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Spanish plume anyone? Storm and convective discussion 17th July Onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Westbury, Wiltshire
  • Location: Westbury, Wiltshire

Damn, looks like the cell heading for London has died. Sky still ominously dark though, so maybe the heat of the city will revive it! *fingers crossed*

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Posted
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire

Estofex for Saturday is out. Looks hairy!

 

http://www.estofex.org/

 

First time in a very long time that I've been under a Level 2...

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Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)

If anyone wanted to know what a mackerel sky was but was too afraid to ask, I gift you an example for free.

And YES that is mammatus under the anvil of the MCS!!! (Wow...I was only photographing the mackerel sky then noticed the mamma)

post-3790-0-71978700-1405713020_thumb.jp

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Posted
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Anything apart from grey days
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)

Ac cas breaking out round here now.

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Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)

Another Level 2 yaaay. My dilemma is thus...stay in NW Kent or travel to Dymchurch (Kent coast for afternoon/overnight for imports)

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Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m

Heading for Lincolnshire on Saturday by the looks of that! What a forecast from Estofex! 

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Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

Level 2 estofex warning with me under it + watching this mothership coming + a couple of beers and then later on watching everyone freak out etc....

 

I think its safe to say I've achieved my all time aim in dreaming of this exact kind of scenario  :yahoo:  :diablo:  :crazy:

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Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

Very angry skies to the south here in Croydon, just seen a flash of lightning across the sky too, but strangely no thunder.

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Posted
  • Location: SE,London (Catford)
  • Location: SE,London (Catford)

Does anyone have a picture of this cell making landfall would love to see if it's a mothership!

its not a mothership.. but its bloody black as anything... actually can hear thunder from it now

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Posted
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire
  • Location: Hatfield, Doncaster, South Yorkshire

That sky is unreal on the Kent v Somerset T20 Blast game

Absolutely pitch black to the south, yet still brightish to the north...

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Posted
  • Location: Near High Wycombe
  • Location: Near High Wycombe

Hi there

I don't normally post but I'm begging for an answer. I have a son with down syndrome who gets extremely nervous with thunder and lightning.

So I can prepare him could anyone please tell me if Stokenchurch (6 miles west of High Wycombe?) Is likely to get anything tonight.

I appreciate any help in advance.

Thank you

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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

ESTOFEX.

 

post-5386-0-76555500-1405713347_thumb.pn

 

Of particular concern are areas of reduced vertical mixing, which allow a moisture accumulation and the maintenance of enhanced low-level shear and helicity. This can be expected along the sea breeze front in Northern France and Belgium, and in general in Eastern England, where warm air advection re-intensifies on the forward flank of a weak surface low which is forecast to track from Northwestern France (06 UTC) into Northern England (18 UTC). If diurnal heating and/or the lift impulse by outflow boundaries suffice to break the capping inversion in these regions, particularly well-organized supercells could spawn a few tornadoes, possibly even including a strong one. However, mesoscale developments need to be awaited before the degree of this threat can further be specified.
Despite remaining uncertainties due to downstream effects of overnight's vigorous storms, a level 2 seems to be warranted.

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Posted
  • Location: Ipswich, Suffolk, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Severe thunderstorms, Heavy snow
  • Location: Ipswich, Suffolk, UK

Seems to be dieing off a bit :(

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Posted
  • Location: Westbury, Wiltshire
  • Location: Westbury, Wiltshire

Just saw flash of lightning to south, distant but definitely there. Come on baby, this way please!

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