Spanish plume anyone? Storm and convective discussion 17th July Onwards

[ilsewin]

Damn, looks like the cell heading for London has died. Sky still ominously dark though, so maybe the heat of the city will revive it! *fingers crossed*

[robt]

Estofex for Saturday is out. Looks hairy!

 

http://www.estofex.org/

 

First time in a very long time that I've been under a Level 2...

[Harry]

If anyone wanted to know what a mackerel sky was but was too afraid to ask, I gift you an example for free.

And YES that is mammatus under the anvil of the MCS!!! (Wow...I was only photographing the mackerel sky then noticed the mamma)

[Love Snow]

Not bad

[BaronVonRain]

Estofex for Saturday is out. Looks hairy!

 

http://www.estofex.org/

WOW

[vladthemert]

level 2 here we come here

[Paul]

For those who may not have seen it, Nick issued a storm forecast earlier - moderate risk of severe storms. 

 

 

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=convective;sess=

[Dan the Man]

My goodness, look at that at Canterbury!

[West Sussex Kate]

Evening all, Sussex is ready and waiting for the storms!

Edited July 18, 2014 by West Sussex Kate

[poseidon]

Ac cas breaking out round here now.

[Harry]

Another Level 2 yaaay. My dilemma is thus...stay in NW Kent or travel to Dymchurch (Kent coast for afternoon/overnight for imports)

[Daniel*]

^ Taken 10m ago more photos to come odd cloud formation?

[ChezWeather]

Heading for Lincolnshire on Saturday by the looks of that! What a forecast from Estofex! 

[snowwonder]

Gone very dark to my south some brewing now me thinks. Just the same as last night. So humid its unreal.

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Level 2 estofex warning with me under it + watching this mothership coming + a couple of beers and then later on watching everyone freak out etc....

 

I think its safe to say I've achieved my all time aim in dreaming of this exact kind of scenario     

[Nick F]

Very angry skies to the south here in Croydon, just seen a flash of lightning across the sky too, but strangely no thunder.

[Flash Elvis]

My goodness, look at that at Canterbury!

That sky is unreal on the Kent v Somerset T20 Blast game

[nanu]

Does anyone have a picture of this cell making landfall would love to see if it's a mothership!

its not a mothership.. but its bloody black as anything... actually can hear thunder from it now

[chionomaniac]

The storm just passed to the east of me here - wonderful cloud structure which was as impressive as the CG's

 

 

[robt]

That sky is unreal on the Kent v Somerset T20 Blast game

Absolutely pitch black to the south, yet still brightish to the north...

[Mokidugway]

Looks like the two storms in France are going to merge!!....

[Wolfgang Drill]

Hi there

I don't normally post but I'm begging for an answer. I have a son with down syndrome who gets extremely nervous with thunder and lightning.

So I can prepare him could anyone please tell me if Stokenchurch (6 miles west of High Wycombe?) Is likely to get anything tonight.

I appreciate any help in advance.

Thank you

[NL]

ESTOFEX.

 

 

Of particular concern are areas of reduced vertical mixing, which allow a moisture accumulation and the maintenance of enhanced low-level shear and helicity. This can be expected along the sea breeze front in Northern France and Belgium, and in general in Eastern England, where warm air advection re-intensifies on the forward flank of a weak surface low which is forecast to track from Northwestern France (06 UTC) into Northern England (18 UTC). If diurnal heating and/or the lift impulse by outflow boundaries suffice to break the capping inversion in these regions, particularly well-organized supercells could spawn a few tornadoes, possibly even including a strong one. However, mesoscale developments need to be awaited before the degree of this threat can further be specified.
Despite remaining uncertainties due to downstream effects of overnight's vigorous storms, a level 2 seems to be warranted.

[geg1992]

Seems to be dieing off a bit

[ilsewin]

Just saw flash of lightning to south, distant but definitely there. Come on baby, this way please!