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Storm and Convective Discussion 10th June Onwards


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Another day and not looking too bad for North of the UK and Northern Ireland. Last chance for those who have missed out for a while.

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Estofex have a level 1 warning out of the centre of the UK (central/northern England), mainly for the risk of organised thunderstorms and tornadoes.

http://www.estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygon/showforecast.cgi?lightningmap=yes&fcstfile=2014061106_201406100031_2_stormforecast.xml

 

Looks like there will be more German webcam viewing tonight, lucky gits.

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Estofex have a level 1 warning out of the centre of the UK (central/northern England), mainly for the risk of organised thunderstorms and tornadoes.

http://www.estofex.org/cgi-bin/polygon/showforecast.cgi?lightningmap=yes&fcstfile=2014061106_201406100031_2_stormforecast.xml

 

Looks like there will be more German webcam viewing tonight, lucky gits.

Sounds promising, already clouds going up around here and looking quite threatening. Time will tell! :)

 

I think Ireland will do well again along with some northern areas of England with the highest risk reserved for more central and eastern areas of the country - Yorkshire and Lincolnshire in particular with the highest levels of SB CAPE & negative lift index. 

Edited by Liam J
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Gorgeous morning here, clear blue skies and looks so settled - last day today for a chance of a big storm. Slap bang in the middle of the level 1, though only the 15% risk of lightning nearby.

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Sunny here. Warming up nicely. Hopefully the flow is more southerly today, as everything missed me Yesterday. Liverpool airport TAF going for heavy thunderstorm hail this afternoon.

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Looks like today will the last day for storms for a while as high pressure looks to be settling things down for the foreseeable future. Hopefully it'll be a good day! :)

Edited by Liam J
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Are the storms going to be mainly in western areas today or is it just anyone's guess?

Could crop anywhere really given the widespread SB CAPE, I think more central and eastern areas may do better with more available energy on offer, lets see how the day pans out! :)

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Well Met office show heavy showers for my area later this afternoon...but I think we will likely be the breeding ground to make storm babies head NE into the area marked level 1 by Estofex.

 

Who knows..I might be lucky if any develop to my SW!

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Yeah I just put it on for today. Should of put it on Friday Night. Kicking myself.

It's cool though. We should have a big storm chasers club.. like they have in USA .. and have a map of all our static and moving livecams. 

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huge towers building all around me, lets hope its 4th day lucky and we get a good storm i feel more confident that i am in the level 1 zone, day off so radar watching if anything kicks off i might have a drive out 

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