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Paul

By Paul
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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted (edited)

Just got in and saw this ... â„ï¸Snowsie does a little snow dance around the roomâ„ï¸

Carry on dancing Snowsie........ The 12z WRF NMM :Dhttp://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm.php?ech=3&mode=1&map=330

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm.php?ech=3&mode=42&map=330

Edited by Dancerwithwings
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fizz511 Enthusiast

fizz511

Posted
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull. 122m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow!
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull. 122m ASL
Posted (edited)

Oh no... I've been downgraded.... just a smidgen around 7pm tomorrow now....

 

*sobs*

Edited by fizz511
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cyclonic happiness Accomplished

cyclonic happiness

Posted
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level
Posted

Oh no... I've been downgraded.... just a smidgen around 7pm tomorrow now....

 

*sobs*

It'll move about all over the place like Boxing day's did. Just watch the radar and lamp posts tomorrow.

 

It'll probably end up giving the damn south east a ton and we stay in the dry spot again! lol

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Snowsie Explorer

Snowsie

Posted
  • Location: Solihull
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, snow and more snow:)
  • Location: Solihull
Posted

Oh no... I've been downgraded.... just a smidgen around 7pm tomorrow now....

 

*sobs*

Noooooo! We don't want downgrades we want upgrades!!!!!!

â„ï¸â„ï¸â„ï¸â„ï¸crosses fingersâ„ï¸â„ï¸â„ï¸â„ï¸

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fizz511 Enthusiast

fizz511

Posted
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull. 122m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow!
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull. 122m ASL
Posted

It'll move about all over the place like Boxing day's did. Just watch the radar and lamp posts tomorrow.

 

It'll probably end up giving the damn south east a ton and we stay in the dry spot again! lol

Looks to be really heavy over the M4 corridor during the night, leaving us all lovely and dry. Sigh.

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i love snow Explorer

i love snow

Posted
  • Location: Wednesbury
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW..... THUNDERSTORMS
  • Location: Wednesbury
Posted

Looks to be really heavy over the M4 corridor during the night, leaving us all lovely and dry. Sigh.

It doesn't look dry on the latest snow maps? :-S

Also noticed itv central weather didn't go past tomorrow afternoon

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted

Looks to be really heavy over the M4 corridor during the night, leaving us all lovely and dry. Sigh.

Them NMM charts had SNOW for much Wales & the West Midlands  :D  but still a long way to go yet in forecasting SNOW..... CAUTION is the word at this stage :hi:

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted

Won't get the bottle of JD out yet then

LOL!..... Wise words from cyclonic happiness.... "Just watch the radar and lamp posts tomorrow" :wink:

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Bishop Brennan Seasoned

Bishop Brennan

Posted
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull - 400ft (122m) ASL
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull - 400ft (122m) ASL
Posted

Snowsie, can I ask a nosy question? Is the amazing pic in your avatar taken around here (i.e. Solihull park perhaps), or from somewhere else?

 

It looks like a scene from December 2010 maybe.

 

Bish

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Barbmac Enthusiast

Barbmac

Posted
  • Location: West Malvern, West Midlands, 280m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow! Severe storms.
  • Location: West Malvern, West Midlands, 280m ASL
Posted

I'm hopeful for snow for my patch on the Malverns tomorrow! Hope you all get to see the white stuff.

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Snowsie Explorer

Snowsie

Posted
  • Location: Solihull
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, snow and more snow:)
  • Location: Solihull
Posted (edited)

Snowsie, can I ask a nosy question? Is the amazing pic in your avatar taken around here (i.e. Solihull park perhaps), or from somewhere else?

It looks like a scene from December 2010 maybe.

Bish

Glad you like it

It was taken a couple of weeks ago (December 28th) after the Boxing Day snowfall while I was lucky to be on hols in Derbyshire at Darwin Forest (bit like a smaller centreparcs). Hoping to get a similar pic from a solihull park very soon :)

Edited by Snowsie
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fizz511 Enthusiast

fizz511

Posted
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull. 122m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow!
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull. 122m ASL
Posted

It doesn't look dry on the latest snow maps? :-S

Also noticed itv central weather didn't go past tomorrow afternoon

It was the Met Office animated map that I was looking at, 3am on Wednesday looked stunning to the South, and nothing for us.

 

Oh dear, time to 'step away' from these websites etc, before I drive myself completely bonkers!

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snowangel32 Rising Star

snowangel32

Posted
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow, Thunder storms and lightning
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
Posted

So sheffali reckons 3 to 6 cms quite widely and latest models do back this up is it too early to get the sledge out i wonder. Think this is going to be another boxing day type event to be honest.

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Staffordshire Aficionado

Staffordshire

Posted
  • Location: Lichfield
  • Location: Lichfield
Posted

Just a quick q while I have chance, is this forecast to be convective ppn, coming off the sea or is it an actual feature, a clump of rain that is already pre existing, therefore much better chance of it being shunted North more Into our path, or as aforementioned dependant on convective behaviour hence a possible Bristol streamer?

Just worried if it is convective it will fail to make it over the Welsh hills as is this issue with storms over summer.

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted

Looking at the fax charts you can see mark troughs inwhich emphasizes PPN that's whats interesting to me, they can produce alot of PPN at short notice....Radar at the ready!

 

post-11006-0-51383500-1421094312_thumb.jpost-11006-0-92860400-1421094370_thumb.j

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ANYWEATHER Maestro

ANYWEATHER

Posted
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
  • Weather Preferences: Enjoy the weather, you can't take it with you 😎
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
Posted

Could be quite a covering even at low levels across the Midlands tomorrow night, not sledging stuff though ,far to wet... :rofl:

post-6830-0-55216700-1421095132_thumb.pn

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Snowsie Explorer

Snowsie

Posted
  • Location: Solihull
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, snow and more snow:)
  • Location: Solihull
Posted (edited)

So wanting this snow event to happen but past experiences (many) have shown me that...

"a night of lamppost watching does not maketh a snowfest ... Just a tired Snowsie"

Edited by Snowsie
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fizz511 Enthusiast

fizz511

Posted
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull. 122m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow!
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull. 122m ASL
Posted

I'm hopeful if you're hopeful Dancer! (Unfortunately can't read Fax charts myself).

However, if we DO miss out, there's always next Tuesday to pin our hopes on.....!

post-15638-0-31642600-1421095232_thumb.j

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Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted (edited)

Fizz, trying to understand Fax charts can be difficult  :cc_confused:  troughs and mark areas (SOLID BLACK LINES)

where the air is particularly unstable, this means that the air is quite turbulent or moving around a lot.

We tend to see showers associated with this type of air and they therefore don't mark any sort of boundary in the same way that a front does,

in the past I've seen showers associated with these troughs can have alot of potential.......... :D

Edited by Dancerwithwings
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Midlands Ice Age Maestro

Midlands Ice Age

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, Snow and Storms
  • Location: Solihull, West Midlands. - 131 m asl
Posted

Folks,

Temperature falling now the cold front has passed through, but several waves seem to be running north east along it. So we could get more outbreaks of rain. PM and TM might see some sleet.

Started serious rain about 13:00 with temperature still at 10.3C

Rained heavily for 3 hours and the temperature started to fall. Now down to 5.4C

So we must now be on the right side of the polar front jet.

Sporadic heavy rain keeps falling.

11.1 mms of rain recorded so far today.

Good luck to us all tomorrow.

Think I'm early to bed tonight, might need all the shut eye I can get for tomorrow.

PS The wife hasn't been told yet about tomorrrow night, but she already has a headache for tonight!!.

MIA

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snowangel32 Rising Star

snowangel32

Posted
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy snow, Thunder storms and lightning
  • Location: Oldbury, West midlands
Posted

Also another point is that the sea is much warmer so will be more convective and produce more ppn that is currently shown somewhere from bristol to derby is going to get hammered.

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Gord Rising Star

Gord

Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
Posted (edited)

Not as best placed for this one. But every time there's a snowy spell in this country, here in the Black Country we always get there in the end. If we get little tomorrow there'll be other chances.

 

December 2010 we had to wait until the 18th for ours but it was worth the wait.

 

December 2009/January 2010 we had to wait until around the 5th January but again it was worth the wait.

 

Always late to the party in the Black Country but we bring our own drinks so it doesn't matter!

Edited by Gord
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fizz511 Enthusiast

fizz511

Posted
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull. 122m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow!
  • Location: Knowle, Solihull. 122m ASL
Posted

Fizz, trying to understand Fax charts can be difficult  :cc_confused:  troughs and mark areas (SOLID BLACK LINES)

where the air is particularly unstable, this means that the air is quite turbulent or moving around a lot.

We tend to see showers associated with this type of air and they therefore don't mark any sort of boundary in the same way that a front does,

in the past I've seen showers associated with these troughs can have alot of potential.......... :D

Ah, cool. Thx for that Dancer :)

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