Northwest England - Weather Chat

[Oakwell]

Just ordinary rain here at the mo

[Weather-history]

Christmas Day time-lapse.

[Thunder Snow]

A very cold day, and getting colder now at least it feels seasonal. As for tomorrow's snow Carlisle is to far north

[SparkleS]

Was raining a bit here...had a lovely christmas, get to do it all again tomorrow at the parents! Lol...warning....currently drinking stella, i dont drink these days, but thought i might aswell join you all lol

[Cheese Rice]

Ta dah

[Snow free zone]

Happy christmas everyone. Really can't understand the warnings for tomorrow, forecast has us dry and cloudy all day and with a low tracking se we would be lucky this far north to see any precipitation. Wait and see what happens but have seen this plenty of times, expecting a cloudy dry day here, enjoy the snow if you get some !!

[Chris D]

Well for mwah where I am, I think I expect to see at least some snow (hopefully) but none of it settling from Boxing Day night's event. At the very least, some sleety stuff.

 

That is providing the thing doesnt move any further south lol. Still nice to see any snow though!

 

Oh, and Merry Christmas! :w00t:

Edited December 25, 2014 by Chris D

[Backtrack]

Dunno what everyone is fussing over. Have you seen the upper air profiles and the precipitation charts for us?

Much of the south of the region looks to be RIGHT in the firing line for a good 6 hours of snow before the front moves away.

After that we have the potential for some wintry showers off the Irish Sea the next day. All in all a very positive outlook. Cheer up.

[Backtrack]

[Mokidugway]

I'm showing dam at 527 and uppers of -4 ,not looking good .....

[Chris D]

post-8968-0-62628700-1419541533.png

Well that does look good actually haha. Although I think the temps are too marginal for the snow to be settling for me at sea level especially, temp accum.'s in other areas with any sort of height very likely though.

 

I just wanna see some snow falling after the abominal winter of last year lol.

Edited December 25, 2014 by Chris D

[Mark.C]

Dunno what everyone is fussing over. Have you seen the upper air profiles and the precipitation charts for us?

Much of the south of the region looks to be RIGHT in the firing line for a good 6 hours of snow before the front moves away.

After that we have the potential for some wintry showers off the Irish Sea the next day. All in all a very positive outlook. Cheer up.

What are the upper air temps looking like mate?

I'm showing dam at 527 and uppers of -4 ,not looking good .....

surely that's ok for snow? are you at altitude?

[Will Padz]

Let it snow let it snow let it snow ⛄ï¸â„ï¸â›„ï¸â„ï¸â›„ï¸â„ï¸â›„ï¸â„ï¸

[Backtrack]

I'm showing dam at 527 and uppers of -4 ,not looking good .....

 

 

What are the upper air temps looking like mate?

surely that's ok for snow? are you at altitude?

 

 

-5C by the time the bulk of the precip arrives around 9, lasts until around midnight for most, perhaps a little longer before moving SE.

Thing is with this type of setup, we don't need especially cold uppers. The lower the pressure, the more room we have for those upper temps, same applies with the dam, this is a low pressure system/front, not showers  

[robbo88]

That bbc weather video looks good.

But on their website I am forecast just rain, and I can't get excited cos even in the feb/march 2013 when places like Runcorn got plastered with snow, me at 150m got the odd flurry.

It seems if it's sleet or hail my area gets it, but snow is a no go.

Got fingers and toes crossed.

And backtrack thanks for all the knowledge you share with us in this thread.

[I Cumbria Marra I]

post-8968-0-62628700-1419541533.png

i hope Kayro sees this, typical Manchester too far north :smiliz39:

[Backtrack]

That bbc weather video looks good.

But on their website I am forecast just rain, and I can't get excited cos even in the feb/march 2013 when places like Runcorn got plastered with snow, me at 150m got the odd flurry.

It seems if it's sleet or hail my area gets it, but snow is a no go.

Got fingers and toes crossed.

And backtrack thanks for all the knowledge you share with us in this thread.

 

 

Luckily mate, the 18Z has shifted the front Northwards, a lovely last minute correction for us NW'eners!

We also see some more energy on that northern flank, giving off some heavier precipitation for a time before it eventually does move away. So I would say your location is also looking rather snowy!

 

The 18Z GFS(P) has wintry showers around much of the region too on the 27th, all in all a wintry picture painted! And if we do miss the snow, we won't miss the frosts with temperatures looking likely to drop to -3/-4C for many, a tad lower over snowfields and countrysides!

i hope Kayro sees this, typical Manchester too far north :smiliz39:

 

Manchester is in that white, it's not too far north haha! Google map it!

[I Cumbria Marra I]

Luckily mate, the 18Z has shifted the front Northwards, a lovely last minute correction for us NW'eners!

We also see some more energy on that northern flank, giving off some heavier precipitation for a time before it eventually does move away. So I would say your location is also looking rather snowy!

 

The 18Z GFS(P) has wintry showers around much of the region too on the 27th, all in all a wintry picture painted! And if we do miss the snow, we won't miss the frosts with temperatures looking likely to drop to -3/-4C for many, a tad lower over snowfields and countrysides!

 

Manchester is in that white, it's not too far north haha! Google map it!

Yea i was being sarcastic pal haha Kayro reckons he's too far north and he also thinks its typical escpecially in 2010 when he got 1ft

[Backtrack]

Yea i was being sarcastic pal haha Kayro reckons he's too far north and he also thinks its typical escpecially in 2010 when he got 1ft

 

 

Kayro would complain that he was too far North if he lived in the North Pole

[pip22]

Luckily mate, the 18Z has shifted the front Northwards, a lovely last minute correction for us NW'eners!

We also see some more energy on that northern flank, giving off some heavier precipitation for a time before it eventually does move away. So I would say your location is also looking rather snowy!

 

The 18Z GFS(P) has wintry showers around much of the region too on the 27th, all in all a wintry picture painted! And if we do miss the snow, we won't miss the frosts with temperatures looking likely to drop to -3/-4C for many, a tad lower over snowfields and countrysides!

 

Manchester is in that white, it's not too far north haha! Google map it!

 

Nice!! I was hoping this morning it would shifted further north and it came true right now!!

[Mokidugway]

What are the upper air temps looking like mate?

surely that's ok for snow? are you at altitude?

if I can pull an easterly wind at low level to keep the sea at bay and some evaporative cooling then yes , here's hoping ...

[Backtrack]

Nice!! I was hoping this morning it would shifted further north and it came true right now!!

 

It's still 20hrs away though and highly volatile and open to correction, could still go 100 miles southwards, extreme uncertainty still over at the Met Office, probably the reason why their warning area covers such a vast space.

[I Cumbria Marra I]

if I can pull an easterly wind at low level to keep the sea at bay and some evaporative cooling then yes , here's hoping ...

Dont even think the precip will reach you mate, hope im wrong and shunts even further north

[Mokidugway]

Dont even think the precip will reach you mate, hope im wrong and shunts even further north

I'm afraid I have to agree with you ...

[Chris D]

It's still 20hrs away though and highly volatile and open to correction, could still go 100 miles southwards, extreme uncertainty still over at the Met Office, probably the reason why their warning area covers such a vast space.

 

 

Dont even think the precip will reach you mate, hope im wrong and shunts even further north

 

Aye the uncertainty of this one must defo be stressed - haven't seen this amount of model volatility in a while. As has been said, there could well be rather substantial changes in the intensity & track of the LP yet! May go down to the wire really

Edited December 25, 2014 by Chris D