter out there this morning. Maybe it bodes well for later and we'll have a surprise sprinkling, or even better a surprise foot! :)


Clouds are definitely thickening up.

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legritter Accomplished

legritter

Posted
  • Location: winscombe north somerset
  • Weather Preferences: action weather
  • Location: winscombe north somerset
Posted

The radar's showing a small patch of sleet/snow over cardiff. Yet it's as dry as a bone, nothing falling from the sky at all. Not even rain.

probably going from frozen state [solid ]back to gas state ,happens quite often in winter set ups ,havent got time to explain fully but very frustrating ,certainly looks a snowy sky s /west from here we just need that dice to fall right later this afternoon .the low as started to move a little faster now and an easterly wind is picking up ,we just need that front to pep up and move in , :cold:

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freeze for all Enthusiast

freeze for all

Posted
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: freezing cold and lots of snow
  • Location: Llanharan South Wales 76m ASL
Posted

Just had a light snow shower here even tho the radar says it's been snowing for 1 hour lol

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matty lfc Rookie

matty lfc

Posted
  • Location: wales,heads of the valley 1100ft asl
  • Location: wales,heads of the valley 1100ft asl
Posted

Weather warnings are due to be issued this morning for possible disruptive snow across Wales later on today/tonight.

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bradymk Rising Star

bradymk

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder & Lightning, Thundersnow, Storms, Heatwave
  • Location: Cardiff, Wales
Posted (edited)

The reason why the radar shows precipitation when there is nothing falling from the sky is because of the air.

The precipitation is only light and moving into very cold dry air and this is preventing the precipitation from actually reaching the ground as it evaporates before reaching ground level. You need heavier precipitation for the droplets to reach the ground when the precipitation is moving into a dry cold airmass like today.

Ps. If I was around the Wrexham area, id be excited for tomorrow, looks like it will be a decent event for areas around there.

Edited by bradythemole
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worldairgroup Newbie

worldairgroup

Posted
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
  • Location: A470, Upper Boat, Pontypridd
Posted

Weather warnings are due to be issued this morning for possible disruptive snow across Wales later on today/tonight.

 

hope your right.

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