Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Tropical Storm Dolly


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: The Netherlands
  • Location: The Netherlands

After a worldwide lull in tropical activity, a new tropical depression has developed in the Atlantic ocean, in the bay of Campeche. Aircraft recon was able to close of a well-defined center, and so TD 05 is born with an initial intensity of 25 kt.

Below is the NHC foecast track on TD 05:

203647W5_NL_sm.gif

Track forecast of TD 05 from NOAA.

Source:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Edited by Somerset Squall
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

Looks heavily sheared to me, with the majority of the convection on the southeastern side of the LLCC. Unless this eases, 05L won't strengthen all that much before landfall in Mexico.

 

post-1820-0-60240100-1409606118_thumb.jp

 

 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Shame its not headed north. At least we should get a name though.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

05L has strengthened into Tropical Storm Dolly, with winds of 40kts. Convection is still being sheared to the southeast of the exposed LLCC, so any further intensification should be modest before landfall, which is expected in about 24hrs.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: The Netherlands
  • Location: The Netherlands

Even though the LLCC (low level circulation center) is still exposed on the northwestern side of its convection, this convection has developed much closer to the LLCC (as of 10:45 UTC), with also banding features becoming apparent on the southeast of the convection (still far removed from the circulation, though).

 

vis_lalo-animated.gif

Visible satellite loop of Dolly.

 

Given this far more healthy appearance of Dolly, some strengthening is still possible. Still, as Somerset Squall noted, the short time over water will likely limit the amount of intensification that will occur.

 

Sources:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Basically a big blob but its packing 50mph and forecast to be 60mph by landfall.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

Made landfall at 1002mb.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

The last advisory on Dolly has been issued as the circulation has dissipated over the mountains of Mexico. Heavy rains will take a day or so to begin to subside however.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-29 07:13:16 Valid: 29/03/2024 0600 - 30/03/2024 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - FRI 29 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Difficult travel conditions as the Easter break begins

    Low Nelson is throwing wind and rain at the UK before it impacts mainland Spain at Easter. Wild condtions in the English Channel, and more rain and lightning here on Thursday. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-28 09:16:06 Valid: 28/03/2024 0800 - 29/03/2024 0600 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - THURS 28 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather
×
×
  • Create New...