iceland Bárðarbunga and Askja - Volcanic Activity

[Rustynailer]

The 5.4 last night may be significant, it may herald a change in the eruption, this could well be a sign of the end of the fissure. Equally the end of the fissure could lead to fresh activity.

I knew straight away last night that after a long pause in 5+ mag quakes a big one was coming, been watching Bada too long.

 

Nobody knows what will happen next, we all know the worst case scenario, so the Average scenario is perhaps a wise precaution here.  That would mean an eruption of material somewhere else rather than a stop RE- activity.  

Reason is that this is a regional fissure eruption and it takes years to show its full colors. Patience is a virtue in the study of Iceland's Volcanoes...I don't have patience half the time but I am young to the subject.

 

 

A graph that looks like an arid desert of activity is worthy of caution and generations of respect, especially in Iceland....

Careful tread lightly Bada sleeps for a while  

 

Snooze, sleep still alive though if one of those little lines was under my house it would fall to bits in short order, Bada is resting only. 

 

All clips with thanks to IMO

Edited November 14, 2014 by Rustynailer

[john pike]

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga/

 

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga-2/ (better)

 

cor can see something there

 

sorry updates are sketchy

 

computer probs

Edited November 14, 2014 by john pike

[Rustynailer]

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga/

 

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga-2/ (better)

 

cor can see something there

 

sorry updates are sketchy

 

computer probs

LOL every time I look at mila its snowing they are elusive.

 

As we are familiar with  drum plots now thought the Molucca sea EQ Mag 7.1 (up to now) would make a useful comparison   sort of makes Badas shaking look like a mere rumble 

 

 

The fissure eruption at H is back to fountain mode I think, people on VC have posted screen shots that appear to show such.

 

Looks like the magma feed from the hot spot has pushed some more.....

Edited November 15, 2014 by Rustynailer

[Rustynailer]

OK we are up and breathing again, looks like another ripple and a Around 5 should be along before morning a 5+ by tomorrow nights end. If ......  

Edited November 15, 2014 by Rustynailer

[john pike]

http://icelandreview.com/news/2014/11/15/great-new-video-volcano

[john pike]

M 5.1 - ICELAND - 2014-11-16 01:37:22 UTC

http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=408862

 

 

http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/alert/?id=VBA03;BGSG&date=2014-11-16

 

again probably around 5.4

 

that dropped a fair amount there

http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/gps-measurements/bardarbunga/caldera

 

Edited November 16, 2014 by john pike

[john pike]

http://en.vedur.is/#tab=vatnafar

 

interesting to see the flow of the rivers go up and the temperatures going up

in them too,

certainly not the weather thats doing that (temp wise)

http://en.vedur.is/weather/forecasts/areas/

 

heres a list of quakes so far today over 3

 

Sunday
16.11.2014 13:36:33 64.663 -17.492 4.7 km 3.9 99.0 3.0 km NNE of Bárðarbunga

16.11.2014 11:23:38 64.670 -17.465 4.8 km 3.9 99.0 4.4 km NE of Bárðarbunga

16.11.2014 10:18:37 64.667 -17.402 7.5 km 4.2 99.0 6.7 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Sunday
16.11.2014 09:59:46 64.669 -17.447 4.2 km 4.1 99.0 5.0 km NE of Bárðarbunga Sunday
16.11.2014 07:47:16 64.673 -17.465 7.2 km 3.9 99.0 4.8 km NE of Bárðarbunga Sunday
16.11.2014 06:48:46 64.673 -17.483 8.0 km 3.8 99.0 4.2 km NNE of Bárðarbunga Sunday
16.11.2014 06:05:14 64.674 -17.440 8.7 km 4.0 99.0 5.6 km NE of Bárðarbunga Sunday
16.11.2014 01:37:15 64.671 -17.503 7.1 km 5.3 99.0 3.6 km NNE of Bárðarbunga

http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/vatnajokull/#view=table

all been checked and all fairly deep still

 

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga/

getting glimpses of the eruption but snow keeps getting in the way

Edited November 16, 2014 by john pike

[john pike]

Updated information 16 November 2014 12:00 - from geoscientist on duty

The largest earthquake since the last report occurred at 01:37 this morning at the northern rim of the Bárðarbunga caldera and was 5.3 in magnitude. Since yesterday morning, 7 quakes over M4 have been detected at Bárðarbunga and all in all about 65 earthquakes in that area. At the northern end of the intrusion 8 or so quakes have been detected, all less than 1.5 in magnitude.

Extent of the lava

This map shows the extent of the lava 14 November 2014 and is based on radar images from the Icelandic Coast Guard. In addition, progressive changes of the lava margin during last week are shown. That information is based on field observations, various satellite images and older radar images from the ICG. The lava now covers 71.9 km² (71.5 km² + 0.4 km²). Enlarge. Institute of Earth Sciences.

 

http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/articles/nr/2947

Edited November 16, 2014 by john pike

[john pike]

Sunday

16.11.2014 16:05:11 64.670 -17.420 1.1 km 3.7 50.5 6.1 km ENE of Bárðarbunga

http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/#view=table

 

this one has not been reviewed yet

[john pike]

M 4.4 - ICELAND - 2014-11-16 16:05:12 UTC

http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=408963

[john pike]

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga-2/

 

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga/

Edited November 16, 2014 by john pike

[Rustynailer]

Finally I have seen the fissure eruption again, at last     Cam one is panning about for once, cam 2 is at full zoom, not worth looking at at the moment. The low cloud is steam from the lava field...

 

Now I can see the fissure properly at last 

Edited November 16, 2014 by Rustynailer

[john pike]

M 5.0 - ICELAND REGION - 2014-11-16 22:26:38 UTC

http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=408991

[Midlands Ice Age]

Hi barbadarians

Quietish overnight

HOWEVER....

Superb views on Camera 1 and 2 this morning. First time for weeks of a view like this.

Fissure looks even more intense to me.

MIA

[Allseasons-Si]

Morning Bardarbarians

 

stunning views on the cams this morning

 

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga/

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga-2/

 

from westview

 

47 Eq's today so far

 

heres today's over 3's

 

Monday
17.11.2014 08:47:56 64.670 -17.436 4.4 km 4.2 99.0 5.4 km NE of Bárðarbunga

Monday
17.11.2014 07:43:13 64.613 -17.388 8.5 km 4.0 99.0 7.3 km ESE of Bárðarbunga

Monday
17.11.2014 07:15:18 64.673 -17.455 7.2 km 3.9 99.0 5.0 km NE of Bárðarbunga

Monday
17.11.2014 07:13:22 64.670 -17.398 8.3 km 3.7 99.0 7.0 km ENE of Bárðarbunga

Monday
17.11.2014 03:59:25 64.664 -17.513 9.0 km 4.0 99.0 2.8 km NNE of Bárðarbunga

Monday
17.11.2014 03:58:49 64.673 -17.414 8.7 km 3.4 99.0 6.6 km NE of Bárðarbunga

Monday
17.11.2014 03:57:00 64.678 -17.434 9.5 km 3.3 99.0 6.1 km NE of Bárðarbunga

Monday
17.11.2014 03:53:31 64.673 -17.459 7.8 km 3.8 99.0 4.9 km NE of Bárðarbunga

Monday
17.11.2014 01:26:12 64.668 -17.445 2.6 km 4.2 99.0 5.0 km NE of Bárðarbunga

Monday
17.11.2014 00:38:49 64.678 -17.419 15.7 km 4.3 99.0 6.6 km NE of Bárðarbunga

Monday
17.11.2014 00:37:04 64.669 -17.408 3.2 km 3.5 99.0 6.5 km ENE of Bárðarbunga

 

Eruption Photo Competes for National Geographic Award By Benedikt Jóhannesson November 16, 2014 17:56  

Updated: November 17, 2014 09:38

 

 

http://icelandreview.com/news/2014/11/16/eruption-photo-competes-national-geographic-award

Edited November 17, 2014 by Allseasons-si

[jonboy]

All within a 45 min spell from around mid day

 

 

Monday
17.11.2014 12:45:55 64.674 -17.458 1.3 km 3.9 99.0 5.0 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:23:27 64.674 -17.396 8.4 km 3.4 99.0 7.3 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:17:39 64.681 -17.392 9.3 km 3.6 99.0 7.9 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:13:18 64.658 -17.398 0.5 km 4.3 99.0 6.5 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:06:33 64.685 -17.452 7.9 km 4.0 99.0 6.1 km NE of Bárðarbunga

 

Some very shallow

 

missed these two

 

 

Monday
17.11.2014 12:05:51 64.670 -17.483 8.5 km 3.8 99.0 3.9 km NNE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 11:56:15 64.618 -17.372 2.7 km 3.1 99.0 7.8 km ESE of Bárðarbunga Edited November 17, 2014 by jonboy

[john pike]

plus

Monday
17.11.2014 14:22:27 64.672 -17.453 3.4 km 3.6 99.0 5.0 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 14:20:37 64.680 -17.474 8.7 km 3.0 99.0 5.1 km NNE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 14:19:02 64.669 -17.440 9.1 km 3.4 99.0 5.3 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:45:55 64.674 -17.458 1.3 km 3.9 99.0 5.0 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:23:27 64.674 -17.396 8.4 km 3.4 99.0 7.3 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:17:39 64.681 -17.392 9.3 km 3.6 99.0 7.9 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:13:18 64.658 -17.398 0.5 km 4.3 99.0 6.5 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:06:33 64.685 -17.452 7.9 km 4.0 99.0 6.1 km NE of Bárðarbunga

 

pretty lively there at present 22 up to 14.22

 

http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes#view=table

Edited November 17, 2014 by john pike

[jonboy]

Hi John

 

They do appear to be coming in clusters at the moment I wonder if that is a significant change that we are seeing

[john pike]

hi jonboy

 

certainly looks that way.

 

what this actually means is hard to say,,

 

but from watching these for a while i tend to take more note when you get clustering

 

all we can do is watch

 

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga-2/

 

lovely looking cam there at present

[john pike]

heres a full list of todays over 3 as a new page

 

Monday
17.11.2014 17:52:29 64.670 -17.420 1.1 km 3.7 50.5 6.1 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 16:59:36 64.678 -17.466 6.5 km 3.7 99.0 5.1 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 15:19:52 64.669 -17.439 8.5 km 3.9 99.0 5.3 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 15:15:57 64.669 -17.404 8.5 km 3.5 99.0 6.7 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 15:14:23 64.672 -17.408 8.8 km 3.4 99.0 6.7 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 15:13:07 64.680 -17.414 9.1 km 3.5 99.0 7.0 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 15:10:37 64.698 -17.433 9.3 km 3.4 99.0 7.9 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 15:09:55 64.686 -17.458 7.3 km 3.3 99.0 6.1 km NNE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 14:22:27 64.672 -17.453 3.4 km 3.6 99.0 5.0 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 14:20:37 64.680 -17.474 8.7 km 3.0 99.0 5.1 km NNE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 14:19:02 64.669 -17.440 9.1 km 3.4 99.0 5.3 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:45:55 64.674 -17.458 1.3 km 3.9 99.0 5.0 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:23:27 64.674 -17.396 8.4 km 3.4 99.0 7.3 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:17:39 64.681 -17.392 9.3 km 3.6 99.0 7.9 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:13:18 64.658 -17.398 0.5 km 4.3 99.0 6.5 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:06:33 64.685 -17.452 7.9 km 4.0 99.0 6.1 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 12:05:51 64.670 -17.483 8.5 km 3.8 99.0 3.9 km NNE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 11:56:15 64.618 -17.372 2.7 km 3.1 99.0 7.8 km ESE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 08:47:56 64.670 -17.436 4.4 km 4.4 99.0 5.4 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 07:43:13 64.613 -17.388 8.5 km 4.0 99.0 7.3 km ESE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 07:15:18 64.673 -17.455 7.2 km 3.9 99.0 5.0 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 07:13:22 64.670 -17.398 8.3 km 3.7 99.0 7.0 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 03:59:25 64.664 -17.513 9.0 km 4.0 99.0 2.8 km NNE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 03:58:49 64.673 -17.414 8.7 km 3.4 99.0 6.6 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 03:57:00 64.678 -17.434 9.5 km 3.3 99.0 6.1 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 03:53:31 64.673 -17.459 7.8 km 3.8 99.0 4.9 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 01:26:12 64.668 -17.445 2.6 km 4.4 99.0 5.0 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 00:38:49 64.678 -17.419 15.7 km 4.5 99.0 6.6 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 00:37:04 64.669 -17.408 3.2 km 3.5 99.0 6.5 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 00:18:27 64.687 -17.477 9.3 km 3.6 99.0 5.8 km NNE of Bárðarbunga

 

top one not reviewed yet

 

toal over 3 =30 up to 17.52

 

also of note is the depth again are quite deep so the source looks to be increasing again

 

http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/#view=table

 

http://www.livefromiceland.is/webcams/bardarbunga-2/

 

nice view on the cams tonight

Edited November 17, 2014 by john pike

[john pike]

17 November 2014 10:00 - from geoscientist on duty

Seismic activity around Bárðarbunga and in the dyke intrusion, as well as volcanic activity at the eruption site in Holuhraun, has remained at stable levels since the last report at noon yesterday.

The strongest earthquake at Bárðarbunga was M4.8 yesterday evening at 22:27 on the southern caldera rim. Additionally, 7 events exceeded M4 and 11 were in the range M3.0-3.9. All in all around 90 events have been detected in that area.

In the dyke intrusion, none of the around 25 detected earthquakes exceeded M1.6 and most of them were located in the northern part of the intrusion. Activity in the dyke slightly increased in rate and magnitude yesterday following the M5.4 event at 01:37 (16 Nov., see last report) on the northen caldera rim. Similar observations have been made for several previous M>5 earthquakes, seismicity often increases slightly in the intrusion for several hours following larger caldera events.

Activity around Herðubreið and Tungnafellsjökull was comparably low. The eruption was well visible on cameras throughout yesterday. It continues with comparable force as in recent days. No changes are visible or reported from the field.

Glowing river

LANDSAT 8 image Sunday 16 November of the eruptive site. In spite of some cloud cover, the lava flow in the larger lava field is well visible and there are some signs of a change in the direction of the flow. Enlarge. Institute of Earth Sciences.

http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/articles/nr/2947

[Rustynailer]

http://www.ruv.is/frett/holuhraun-eruption-fresh-video Super video.

 

Those clusters of quakes today are noteworthy harmonics in my opinion.   This afternoon.

 

Now  

Edited November 17, 2014 by Rustynailer

[jonboy]

Dropping like a stone on the vertical displacement as I type

[Rustynailer]

Dropping like a stone on the vertical displacement as I type

The depression that the GPS is sat in has gone deeper slower on the graph on average because it is roughly conical so as it gets bigger it slows down even though the amount of magma draining away remains out-flowing at the same rate, outside of the depression is now a much larger circle. The fissure lava flow is much the same , it is now that big 70+km that it grows hardly noticed now.

The GPS dropping like a stone is normal as it is corrected before long automatically by IMO algorithm. The gray lines are corrected out blue lines etc...

 

Magma cutting through rock like the gas axes at a scrap yard, same sound only much louder   Perhaps not the best analogy LOL

 

Same on the drums  longer time frame. (Askja is broken, tough weather to be out there fixing, mind there is a living hut for scientists at Askja...We may see it serviced before near total darkness sets in I hope.)

 

Bada 2 at 2200hrs UK  

 

Badabunga and the Fissure today at 14:35 UK time MODIS    Better at 12:55  

 

All attachments with kind regards to IMO and Mila.

Edited November 17, 2014 by Rustynailer

[jonboy]

Those since 5pm today but can we trust the last one at 4.1 at only 0.1 deep

 

Monday
17.11.2014 21:30:01 64.608 -17.457 0.1 km 4.1 99.0 4.9 km SE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 20:07:30 64.670 -17.414 8.9 km 3.5 99.0 6.3 km ENE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 20:04:03 64.671 -17.459 7.9 km 4.3 99.0 4.8 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 18:32:40 64.675 -17.496 6.3 km 3.5 99.0 4.1 km NNE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 18:01:40 64.680 -17.430 9.4 km 3.9 99.0 6.4 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 17:52:29 64.677 -17.453 7.6 km 4.1 99.0 5.4 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 17:32:14 64.667 -17.466 3.2 km 3.4 99.0 4.2 km NE of Bárðarbunga Monday
17.11.2014 16:59:36 64.678 -17.466 6.5 km 3.7 99.0 5.1 km NE of Bárðarbunga