The Midlands - Weather Chat

[Snowyowl9]

Temps tonight not going to be as low as first forecast, but an air frost will do.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1817.html

[Gord]

No surprise that an ice warning has just been issued after this afternoon's activity.

[Serendipity]

It was rain here too even though we were under the heavy blob.

[Soma]

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/82300-model-output-discussion-16th-jan-12z-onwards-smile-while-you-post/?p=3128174

Re. Wednesday what are we Midlanders to make of Steve Murr's post in the MOD thread..?

Post #677 if the link won't work.

[Dancerwithwings]

steve Murrs ukmo looks FAB though

Just picking up on the model thread on what S Murr is forecasting for Weds.....my interpretation

BLUE = is forecast SNOW zone..... RED= sweet spot.

[snowangel32]

Yes UKMO does look decent.

 

Also MetO have me down for light rain from 7pm to 9pm. Trying to figure out where that comes from, can't see anything due to hit us on the radar.

Met office are rubbish they had me down for a cloudy day but bone dry it ended up bright sunshine and snow showers they will change trust me.

[Dancerwithwings]

https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/82300-model-output-discussion-16th-jan-12z-onwards-smile-while-you-post/?p=3128174

Re. Wednesday what are we Midlanders to make of Steve Murr's post in the MOD thread..?

Post #677 if the link won't work.

 

 

Just picking up on the model thread on what S Murr is forecasting for Weds.....my interpretation

BLUE = is forecast SNOW zone..... RED= sweet spot.

 

Sure there will be some interested in the upcoming wintry spell regarding these two post's

 

FINGERS CROSSED for the Midlands.... What a lovely charts if that's what you want to call it

Edited January 18, 2015 by Dancerwithwings

[cyclonic happiness]

Just picking up on the model thread on what S Murr is forecasting for Weds.....my interpretation

BLUE = is forecast SNOW zone..... RED= sweet spot.

I'll take it with a huge pinch of grit-salt, there is a curse upon the Midlands that we shall have to watch countries such as South Africa, Morocco and Saudi Arabia, getting more snow than us, whilst we flitter the hours away watching fronts fizzle out before arriving, or the dew points being too high for snow.

 

It's so frustrating! :-(

[cyclonic happiness]

By the way, here's some pictures of 2012's hoar frosts.

 

 

 

 

Now if we get frosts like that, even if we don't get snow, then I'll forgive the weather :-)

[fizz511]

I'm good thanks fizzychops! How about you? Haha, after last Winter being snowless, any snow this Winter is a bonus!

Fizzychops.

Yep, Andy's back....

[Gord]

I think there still could be one or two bits and pieces still to come through this evening. Not necessarily for where I am but for those a little bit further west.

 

If I was in Telford or Shropshire, I'd be watching those showers bubbling up around Liverpool. It's a bit too much of a northerly bias to get them in here now but I think this thread could still see one or two more reports of wintryness this evening.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

I'll take it with a huge pinch of grit-salt, there is a curse upon the Midlands that we shall have to watch countries such as South Africa, Morocco and Saudi Arabia, getting more snow than us, whilst we flitter the hours away watching fronts fizzle out before arriving, or the dew points being too high for snow.

 

It's so frustrating! :-(

 

wednesdays front dosen't even make it this far east, tuesday, just rain and sleet, 12Z GFS gives us virtually no snow, then friday the Atlantic is back

[Gord]

wednesdays front dosen't even make it this far east, tuesday, just rain and sleet, 12Z GFS gives us virtually no snow, then friday the Atlantic is back

 

One model run though. You should know better than anyone with your good memory for past events that rain/snow lines can move at the last minute. Things can adjust right up to the last minute. It may turn out the way that you just described. It may not...there are other solutions on the table right now.

[andy_leics22]

Having just had another look at the 12z run, I think some parts of the Midlands have a chance of seeing snow on Tuesday afternoon/evening. Height will be a big factor though. Anywhere above 250m would have a decent chance I think but it doesn't look great for low ground.

Timing is also bad at the moment! The timing of the front on Tuesday is the worst possible really. It seems to arrive in the West Midlands around lunchtime. If it were to arrive in the late evening/overnight I think snow chances would be much better.

Temps look to be dropping to between 0 and 1c later on in the night, but that's once the PPN has cleared away!

Typical really.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

One model run though. You should know better than anyone with your good memory for past events that rain/snow lines can move at the last minute. Things can adjust right up to the last minute. It may turn out the way that you just described. It may not...there are other solutions on the table right now.

 

its not so much rain/snow lines, but the fact wednesdays ppn, looks like staying out west, SM post looked good but was it before 12Z? cos i'm in sweet spot

[Snowsie]

This is looking like it could be the only snowman I will be making in Solihull this week

⛄ï¸

[shaky]

Right another update and this time the nmm 12z! ! Good news peeps the Tuesday front is snowfall all the way now for the midlands and slightly heavier aswell! ! Just though I'd give us midlanders something to cheer about! !

[Dancerwithwings]

wednesdays front dosen't even make it this far east, tuesday, just rain and sleet, 12Z GFS gives us virtually no snow, then friday the Atlantic is back

 

We all know how much you love the Atlantic, be my guest    but maybe not as soon as what you think or the GFS if that matters

 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

We all know how much you love the Atlantic, be my guest    but maybe not as soon as what you think or the GFS if that matters

 

 

Atlantic 252, 00-01 yeah, hate the pond though, but that is our weather in winter, Atlantic air

[echobase]

Having just had another look at the 12z run, I think some parts of the Midlands have a chance of seeing snow on Tuesday afternoon/evening. Height will be a big factor though. Anywhere above 250m would have a decent chance I think but it doesn't look great for low ground.

Timing is also bad at the moment! The timing of the front on Tuesday is the worst possible really. It seems to arrive in the West Midlands around lunchtime. If it were to arrive in the late evening/overnight I think snow chances would be much better.

Temps look to be dropping to between 0 and 1c later on in the night, but that's once the PPN has cleared away!

Typical really.

I see you are as optimistic as ever youngling..... Pmsl... Eyes north and turn up the floodlights... 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Right another update and this time the nmm 12z! ! Good news peeps the Tuesday front is snowfall all the way now for the midlands and slightly heavier aswell! ! Just though I'd give us midlanders something to cheer about! !

 

true shaky, FAX charts posted in model thread, looks good Wednesday, but things trending west, looks more like yesterdays GFS

[Dancerwithwings]

Atlantic 252, 00-01 yeah, hate the pond though, but that is our weather in winter, Atlantic air

Not this week :cold: That S Murr chart was based on the 12z UKMO.

[andy_leics22]

Right another update and this time the nmm 12z! ! Good news peeps the Tuesday front is snowfall all the way now for the midlands and slightly heavier aswell! ! Just though I'd give us midlanders something to cheer about! !

Thanks for those uplifting words shakeh that has raised my hopes a tad

[I remember Atlantic 252]

Not this week :cold: That S Murr chart was based on the 12z UKMO.

 

think he has done same with ECM? fax charts good, GFS looks too far west

[weather_it_will]

Right another update and this time the nmm 12z! ! Good news peeps the Tuesday front is snowfall all the way now for the midlands and slightly heavier aswell! ! Just though I'd give us midlanders something to cheer about! !

I see the Meto forecasts snow for Tues/Weds, but don't hold your breath,as their website forecasts change every 15 minutes.

For about 30 minutes the Metoffice showed heavy snow for today in my area on Friday afternoon, but was soon taken down.

The website is automated until an actual real person updates it nearer to the event.