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July 2014 CET Forecasts


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Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.

16.2c ta.

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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

I have the table of forecasts ready to post at midnight, just changed my own very slightly to fill a space at 17.9. If you want an open spot, these were open before I posted this:

 

16.8, 18.3, 18.4, 18.6

 

and most below 16.1.

 

Check the table for the final details but it looks like the median is around 17.0 so a general expectation of warmth.

 

 

 

 

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Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire

Ok just in time for midnight.

 

The mild/warm train is showing no signs of slowing down.  Another above average month then, but as always, how much is the question?

 

My July guess is 17.7C please.

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Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)

Ahh ive missed the last few months :S sorry for being late, 17.0 for me if still possible :)

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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)

My heart hopes for a Dickensian 13C but my head says to expect the warmest July on record... soooo 20C  :(

 

Thank you for your high hopes :crazy: But you have no chance, 'Thank God!!!' ....HOT! sultry nights, definitely don't appeal to me :good: 

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Posted
  • Location: York
  • Weather Preferences: Long warm summer evenings. Cold frosty sunny winter days.
  • Location: York

Late 17.7 for me

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Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

Nice warm start then

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Up-to 17.2c to the 4th

 

1.7c above the 61 to 90 average

Edited by Summer Sun
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Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral

16.0C for me. (bit late  I know)

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Posted
  • Location: Peasedown St John.N.E.Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Fair to Foul...
  • Location: Peasedown St John.N.E.Somerset

Hadley have at last updated...... 16.3c.   Anomaly   0.6c.  Provisional to 8th. ...

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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

1981-2010 July CET averages and cumulative monthly "normals"

 

 

  1 __ 15.9 __ 15.9

  2 __ 15.9 __ 15.9

  3 __ 15.9 __ 15.9

  4 __ 16.0 __ 15.9

  5 __ 16.4 __ 16.0

  6 __ 16.3 __ 16.1

  7 __ 16.3 __ 16.1

  8 __ 16.6 __ 16.2

  9 __ 16.3 __ 16.2

10 __ 16.6 __ 16.2

11 __ 16.7 __ 16.3

12 __ 16.5 __ 16.3

13 __ 16.6 __ 16.3

14 __ 16.8 __ 16.3

15 __ 17.0 __ 16.4

16 __ 16.8 __ 16.4

17 __ 16.3 __ 16.4

18 __ 16.5 __ 16.4

19 __ 16.9 __ 16.4

20 __ 17.2 __ 16.5

21 __ 16.9 __ 16.5

22 __ 16.9 __ 16.5

23 __ 16.9 __ 16.5

24 __ 16.6 __ 16.5

25 __ 17.0 __ 16.6

26 __ 17.2 __ 16.6

27 __ 17.2 __ 16.6

28 __ 17.4 __ 16.6

29 __ 17.7 __ 16.7

30 __ 17.4 __ 16.7

31 __ 17.2 __ 16.7

 

 

29 July is the warmest day of the year in this data set, but with a warmer start, 6 August has the warmest monthly cumulative value of 17.0 (16.99) although 5-8 Aug reach that same figure after rounding. For some reason 1-2 Aug drop to about 16.7 which prevents a higher value at the start of the month.

 

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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

16.3C to the 9th

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

 

Yesterday was 16.4C. The minimum today is 10.3C while maxima look like reaching near 21C, so drop to 16.2C is possible tomorrow.

 

After that, the 06z GFS has the CET at

16.3C to the 11th (17.1)

16.5C to the 12th (18.6)

16.6C to the 13th (17.2)

16.4C to the 14th (14.4)

16.5C to the 15th (18.3)

16.7C to the 16th (19.4)

16.8C to the 17th (18.6)

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Posted
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)
  • Location: Llanwnnen, Lampeter, Ceredigion, 126m asl (exotic holidays in Rugby/ Coventry)

The month could end up average or warm although my 17.7c is already looking a touch too high.

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