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Paul

By Paul
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gareth moo Explorer

gareth moo

Posted
  • Location: Machen, Caerphilly, 80m asl.
  • Location: Machen, Caerphilly, 80m asl.
Posted

Feeling mild earlier this evening after snow and ice lingering in north facing and shaded areas all day. UK radar showing imminent arrival of new air mass. Next week looks like knife edge viewing all the way. Looking forwards to it whatever the outcome. Hats off to the pros at making head or tail of this set of variables.

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matty lfc Rookie

matty lfc

Posted
  • Location: wales,heads of the valley 1100ft asl
  • Location: wales,heads of the valley 1100ft asl
Posted

Very "snow like" clouds up here but only cold rain at the moment . Temp 1c.

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Clair_Witch Enthusiast

Clair_Witch

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff 9m (32ft) asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, cold, thunder and lightning.
  • Location: Cardiff 9m (32ft) asl
Posted

Rain galore in Cardiff this evening, feeling very mild indeed.

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caravan les Newbie

caravan les

Posted
  • Location: Overton on dee near wrexham
  • Location: Overton on dee near wrexham
Posted

The berwyns have a nice covering of snow this morning but all we have three miles away is ice ,but I'm hopeful we also get a covering this week .

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snefnug Seasoned

snefnug

Posted
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, good sun at other times with appropriate rain.
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
Posted

Dusting of snow here and very icy. Brrrr. Back to bedwith tea and cat

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keithlucky Experienced

keithlucky

Posted
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
  • Location: swansea craig cefn parc 160 m asl
Posted (edited)

Looks like a slow return to normal winters weather The first front weakens as it crosses Wales on Tuesday producing snow for most of Wales above 200 m , fizzing out as it reaches East UK ,more snow again Wednesday/Thursday turning back to rain,as slowly colder air is mixed out, see this type situation many times over the years.One slight hope is that HP over continent ,moves west and stalls the fronts over Wales,as was shown on charts a few days ago.

Edited by keithlucky
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Snowyowl9 Veteran

Snowyowl9

Posted
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
Posted

Theres nothing normal about next weeks winter weather,looking cold all week with snow possible anywhere as lows track south and the high to the east builds.

I`m surprised theres lttle optimism this morning.

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marksiwnc Explorer

marksiwnc

Posted
  • Location: caernarfon, Gwynedd
  • Weather Preferences: very cold or very hot
  • Location: caernarfon, Gwynedd
Posted

Just a quick question. I've just realised this morning that there seems to be precipitation circulating just off the coast of Anglesey this morning. What is this??

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J10 Veteran

J10

Posted
Posted (edited)

Gloriously sunny day here with hard frost slowly thawing in the sun.


Theres nothing normal about next weeks winter weather,looking cold all week with snow possible anywhere as lows track south and the high to the east builds.
I`m surprised theres lttle optimism this morning.


Tend to agree there are going to be several fronts pushing eastwards this week and 850HPA below zero all week and often below -5c even during precipitation events.

Would go into more detail but people have made their minds up anyway.


Dusting of snow here :)


Pity the front moving east last night, curtailed the snow streamer but pleased some got lucky. Edited by J10
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dbaloo Enthusiast

dbaloo

Posted
  • Location: Hengoed 208m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snowy..warm summers but not so hot you can fry an egg on the ground
  • Location: Hengoed 208m asl
Posted

really looking forward to this weeks weather....hopefully we will get lucky and see some more snowfall.this winter has already been so much better than last,frosts and a few snowfalls

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whiskers Enthusiast

whiskers

Posted
  • Location: blackwood south wales 179m asl
  • Location: blackwood south wales 179m asl
Posted

I luv reading what everyone is saying especially the mod thread,just wish people would post basic maps to show where they think it's going to snow,that would make it Sooo much easier. :) hahaha!

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judowidow Newbie

judowidow

Posted
  • Location: Abergavenny Monmouthshire
  • Location: Abergavenny Monmouthshire
Posted

Hard to believe we were under a red warning for Snow 2 years ago in Abergavenny, haven't seen a flake for nearly 2 years :-( getting withdrawal symptoms, hopefully see some soon

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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

How I see the coming week developing:

https://forum.netweather.tv/blog/309/entry-4867-weather-guide-monday-19th-to-sunday-25th-january-2015/

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swales Apprentice

swales

Posted
  • Location: Llanelli
  • Location: Llanelli
Posted (edited)

Derek Brockway's latest tweet on next Tuesday.

A front will bring a mix of rain, sleet and snow on Tuesday. Rain in #Cardiff & #Swansea. A little snow mid #Wales. pic.twitter.com/j2A3zJD8jD

Edited by swales
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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

Just a quick question. I've just realised this morning that there seems to be precipitation circulating just off the coast of Anglesey this morning. What is this??

I noticed that - a little showery low developed in the northerly flow and will affect Pembrokeshire this afternoon, not your standard Dangler :)

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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

Full credit attempting to do it this week. If you are close to being correct, you should be headhunted by the Met Office.

Its great fun having a stab and seeing how it pans out :)

Derek Brockway's latest tweet on next Tuesday.

 

Not sure about a little - some hilly areas will get many cm I'm sure!

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snowking Accomplished

snowking

Posted
  • Location: St Albans, 95m asl
  • Location: St Albans, 95m asl
Posted

I noticed that - a little showery low developed in the northerly flow and will affect Pembrokeshire this afternoon, not your standard Dangler :)

Yep, and a nice little convergence zone shown on the latest FAX update picks this feature up

 

fax24s.gif?1

 

Looks good for the West coast, possibly in to Cornwall too, though temperature profiles perhaps a little marginal especially given coastal proximity. Euro4 shows snow risk inland:

 

15011906_2_1806.gif

 

 

SK

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TonyH Experienced

TonyH

Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
Posted

Yep, and a nice little convergence zone shown on the latest FAX update picks this feature up

 

fax24s.gif?1

 

Looks good for the West coast, possibly in to Cornwall too, though temperature profiles perhaps a little marginal especially given coastal proximity. Euro4 shows snow risk inland:

 

15011906_2_1806.gif

 

 

SK

Yes its one for the hills again, showers here sleety so far today, just a little on the mild side still..

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J10 Veteran

J10

Posted
Posted (edited)

Derek Brockway's latest tweet on next Tuesday.

https://twitter.com/DerekTheWeather/status/556785032774549504/photo/1

I am surprised Derek uses those GFS charts to make a point. Even we think they are unrealistic. (of course perhaps UKMO mesoscale charts show something similar, but he is not allowed to post those.)

post-213-0-13487400-1421588210_thumb.gif post-213-0-96593900-1421588211_thumb.gif post-213-0-72054900-1421588212_thumb.gif post-213-0-48828100-1421588213_thumb.gif

Of course that doesn't mean his comments are incorrect.

The week ahead forecast has now been shown on BBC1 and really downplays snow risk.

Edited by J10
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gareth moo Explorer

gareth moo

Posted
  • Location: Machen, Caerphilly, 80m asl.
  • Location: Machen, Caerphilly, 80m asl.
Posted

Good work TonyH. A sound objective assessment of the synoptics. Brave too!

Is the NAE (or whatever its called now) in range for Tuesday yet? May have to take a quick peek.

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dbaloo Enthusiast

dbaloo

Posted
  • Location: Hengoed 208m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snowy..warm summers but not so hot you can fry an egg on the ground
  • Location: Hengoed 208m asl
Posted (edited)

for a split second there Gareth moo I thought your profile pic was a chart for this week.dont think I have ever sat up so quick....maybe a little nap is required this afternoon.late nights and early mornings don't mix

Edited by dbaloo
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gareth moo Explorer

gareth moo

Posted
  • Location: Machen, Caerphilly, 80m asl.
  • Location: Machen, Caerphilly, 80m asl.
Posted

for a split second there Gareth moo I thought your profile pic was a chart for this week.dont think I have ever sat up so quick....maybe a little nap is required this afternoon.late nights and early mornings don't mix

I wish! However, we do have a sniff this week. Better chance you up the valley than us lot below Caerphilly.

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