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Paul

South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Regional Weather Chat

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Quite dark here and a few drops of rain. 

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FROM THE MET

 

 

Evening/ Tonight:

 

Friday's showers across northern parts will ease. However further rain, turning heavy and persistent in places, will spread northeastwards into Wales and western England during the early hours, reaching northern England around dawn. Mostly dry elsewhere, but with isolated showers.

 

Saturday:

 

Heavy and persistent rain continues northwards into Scotland and parts of Northern Ireland. Turning windy along some exposed coasts. Drier in the south, although with a risk of heavy showers.

 

Updated: 1535 on Fri 1 Aug 2014

Edited by lassie23

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So nowt for the South then, they think.

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So nowt for the South then, they think.

Just saw the BBC weather and there is a risk of thunder storms in London around 2 or 3 am! Not sure if they will get as far east as you though! :)

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Possible storms tonight oh great ! Oh well headphones at the ready so strange don't bother me during the day but night time I'm a wreck :/

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Possible storms tonight oh great ! Oh well headphones at the ready so strange don't bother me during the day but night time I'm a wreck :/

If they turn up at 5am it'll be daylight and you won't mind! :clapping:

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From Essex weather: "Latest model data continues to suggest thunderstorms after midnight across Essex. Intensity and distribution still uncertain."

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From Essex weather: "Latest model data continues to suggest thunderstorms after midnight across Essex. Intensity and distribution still uncertain."

So what is the main indicator on the models suggesting the overnight storms? Convective precip, vertical velocity, theta-e?

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QuoteQuote

 

So what is the main indicator on the models suggesting the overnight storms? Convective precip, vertical velocity, theta-e?

 

 

Don't know - they didn't say. Seems to be a lot of uncertainty about the situation still. WRF NMM shows high theta-e moving in....

 

Posted Image

 

An area of decent vertical velocity moving North with the trough....

Posted Image

 

Some convective precip (not as heavy as the SW):

 

Posted Image

 

LI of -2 to -3 and CAPE of around 500J/Kg.

It'll be interesting to see if Estofex have any thoughts about it. Nick F mentioned the possibility of multicell storms or MCS.

 

There's now the odd shower starting to form over the channel on radar.

Edited by poseidon

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Doesn't appear to be any sferics in the channel yet, unless I'm looking at the wrong thing....

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Lots of little but potent showers coming over the Channel now. 

post-10081-0-62861900-1406926427_thumb.p

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I see what you mean, but I hope it gets more spectacular than two strikes 10 miles off Dieppe.

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Lots of little but potent showers coming over the Channel now. 

Heading to London? :unknw: :unknw: :unknw: :unknw: :clapping:

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Looks like  storms now forming  over  France looking  at my rain alarm

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Heading to London? :unknw: :unknw: :unknw: :unknw: :clapping:

Seem to be NNE direction I'm afraid but very early days.

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Heading to London? :unknw: :unknw: :unknw: :unknw: :clapping:

more  like Essex Kent  and Suffolk at the  moment

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Seem to be NNE direction I'm afraid but very early days.

 

more  like Essex Kent  and Suffolk at the  moment

Never mind! :cray: :cray: :cray: But thanks guys all the same! :)

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One of the sites i visit says Bedford will get rain in 77 minutes. NO lie. Never seen it come up with that before and I found it quite funny. It actually says it can tell you when it will start raining and when it will stop.  :rofl:  :rofl: I will need to get a pic.

Edited by Dami

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One of the sites i visit says Bedford will get rain in 77 minutes. NO lie. Never seen it come up with that before and I found it quite funny. It actually says it can tell you when it will start raining and when it will stop.  :rofl:  :rofl: I will need to get a pic.

Are you timing it? :laugh:

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Are you timing it? :laugh:

Haha nope but this site is, got a screenie of the current ETA.

 

Btw i've seen it before, but can someone PM me how to post pictures? ta.

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What site is this.?

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