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Storm and convective discussion 7th July Onwards

Jane Louise
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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted

Rain has done nothing to cool things off. Like a ruddy furnace even with windows open

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Convective Community Regular

Convective

Posted
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
Posted

does look good , like the UFO in last image !!......

 

Must admit I didn't even notice it until it landed in next door's garden

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Convective Community Regular

Convective

Posted
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
Posted

are they friendly ? Encyclopedia galactic a at hand ???......

 

No, they took my cat and left without even a single rumble of thunder.........

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Speedway Slider Enthusiast

Speedway Slider

Posted
  • Location: Leicester (LE3)
  • Location: Leicester (LE3)
Posted

Light rain falling now in Leicester, that light it's struggling to wet the pavement...

Humidity seems to have dropped off slightly, yet still very warm.... No sign of anything remotely thundery, although earlier we had sferics 14/15 mile west..

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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted

Rotheram in the eye of a storm!!

Just rain rain and more rain

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cloudsabove Enthusiast

cloudsabove

Posted
  • Location: Suffolk (just west of Ipswich)
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, clouds, aurora
  • Location: Suffolk (just west of Ipswich)
Posted

Anyone Sudbury way...nice line of ts charging through shortly. Skies must look pretty wild.

I'm a bit of a way from Sudbury but could see it heading (from that direction) towards my area, fairly frequent lightning (compared to what usually happens around here) and big rumbles. Maybe some CG but didn't see them as probably looking away to sort settings on camera. Heavy rain started and is now continuing. Didn't really see any wild skies, generally overcast and camera captures were a washout so didn't see anything of note in those either. Glad to have some thunder at least, it's been a while!

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poseidon Aficionado

poseidon

Posted
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Anything apart from grey days
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
Posted

Did that storm of Holland come from the UK? Have we finally succeeded in exporting a storm to the continent?

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Speedway Slider Enthusiast

Speedway Slider

Posted
  • Location: Leicester (LE3)
  • Location: Leicester (LE3)
Posted

Makes mental note to organise BBQ :) that'll guarantee a show or three lol...yes, quite knife edge still, heat building add moisture and other ingredients - much depends where they'll meet up still. In one foul swoop. Near continent, as per, at higher risk..a lot at stake for the Uk.A possible 30C prior to any cb action, further stoking debate with regards to next week. Interesting times.

What do you mean by cb action? There's lots of acronymic choices....

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted

What do you mean by cb action? There's lots of acronymic choices....

 

Cb is the acronym for Cumulonimbus. I should imagine triple_x1 was meaning plenty of thunderstorm action. I am hoping so as didn't see a sausage from yesterday's, although wasn't expecting anything this far west anyway despite a brief storm towards the Coalville area.

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IanR Seasoned

IanR

Posted
  • Location: Wigan
  • Location: Wigan
Posted

 Anyone explain why there was not more thundery activity from yesterdays rain,  a band of quite active rain sweeping in just to coincide with the heat of the early evening/ late afernnoon with much of England in the 26c to 27 c range!  yet just a few isolated cells in Lincs and Essex

I am sure this would have triggered more thundery weather with the same setup during the 80's and 90's , it seems a lot harder to get thunderstorms now, or is it just me?

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William Grimsley Seasoned

William Grimsley

Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
Posted

 Anyone explain why there was not more thundery activity from yesterdays rain,  a band of quite active rain sweeping in just to coincide with the heat of the early evening/ late afernnoon with much of England in the 26c to 27 c range!  yet just a few isolated cells in Lincs and Essex

I am sure this would have triggered more thundery weather with the same setup during the 80's and 90's , it seems a lot harder to get thunderstorms now, or is it just me?

I think what had happened is that the thunderstorms had low deep layer shear associated with them so didn't last very long and a lot of downdraft associated too so rain was unable to pep up after they left. Basically, they left the air "dry" if that makes sense so basically there was not enough energy or moisture to help aid further development.

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johnholmes Maestro

johnholmes

Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
Posted

Met offiice yellow warning for today is very similar to yesterday's with a few storms likely

in Eastern areas.

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_warnings.html?day=1

 

Yes, looking at the skew-t's for say Doncaster and Skegness I am a bit surprised as the predicted ascents for both (using Extra output), suggests that any deep instability around at the moment will become far less unstable as the day goes on. So bit unsure why they have gone for that but they are the experts.

No basic sonde data available from the usual site to give us the Watnall output.

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Harps Explorer

Harps

Posted
  • Location: Live:West London, Work:Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Snow, Storms. Summer: Heat, Thunder
  • Location: Live:West London, Work:Essex
Posted

Possible plume event during the week? Too far off yet obviously but something to keep an eye on

 

Posted Image

 

Posted Image

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poseidon Aficionado

poseidon

Posted
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Anything apart from grey days
  • Location: Dunmow, Essex (72m asl)
Posted

MO and WRF seem to want to keep the worst of any rainfall/storms to the far East today.

 

post-17315-0-61509800-1405242736_thumb.j

 

Posted Image

 

Estofex is a bit more general.....

 

post-17315-0-19473700-1405242634_thumb.j

 

...southeastern UK, Netherlands...

Storms will move rather slowly and some local elevated precipitation sums may arise. Also, the absence of flow and vertical shear is beneficial for development of spout-type tornadoes, but 00Z soundings looked quite stable with dry layers in the low to mid levels, so no level 1 area was issued at this point.

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Panayiotis Seasoned

Panayiotis

Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
Posted (edited)

Holy moly! 

Posted ImagePosted Image

Edited by Panayiotis
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Captain Shortwave Maestro

Captain Shortwave

Posted
  • Location: Peterborough
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and frost in the winter. Hot and sunny, thunderstorms in the summer.
  • Location: Peterborough
Posted

Holy moly! 

Posted ImagePosted Image

The perfect scenario this is as the thundery low tracks over us during Friday afternoon. If this slows and becomes more akin to the ECM then we will probably lose the risk of severe thunderstorms, though isolated cell will probably develop due to the heat. On another note there is definitely a decent chance of importing some big storms from France, well at the moment.

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