October 2014 C.E.T. Forecasts

[cheeky_monkey]

10.0°C. I think after the warm first few days, October will quickly cool down and end up average, to maybe slightly cooler than average. This run of warm months has to break soon, surely!

wasn't August the coolest since 1993?

 

Anyway 10.8c please

[Eugene]

Really would love to see a properly cold October but we have no chance of seeing that nowadays, ones that YoungerDryas loves, wherever he is.

[BornFromTheVoid]

11.4C for me, thanks.

[cheeky_monkey]

Really would love to see a properly cold October but we have no chance of seeing that nowadays, ones that YoungerDryas loves, wherever he is.

the last 2 Octobers were cold and snowy in Calgary..in fact the last 2 Autumns were cold and very snowy.

[reef]

Another warm one, but not exceptionally so.

 

11.9C

[davehsug]

11.3c please

[virtualsphere]

9.6C please.

[Thundery wintry showers]

10.2C, quite warm in the first half but probably some colder weather in the second half of the month as pressure builds around Greenland/Iceland.

[DAVID SNOW]

Try 11.2 ta

[godber]

10.5c for me please, hoping for some frosty nights.

[Midlands Ice Age]

My guess for Oct is 10.2C....

MIA

[AderynCoch]

9.8

[JeffC]

a few folk have jumped on board with me at 9.8C...

[Duncan McAlister]

11.4 for me please.

[J10]

10.4

 

Have to go milder than average, would have gone even milder but some signs of some cooler/colder weather

[Dancerwithwings]

10.9c Thanks

[easy-oasy]

I'll go for 10.6 please

[Roger J Smith]

Revising to 12.0 C -- suspect a very mild end to the month is likely,

 

Have the table ready to post at midnight, so far 63 entries, median 10.9 C.

 

Will post it in the other (competition) thread at 00:01 after checking for last minute entries. Of course you can continue to enter until October 3rd with late penalties.

 

 

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

I'll revise down to 12.2c.  This cooler interlude looks longer than expected

 

BFTP

[Don]

Very tricky and first half not looking as warm now. I will go for 10.7C please.

[A Winter's Tale]

10.9c please

[Mark Bayley]

A late guess but 10.8c please

[Roger J Smith]

1981-2010 CET averages, cumulative and 1772-present record values

________________________________________________________________

 

 

Date __ CET __ cum ____ MAX ________ MIN

 

01 ___ 12.9 ___ 12.9 ___ 20.2 (1985) ___ 6.1 (1808&1888) 
02 ___ 12.3 ___ 12.6 ___ 17.9 (2011) ___ 3.6 (1817)
03 ___ 12.1 ___ 12.4 ___ 19.8 (2011) ___ 4.7 (1817)
04 ___ 11.9 ___ 12.3 ___ 17.7 (1959) ___ 5.1 (1912)
05 ___ 11.6 ___ 12.2 ___ 17.9 (1886) ___ 4.6 (1888)

06 ___ 11.9 ___ 12.1 ___19.0 (1921) ___ 4.1 (1888)
07 ___ 11.7 ___ 12.1 ___16.9 (1921) ___ 3.5 (1829) 
08  ___11.8 ___ 12.0 ___17.7 (1995) ___ 4.1 (1829) 
09 ___ 11.9 ___ 12.0 ___17.5 (1995) ___ 3.3 (1852) 
10 ___ 12.5 ___ 12.0 ___17.8 (1921) ___ 3.5 (1814) 

11 ___ 11.7 ___ 12.0 ___ 17.6 (1978) ___ 3.9 (1860) 
12  ___11.6 ___ 12.0 ___ 16.5 (1978) ___ 3.2 (1887) 
13 ___ 11.4 ___ 11.9 ___ 16.8 (1990) ___ 2.2 (1838)
14 ___ 10.9 ___ 11.8 ___ 16.1 (1990) ___ 3.1 (1838)
15 ___ 10.8 ___ 11.8 ___ 15.7 (1930) ___ 2.5 (1843)

16 ___ 10.3 ___ 11.7 ___ 15.8 (1818) ___ 1.8 (1843)
17 ___ 10.0 ___ 11.6 ___ 15.6 (1897) ___ 2.5 (1824)
18 ___ 10.1 ___ 11.5 ___ 16.0 (1954) ___ 2.4 (1843) 
19 ___ 10.0 ___ 11.4 ___ 16.3 (1921) ___ 1.5 (1813)
20 ____ 9.8 ___ 11.3 ___ 14.9 (1795) ___ 2.1 (1842)

21 ____ 9.6 ___ 11.3 ___ 15.2 (1998) ___ 1.2 (1842)
22 ____ 9.9 ___ 11.2 ___ 16.2 (1906) ___ 2.5 (1931)
23 ____ 9.6 ___ 11.1 ___ 14.4 (1998) ___ 0.9 (1859) 
24 ____ 9.4 ___ 11.1 ___ 14.3 (2009) ___ 0.6 (1859)
25 ____ 9.4 ___ 11.0 ___ 14.0 (1978^)___ 2.0 (1784)

26 ____ 9.6 ___ 10.9 ___ 14.7 (1927) ___ 1.5 (1785)
27 ____ 9.8 ___ 10.9 ___ 16.7 (1888) ___ 1.4 (1869) 
28 ____ 9.8 ___ 10.9 ___ 15.6 (1888) ___ 0.9 (1895)
29 ____ 8.9 ___ 10.8 ___ 14.0 (1772*)___ 0.3 (1895)
30 ____ 9.2 ___ 10.7 ___ 15.5 (2005) ___  0.7 (1836)

31 ____ 9.3 ___ 10.7 ___ 14.5 (1772) ___ 0.7 (1836)

 

^tied 2013 (25th)

*tied 1984 (29th)
 

[Summer Sun]

October opens up with

 

15.4c to the 1st

 

3.1c above the 61 to 90 average

Edited October 2, 2014 by Summer Sun

[Don]

October opens up with

 

15.4c to the 1st

 

3.1c above the 61 to 90 average

 

The warmth continues for now.....