Spanish plume anyone? Storm and convective discussion 17th July Onwards

[Guest]

Looks like some hazy breaks in the cloud appearing in the south coupled with clearer slots over the channel and into northern France. Bodes well for thunderstorm development this afternoon once the cap breaks.

 

I'm not too worried about cloudy conditions here - there is a lot of moisture out there and as long as the storms get going further south I'll happily watch them trundle up here this afternoon!

 

I'll have a look at some video grabs I got from the Market Harborough storm last night and post them on here if they're good enough lol Some epic pictures this morning!

[Mark Griffin]

Looks like some hazy breaks in the cloud appearing in the south coupled with clearer slots over the channel and into northern France. Bodes well for thunderstorm development this afternoon once the cap breaks.

 

I'm not too worried about cloudy conditions here - there is a lot of moisture out there and as long as the storms get going further south I'll happily watch them trundle up here this afternoon!

 

I'll have a look at some video grabs I got from the Market Harborough storm last night and post them on here if they're good enough lol Some epic pictures this morning!

I admire your optimism.  I think we will need an injection of heat personally or these storms will just fizzle like they have been.

[MKN]

Looks like some hazy breaks in the cloud appearing in the south coupled with clearer slots over the channel and into northern France. Bodes well for thunderstorm development this afternoon once the cap breaks.

 

I'm not too worried about cloudy conditions here - there is a lot of moisture out there and as long as the storms get going further south I'll happily watch them trundle up here this afternoon!

 

I'll have a look at some video grabs I got from the Market Harborough storm last night and post them on here if they're good enough lol Some epic pictures this morning!

 

 

Id rather see this cloud and drizzle clear away to allow 3/4 hours of clear sunshine before any further storms develop. They wont be as impressive otherwise.

[Guest]

Id rather see this cloud and drizzle clear away to allow 3/4 hours of clear sunshine before any further storms develop. They wont be as impressive otherwise.

Fair point. I will be keeping a close eye on reports from your area especially. Hope you get some sun in the next few hours!

[10 Days Away]

Saw this gust front come in at 8.30 pm yesterday at Camber Sands, E. Sussex and then was awake until 4 the is morning as literally had a storm streamer running through Ashford.

 

Made up for missing out completely on Thursday night.

Edited July 19, 2014 by TN26

[Supacell]

Unfortunately the cloud doesn't seem to be shifting and the satellite/radar shows a train of more and more rain with the odd rumble of thunder type stuff. If it doesn't shift then we won't get any severe storms later today. It needs to move on, not necessarily from here but at least to my east and south.

[NUT]

Rain has set in here. Whether we get the thundery element today is a little open to question

[MKN]

Fair point. I will be keeping a close eye on reports from your area especially. Hope you get some sun in the next few hours!

 

Looking at the radar hopefully the rain clears by 11-1130 so providing nothing else comes up should get some sun. GFS still going for 27/28c

[SP1986]

On the western flank of that cloud it's now stable. Although the GFS suggests energy will increase later, it will take a monumental effort to move this big mass of cloud, or even break it up. Therefore for more northern areas I think we can close the chapter on this one with the day likely to be plagued by cloud, and air too cool to initiate anything convective. 

 

Further south though, where the cloud clears, it looks like there will be another good build up/sustainment of energy, so from early afternoon the southern areas and southern Midlands, should hopefully see some more impressive storms as they attempt to progress north.

[Harry]

It is so humid here we are starting to get very ratty, lol!

Sun also desperately trying to get through the cloud here!

Not sure I share everyone's optimism about clearing skies though...further storms firing over N France are just adding more shizzle to our skies.

Edited July 19, 2014 by Harry

[Neilsouth]

What a great night of storms so much activity.

[Aiden2012]

What a load of rubbish again nothing at all think its been 5-6 years since the last good storm.

[Lauren]

Apparently forecast says we're due for more at about midday. Any truth in this?

[Moisty]

Either we are very unlucky or I sleep heavier than I thought but nothing but early morning rain here now cleared and Thursday night saw the violent storms pass to the east and west of us - the ground was still dry as a bone on Friday morning.

 

Maybe today is our day

[conor123]

Was hoping once that area of plain jane thunderless rain passed over it would brighten up from the south, but now looks like we have another 2-3 maybe even 4 hours of  moderate bland rain to go through with the torrential excitement, as ever, further east.

[joggs]

They really were not - Meto called this perfectly.Just unlucky for you

Disagree,thurs had more potent storms/lightening count alot higher and they were bigging last night as more severe. Edited July 19, 2014 by joggs

[Mapantz]

Apparently forecast says we're due for more at about midday. Any truth in this?

There's going to be developments all day, I know it has been said many times, but it's best just to stick to the radar and keep a close eye on your area. The storm I had this morning practically developed out of nowhere.8am..Half an hour later.. Edited July 19, 2014 by Mapantz

[pip22]

The rain is getting heavier here. Is that a good sign?

[matty40s]

The rain is getting heavier here. Is that a good sign?

It is if you are testing a new brolly and still dry...

[Neilsouth]

Flash and boooom

[Nick L]

Was hoping once that area of plain jane thunderless rain passed over it would brighten up from the south, but now looks like we have another 2-3 maybe even 4 hours of  moderate bland rain to go through with the torrential excitement, as ever, further east.

 

Yeah this rain looks set for a good chunk of the day, and then we still have to get rid of the cloud. It's early days but I'm not overly optimistic to be honest (for the West Midlands).

Edited July 19, 2014 by Nick L

[SP1986]

The rain is getting heavier here. Is that a good sign?

 

It was heavy here too, unfortunately this far west, the air is relatively stable now. The expectations is that this cloud will clear and energy will build. Whether this actually happens this far north, is an entirely separate problem.

[Neilsouth]

Thunderstorm part 3

[Bermuda Skies]

Disappointing night here but it looks like many got one hell of a show which is great. Hopefully this afternoon, evening will deliver the goods here.

 

I managed just a couple of shots of the Milton Keynes/Northampton system around midnight looking West from Bedford and that was it! Not the greatest but i like the cloud structures.

 

 

 

 

Thrilled that the my pic was used on the Site News though.   http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=news;storyid=6025;sess=

Edited July 19, 2014 by FatScamp

[Evening thunder]

Had a bit of thunder and lightning earlier, Nothing compared to many storms elsewhere as mainly infrequent as less instability than further east but nice to see and better than nothing.  Enough rain to give a decent watering to things too.GFS looks to have downgraded and pushed todays CAPE east at the last minute.. May in part be due to more left over cloud being forecast by it. Oh well may have to see what elevated storms I can get if not much surface convection kicks off, though these could still be decent (slept last night instead of chasing storms east of here so I was able to chase today).

Edited July 19, 2014 by Evening thunder