Storm and Convective Discussion 23rd June Onwards

[SnowJoke]

The cell that passed over MK appears to have died electrically, how ever the sky to the SE & SW of here looks very thundery. Huge towering cumulus in the distance with all sorts of low level cumulus flying around the bases at different heights.

[Chris101]

Post frontal troughing underway around here now, potential is there for something big in the next couple of hours.

[The PIT]

Zippo here as per normal just some moderate rain this afternoon.

[TonyH]

Sounds like the worst is over and I haven't even seen anything!

Trouble is people always have over expectations, thunder is always highly hit and miss and many storm lovers as usual are disappointed and blame the forecasters

Edited June 27, 2014 by TonyH

[Supacell]

Showers seem to be forming into a band across from Mid Wales to around Gt Yarmouth with storms scattered along the line. I am free to chase now but a bit unsure as to whether to head SW, SE or S.... or just stay put

[Hirudine]

Not even a sniff of rain so far today here, but I managed to snap this impressive tower to the NW

 

https://forum.netweather.tv/gallery/image/19987-/

[Arnie Pie]

Beefy cell moving of to the NE...certainly more convection around atm

[A.J]

aargh, the storms affecting the somerset region seem to be moving now with a more easterly trajectory rather NE towards me....the anvil shield from this multicell line is overhead so it's hampering any further convection...who the hell wrote todays storm script for down here?! 

[Mapantz]

The MO have downgraded the shower activity here tomorrow. Apart from yesterday's frontal rain, it's possible that we may see nothing at all!

New warning doesn't really reflect the forecast..

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1403910000®ionName=sw

with the focus rather further south than on Friday

Edited June 27, 2014 by Mapantz

[Spikecollie]

I bet it's fun down there: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-28056363

I got wet on my dog walk, but only from the soaking grass and heather...

Edited June 27, 2014 by Spikecollie

[lassie23]

Trouble is people always have over expectations, thunder is always highly hit and miss and many storm lovers as usual are disappointed and blame the forecasters

It's been a miss today! Nice sunny day though, cool breeze 21.4c!

[Summer Sun]

Thunder and lightning suspends Glastonbury http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-28056363

[saint]

Looks like tomorrow could be the day for those in the South and East to see some action.

[Lauren]

Yeah, I'm not so sue about that. BBC, Met and Netweather are saying occasional rain showers and have had storm risk decreased from 65% to 5%.

[saint]

Yeah, I'm not so sue about that. BBC, Met and Netweather are saying occasional rain showers and have had storm risk decreased from 65% to 5%.

 

The focus, if anything does kick off tomorrow, will almost certainly be further south.

 

The BBC forecast at 6:30, which is by no means gospel, showed the rash of showers/cells across the South tomorrow.

 

From the Netweather forecast: 'Then on Saturday, a band of cloud and showery rain will slowly sink south across the Midlands and Wales through the day, to the south across southern England and perhaps south Wales, sunny spells but also slow-moving heavy showers and thunderstorms will develop once again, accompanied by hail, torrential rain and gusty winds.'

Edited June 27, 2014 by saint

[Chris.R]

Do

Not

Rely

On

Computer

Generated

Graphical

Forecasts!

They are just a calculation based on a range of variables. Likewise the storm risk percentages. Look at the individual variables, not the some calculations. only use them as a very rough guide, and sometimes not even that.

Edited June 27, 2014 by Chris R

[Andy Pepler]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JekXK1I2rDU oh dear the stages are now powering up now the storm has passed   but whats in store for later :O

[A.J]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JekXK1I2rDU oh dear the stages are now powering up now the storm has passed   but whats in store for later :O

not a lot more today Andy IMO.....convective energy and solar heating is on the wane, some moderate showers overnight perhaps but unlikely to be any further thunderstorms

[saint]

DoNotRelyOnComputerGeneratedGraphicalForecasts!They are just a calculation based on a range of variables. Likewise the storm risk percentages. Look at the individual variables, not the some calculations. only use them as a very rough guide, and sometimes not even that.

 

 

Or try the radar's, they're normally much more accurate too! 

[William Grimsley]

The MO have downgraded the shower activity here tomorrow. Apart from yesterday's frontal rain, it's possible that we may see nothing at all!New warning doesn't really reflect the forecast.. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&map=Warnings&zoom=5&lon=-3.50&lat=55.50&fcTime=1403910000®ionName=swwith the focus rather further south than on Friday

The Met Office are right, more action is likely down here tomorrow due to the wind direction, but I have a feeling it might be even too far S.

[Dami]

Just had a shower that wet the ground but nothing amazing. yep I just got the edge of it.

[Greeny]

I decided to chase the cells near Yarmouth. Im currently sitting in my car on the sea front facing out to see. A possible hail core seen and a nice potent cg on the way into Yarmouth. Been hearing occasional thunder from it.

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Cambridgeshire fens earlier

[Mapantz]

The Met Office are right, more action is likely down here tomorrow due to the wind direction, but I have a feeling it might be even too far S.

South of the M4 looks to be the areas most at risk, but I'd say I have a good chance of staying dry tomorrow. Edited June 27, 2014 by Mapantz

[lassie23]

The Met Office are right, more action is likely down here tomorrow due to the wind direction, but I have a feeling it might be even too far S.

Storms and snow are usually too far north or too far south of me and I'm left in the middle with nothing! But on the plus side, it is sunny and the storms should be further south tomorrow! But when I miss out on snow........... :cray: :wallbash: :angry:  :cold: there is no plus side!