Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Spanish plume anyone? Storm and convective discussion 17th July Onwards


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Stevenage, Herts
  • Location: Stevenage, Herts

The storm is not even here and I'm witnessing the best lightning since 2005, first CG in 9 years too- this side of the Purbeck hill. What a display! I am wetting Mapantz.

What about last July? Had the best storm I've seen in years whilst I was on holiday in Swanage. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL

The storm is not even here and I'm witnessing the best lightning since 2005, first CG in 9 years too- this side of the Purbeck hill. What a display! I am wetting Mapantz.

 

Send the lightning my way please thanks!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Heat Waves, Tornadoes.
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol

That's stuff in the channel is headed for Bristol me thinks.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni

That's stuff in the channel is headed for Bristol me thinks.

I hope so too! 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Test Valley, nr Romsey - Hampshire
  • Location: Test Valley, nr Romsey - Hampshire

First post ever.

Amazing night. Distant lightning to south of me (just north of southampton).

Are channel storms going to make it here? Has been blowing gale for 30+ mins Nd now calm

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough

A bit of a downgrade unfortunately, in tonight's GFS run.

 

It has reduced the intensity of the rainfall a bit, thereofore possibly reducing the lightning activity and it has shifted the main area of thundery rain to the west, mainly into the Irish Sea.

I would only use those charts as a rough guide to the positioning on the rain. Predicting the intensity of it is near impossible and pointless to make a judgement really. We will have to wait and see on what get chucked out of France towards us. Any westward shift is good for eastern areas with respect to surface based convection.

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!
  • Location: Winchester, Hampshire ~ Southern Central!

First post ever.Amazing night. Distant lightning to south of me (just north of southampton).Are channel storms going to make it here? Has been blowing gale for 30+ mins Nd now calm

Oooh oooh where are you? Eastleigh? I am in Winchester ...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35

That's stuff in the channel is headed for Bristol me thinks.

 

Yea hopefully instead of that nice gap in-between the 2 sections of main activity....*sigh* please no repeats :laugh:

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

Storms moving north, gratefully, a little further east than I thought would happen, may even catch a flash and bang in London in the wee hours.

Unusually, for recent times, airmass will be even hotter and more humid behind these storms clearing through, as plume of high theta-e advances north into southern England, though remember this being more common in the 90s.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Aldborough, North Norfolk
  • Location: Aldborough, North Norfolk

A bit of a downgrade unfortunately, in tonight's GFS run.

 

It has reduced the intensity of the rainfall a bit, therefore possibly reducing the lightning activity and it has shifted the main area of thundery rain to the west, mainly into the Irish Sea.

From those charts, you get it all, and you are worried about that?

 

As CS said, it's not worth worrying about.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Thundery summers, very snowy winters! Huge Atlantic Storms!
  • Location: Port Glasgow, Inverclyde, Scotland. 200m ASL.

Sleep time now, looking forward to the slight chance tomorrow!! Bring it on!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Pitstone/Ivinghoe Buckinghamshire
  • Location: Pitstone/Ivinghoe Buckinghamshire

The rain moving across the channel seems a little further east to me than what the models said earlier, this could be good for some southern counties :)

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35
  • Weather Preferences: Severe weather enthusiast
  • Location: South Gloucestershire BS35

From those charts, you get it all, and you are worried about that?

 

As CS said, it's not worth worrying about.

 

Indeed...NMM 4km has it a tad East compared to it's previous run, so to be honest it is really not worth worrying about until we see stuff actually developing on the day.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Pitstone/Ivinghoe Buckinghamshire
  • Location: Pitstone/Ivinghoe Buckinghamshire

Seriously, does anyone think any thunder will get into the East Midlands overnight?

 

It's possible but it's one of them nights when all eyes need to be on the radar for developments/movement.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Heat Waves, Tornadoes.
  • Location: Stoke Gifford, Bristol

Yea hopefully instead of that nice gap in-between the 2 sections of main activity....*sigh* please no repeats :laugh:

Yeah its been an all too common theme this year. I have a good feeling about this one though. Just hoping for a direct hit! :bomb:

 

If nothing tonight, then Saturday has to deliver surely!

Edited by Karl83
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Warwickshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, snow, warmth, and thunder.
  • Location: Warwickshire

Highest CAPE Values decide to shift East once again.

Potentially another let-down.

 

Posted Image

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - Heavy Snow Summer - Hot with Night time Thunderstorms
  • Location: Truro, Cornwall

STUNNING Lightning photos in Cornwall tonight. How I would love to have been back in Falmouth tonight!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, North Derbyshire 100m ASL
  • Location: Chesterfield, North Derbyshire 100m ASL

Thought it had died off the last five minutes or so on the Bournemouth Cam, but really perked up again and going for it now with some cracking lightening strikes

 

Surely one has to land on the pier :nea:

Edited by OddSpot
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL

A bit of a downgrade unfortunately, in tonight's GFS run.

 

It has reduced the intensity of the rainfall a bit, therefore possibly reducing the lightning activity and it has shifted the main area of thundery rain to the west, mainly into the Irish Sea.

 

Waheeeey, that'll do nicely. Round 2 of stealing everybody's lightning, just like last month? :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Herts
  • Location: Herts

Highest CAPE Values decide to shift East once again.

Potentially another let-down.

Posted Image

But, wasn't the East/SE always meant to be in the best position Saturday into Sunday? Edited by saint
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, thunder, hail & heavy snow
  • Location: Solihull, Midlands. (Formerly DRL)

Some fresh new cells seem to have been cooked up from Cornwall's storm oven in the last 30 minutes or so (according to the Netweather radar). That county, in particular, is really getting clobbered with torrential rain and storms tonight! No doubt there's quite a lot of interesting activity over the Channel, too. 

Edited by DiagonalRedLine
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl
  • Location: Horsham, West sussex, 52m asl

A bit of a downgrade unfortunately, in tonight's GFS run.

 

It has reduced the intensity of the rainfall a bit, therefore possibly reducing the lightning activity and it has shifted the main area of thundery rain to the west, mainly into the Irish Sea.

 

no such thing as a downgrade mate. thunderstorms are like snow- extremely difficult to predict accurately and depend on last minute local conditions. some of the best storms i've seen weren't even forecast.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-29 07:13:16 Valid: 29/03/2024 0600 - 30/03/2024 0600 THUNDERSTORM WATCH - FRI 29 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    Difficult travel conditions as the Easter break begins

    Low Nelson is throwing wind and rain at the UK before it impacts mainland Spain at Easter. Wild condtions in the English Channel, and more rain and lightning here on Thursday. Read the full update here

    Netweather forecasts
    Netweather forecasts
    Latest weather updates from Netweather

    UK Storm and Severe Convective Forecast

    UK Severe Convective & Storm Forecast - Issued 2024-03-28 09:16:06 Valid: 28/03/2024 0800 - 29/03/2024 0600 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - THURS 28 MARCH 2024 Click here for the full forecast

    Nick F
    Nick F
    Latest weather updates from Netweather
×
×
  • Create New...