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Convective/Storm Discussion for 06/0614 - 07-06-14


A.J

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Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL

The break between the storm is heading directly towards the Midlands, why have I got a bad feeling :/

 

Trust me most models go for a explosion of cells developing I wouldn't worry I expect and hopefully could be a good light show coming up from the south.

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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)

I think it was me who mentioned the line of storms, but I don't think its a true line because they seem to be all over the place at the moment. I think in reality it's just a cluster of storms that are advancing together.

Make your own mind up ?

 

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Posted
  • Location: Westbury wiltshire
  • Location: Westbury wiltshire

Looks brilliant, whats the location?

that is a recording of a storm over lakewood OK usa :) i will stitch to cam when things start fireing off :) so for now its just weather porn :)

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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)

Whats your veiw on this then, Generalelectrix..... if you don't mind :whistling:

 

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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

Frontal wave is forming near Cherbourg and heading almost due north, results likely to be heavy thunderstorm activity by 0400-0700h in south central England, then possibly a reduction in severity as the feature moves north across the Thames valley around 0900-1000h although still quite active, followed by redevelopment due to daytime heating and growing air mass contrast when the wave reaches the central Midlands around 1200h. I continue to expect the most severe storm formation to occur from 1200h-1500h in parts of the East Midlands, south Yorkshire, and counties north of London but would say some chance of including at least northwest greater London and parts of the Thames valley if a trailing bow echo feature develops during this process.

 

Best location in my opinion would be Peterborough to Cambridge.

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Posted
  • Location: Blackwood SE Wales
  • Location: Blackwood SE Wales

that is a recording of a storm over lakewood OK usa :) i will stitch to cam when things start fireing off :) so for now its just weather porn :)

I would set one up myself if my laptop was able to handle my web cam smoothly ~ and I dont have 10 metres of USB extension to reach it to my main PC 

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Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)

Well goodnight to the all nighters, I hope you catch something during the early hours. I'm off to bed now.

Same :good:

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Posted
  • Location: Constance, Germany or Mytchett, Surrey
  • Location: Constance, Germany or Mytchett, Surrey

Thanks@panayiotis, my theory to this is basically the product of some long time observations we have made by Lake Constance, the question being that why in such pre-frontal situations is it that thunderstorms tend to fizzle out on the southern Swiss side, "jump" the lake and then regenerate into violent supercells or multicell clusters which wreak havoc on the northern side of the lake and into Bavaria.

 

The only proper conclusion we have come across is that the blast of cold air from the collapsing thunder cell collects moisture ("lake effect" I think its called), and this causes substantial convective lifting on the northern shore. This is of course surface based. Was just wondering whether the outflow from the french cells can make it across a stretch like the British Channel and spawn further cells in the UK... 

 

Ralph

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Posted
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Sun, Heat, Cold,T/storms via Spanish plumes *rare*
  • Location: Cardiff/Reading Uni

Strike recorded right in the center of Jersey!

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Posted
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunder - not necessarily at the same time!
  • Location: Beverley, E Yorks, 19m ASL

Off to bed too now. Jersey has been struck and that's my cue.

 

Night all: good luck tomorrow!

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Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire

Activity seems to have died down

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Posted
  • Location: Jersey, Channel Islands
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes
  • Location: Jersey, Channel Islands

I feel sorry for the storm lovers in St-Malo! It seems like the storms have just gone right around them, and are now joining up again to whack Jersey.

Absolutely! Lightning every few seconds here now and second rumble of thunder just heard. Very lively indeed
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Posted
  • Location: Bedworth , Warwickshire , 52.475°N 1.477°W
  • Weather Preferences: Dull And Uninteresting Weather
  • Location: Bedworth , Warwickshire , 52.475°N 1.477°W

met office changed their rain forecast now moving north over dorset gloucester way by 5am

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Posted
  • Location: Cowes, Isle of Wight
  • Location: Cowes, Isle of Wight

Very quiet in Cowes.

It's been really breezy all day, and now there's not even a puff of air to move the garden windchimes.

It's warm too.

No sign of any excitement yet.

I'm going to bed - hope that I don't miss anything.

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Posted
  • Location: Warlingham (J6 M25) 175m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Still/Hot or extremes. Fog/Damp etc boring...
  • Location: Warlingham (J6 M25) 175m ASL

Looks like an interesting night this will be :)

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Posted
  • Location: Constance, Germany or Mytchett, Surrey
  • Location: Constance, Germany or Mytchett, Surrey

@ Dancerwithwings: This is a matter of nowcasting and watching the radar. If convection forms north of the system now crossing the Channel it will be outflow triggered  and tapping into surface moisture on the south coast. However if the french storm system itself makes it across then the convection will be elevated. We have to wait a short while to see.

 

Anyway, Have to head home from office, I am in Germany and its 3am, also a bit miffed that Im not in the UK and expect sizzling 3 days here without a hint of a storm, so good luck to all, stay safe and speak tomorrow :)  :)

 

Ralph 

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Posted
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL

Light rain here but relatively large drops. Almost certain I've seen 2 flashes of lightning. Radar suggests it's possible!

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Posted
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL

I knew I wasn't going mad!!!! 5th thunderstorm of the year starting here! What a way to reach 600 posts! :D

 

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Posted
  • Location: Bognor Regis West Sussex
  • Location: Bognor Regis West Sussex

I knew I wasn't going mad!!!! 5th thunderstorm of the year starting here! What a way to reach 600 posts! :D

 

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Just sooooo jealous! Enjoy.

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