Storm and Convective Discussion 10th June Onwards

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Looks possibly good for around the 22nd and again for the end of the month. Eastern and central areas so it seems...

[The PIT]

Met going on about thundery showers moving south tonight. Last nights NMM indicates potential over Scotland but zippo further south. Will need the lastest update though.

[Gordon Webb]

latest forecast by carol kirkwood saying showers will lose their potency as they move south

[William Grimsley]

latest forecast by carol kirkwood saying showers will lose their potency as they move south

And then reinvigorate during the day tomorrow. But, they won't affect you and none of them will be thundery anyway.

[Mokidugway]

Local radio said thunder later this evening ,600 cape and li of - 2 ,but looking at the sky I would be surprised !!!......

[The PIT]

Very little in the way of showery activity looks like the Thundery threat is about zero.

[NUT]

Not sure if it will be thundery or not but there's a shower not very far from me

[Mokidugway]

Some convective cloud over lakes , looks poor though !!....l.

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

I want a stormy outlook to get excited about !!!!

But not too soon because I'm waiting to get my new camera :-)

[SparkleS]

Well thought i would check in cause the sky has gone really black here in leyland and the clouds are coming down from the north and its really humid...not hearing thunder though but really black out there.

[SparkleS]

Still darker and darker and the birds are going bonkers again...anyone got any thunderstorms?

[IanR]

local radio this morning was saying about possible thunder in the isolated downpours in the late evening over the hills,  but cant see anything happening now,  I think we have used up our quota of storm days for a month or two now, possibly  even a year or two  lol 

[Speedway Slider]

This high pressure to the west, is it conducive to aiding thunderstorms? Or could we do with it drifting east over Europe, would that e courage warm air over us from France/Spain? Or is there something else essential missing?

[Mokidugway]

Some convection around , but again I don't think it will amount to much !!.......

Edited June 18, 2014 by Mokidugway

[Liam J]

Certainly a risk of things kicking off later over parts of S Scotland & N England and especially Ireland today. 

 

 

Edited June 18, 2014 by Liam J

[William Grimsley]

Certainly a risk of things kicking off later over parts of S Scotland & N England and especially Ireland today. 

 

 

nmm1.png

You forgot SW England surely.

[TonyH]

He was probably highlighting areas of greatest risk William

[Mokidugway]

Sea mist rolling in on coast , absolute convection killer !!......

[Cakie]

To be fair they did mention a convergence line down in the South West on the local weather a lunchtime.

Just hold off until after the school pick up please!

[William Grimsley]

To be fair they did mention a convergence line down in the South West on the local weather a lunchtime.Just hold off until after the school pick up please!

Hmm well there is no sea breeze here so convergence will probably sit right overhead.

[TonyH]

Heavy shower just developed 25 miles NE of here over mid Powys

[Liam J]

You forgot SW England surely.

I would have said SW England was at a low risk on that chart,  hence why I didn't specifically mention it!

 

Looks like mid Wales could be in for some action as well,  already some showers kicking off. 

Edited June 18, 2014 by Liam J

[William Grimsley]

I would have said SW England was at a low risk on that chart,  hence why I didn't specifically mention it!

 

Looks like mid Wales could be in for some action as well,  already some showers kicking off. 

Yes, it looks like we are at low risk. Clouds are being capped at the moment.

[NUT]

Eastern scotland looking interesting......................

[ancientsolar]

With they would come a little East.. to ye olde valleys!