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Convective / Storm Discussion - 20th May 2014 onwards


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Yeah I've had another storm but really had high hopes for today, storms nowhere near as widespread as anticipated. Energy diminishing now so not expecting much more activity for the rest of the evening - sorry folks, just looks like bog standard rain showers from the measly looking cold front! 

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Shelf cloud passed through about 20 minutes ago      

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST  Synopsis Upper low and collocated surface low will be anchored to the SW of the UK, with warm moist but unstable southerly flow across the

That one is getting it's act together on radar, not sure if it will survive the travel further North.   Spotted these epic pics on fb earlier - thought they would be a fine sight for some storm st

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the sky looks pretty mental.

 

post-7292-0-09431900-1400617909_thumb.jp

 

Only kidding, can well believe that can see the cloud top temps blooming here http://www.meteo-mc.fr/~meteomc/Images/sat/sat_new_ireu.gif

 

Also the remnant CAPE depicted on the 18z run matches the area of initiation very well. This composite tangerine lines on image are around 800j/kg and some lighter colouring among the RGB severe storm filter indicates convective activity.

post-7292-0-08217800-1400618048_thumb.pn

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Posted Image36947255.jpg

 

Only kidding, can well believe that can see the cloud top temps blooming here http://www.meteo-mc.fr/~meteomc/Images/sat/sat_new_ireu.gif

 

Also the remnant CAPE depicted on the 18z run matches the area of initiation very well. This composite tangerine lines on image are around 800j/kg and some lighter colouring among the RGB severe storm filter indicates convective activity.

spot on that !!....
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I mean it... if this goes out the window, there will be a lot of bad words coming out of my mouth!

 

"Fails"worth may be an apt name :D

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This is a vid of the storms I experienced in July last year while in Dymchurch - I first started watching at about midnight and it was obscenely humid and about 22C still.

Enjoy (not my vid but just something to wet the whistle as we nearer summer)

It gets better from around 11:00 onwards

Edited by Harry
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Well, no queezy tummy today = no lightning today, confirmed.

Even though they scare me to death, I do crave them from time to time....

So to recap, mostly dreary, dank sort of day, occasional breaks when the sun burnt through the gank, Which caused the temp to peak out at 21.2c, but not as humid as yesterday.. then around 19:30 we had a ten minute downpour of warm, big spotted rain, but alas, no electrical activity in it whatsoever!

Leicesters Lightning Shield at full power yet again! Wonder if an import will sneak up to us in the early hours.......???

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Skies darkened very quickly around 9pm leading into a notably early dusk compared to recent nights - however, we've only had a few rumbles of thunder despite the wind picking up markedly.

 

I think we have seen our thundery activity for the evening - still it was a good half hour between 7.30 and 8pm, with some exceptionally heavy rain.

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Thursday looks promising for those after storms...latest models putting CAPE at 1500Jkg-1 plus in some areas. Will be worth watching tomorrow, and seeing what the chief says. Also would not be surprised to see a warning from ESTOFEX. In the meantime, enjoy tomorrow's sun whilst it lasts!

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Thursday looks promising for those after storms...latest models putting CAPE at 1500Jkg-1 plus in some areas. Will be worth watching tomorrow, and seeing what the chief says. Also would not be surprised to see a warning from ESTOFEX. In the meantime, enjoy tomorrow's sun whilst it lasts!

What model is showing that??
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Well I got a weather warning for my area around 11am this morning so I waited, and waited..........and waited..................and waited.....but didn't even see any rain haha

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Well, no queezy tummy today = no lightning today, confirmed.Even though they scare me to death, I do crave them from time to time....So to recap, mostly dreary, dank sort of day, occasional breaks when the sun burnt through the gank, Which caused the temp to peak out at 21.2c, but not as humid as yesterday.. then around 19:30 we had a ten minute downpour of warm, big spotted rain, but alas, no electrical activity in it whatsoever!Leicesters Lightning Shield at full power yet again! Wonder if an import will sneak up to us in the early hours.......???

Very similar here Speedway,we had promising skies around 1800 hrs but these soon drifted over producing a very light shower.Then when taking the dog out at 20.15 we a short sharp shower but nothing more.Seems like the Leicester Shield and Derby Dome will stand for a little longer!!.
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Had a bit of this between about 7.30 and 8pm this evening bubbling away. Nothing spectacular but reasonably defined convection as the sun was heading down.

post-7331-0-44817300-1400621097_thumb.jp

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What a beast ...frequent flashes now.http://www.scheveningenlive.nl/pier-webcam/

To quote my northerly neighbours - well jel!!Having watched the BBC forecast just now, the precip tomorrow night looks wicked :D even if nothing electrical, will be nice to have the window open and listening to the rain :D can only hope for more Edited by Harry
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Well, that was absolutely brilliant. Sky went a nasty peachy colour, then black, and then it started to pour. Cloud to cloud and forked lightning. It started about 9:10 pm and is still rumbling on in the distance. It passed straight overhead my house. I've been that excited I've knackered myself out :yahoo:  :clapping:

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Estofex out for tomorrow and it's having none of it for the UK...heavy rain it is then (hopefully) :D

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I mean it... if this goes out the window, there will be a lot of bad words coming out of my mouth!

Indeed, Thursday looks pretty decent again especially for Central and some Northern parts. However maybe the name of your town may be working against you... :lol:

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Well, that was absolutely brilliant. Sky went a nasty peachy colour, then black, and then it started to pour. Cloud to cloud and forked lightning. It started about 9:10 pm and is still rumbling on in the distance. It passed straight overhead my house. I've been that excited I've knackered myself out :yahoo:  :clapping:

I told you....lol.  Hope you enjoyed your storm....lol

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