Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny, stormy and I don't dislike rain only cold
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia

    Currently in Lowestoft enjoying the sunshine. Heading back to Norwich in a minute. Convection had been seen. A turkey tower or 2.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 1.2k
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Popular Posts

    From earlier. This is about as good as I got due to it being daytime  

    Another one approaching me.   https://forum.netweather.tv/gallery/image/19845-/

    As a 32 Year old, When I see storms heading for me, I'm like a child running between windows , up and downstairs, checking the radars. Grabbing the camera, running again up an downstairs. Jumping up a

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK

    A definite upgrade by GFS tomorrow, widespread LI's of -3 and -4!

    0z: http:////f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_images/tctc91_simplify/attachicon.gif0z.png 6z:http:////f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_images/tctc91_simplify/attachicon.gifukcapeli6z.png

    For Monday the same can be said!

    0z: http:////f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_images/tctc91_simplify/attachicon.gifmon 0z.png 6z: http:////f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_images/tctc91_simplify/attachicon.gifmon 6z.png

    Damn sea breezes stop anything happening here.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites

    12z NMM is looking interesting

     

    Things start stirring on Monday night with heavy pulses of rain moving up across the SW

     

    Posted Image

     

    Things really kick off during Monday as CAPE builds with thunderstorms possibly breaking out widely with further pulses continuing through the night

     

    Posted ImagePosted Image  Posted Image

     

    Even more CAPE builds on Tuesday more heavy and possible thundery rain

     

    Posted Image  Posted Image

     

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coventry,Warwickshire
  • Location: Coventry,Warwickshire

    Think I will be watching for vorticity lobes spinning round the low just off Spain. Some suggestion of approaching vorticity in the early hours of Monday.

     

    WInd's will steer storms from France and Spain towards the UK, so there will always be the chance of just getting the cloudy remnants of their storms.

     

    Low level winds will begin to blow from a south of France direction. These types of wind can be a little low on moisture some times.

     

    Perhaps some chance for mammatus cloud photography , or even a short lived tornado in any lead storm. Later elevated storms can produce some good lightning. There is still a chance of course that nothing will occur storm wise.

    • Like 5
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl
  • Location: Glossop Derbyshire 300m asl

    Looks good stormwise monday through thursday for up here.....hoping sunday takes a turn for the better though.... Bbq and 20 friends coming over....

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Stansted, Essex (72m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Anything apart from grey days
  • Location: Stansted, Essex (72m asl)

    WRF-NMM showing the first high[ish] theta-e plume coming through Monday night, starting at ~19:00, and continuing into Tues morning....

     

    Posted Image

    Edited by poseidon
    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

    WRF-NMM showing the first high[ish] theta-e plume coming through Monday night, starting at ~19:00, and continuing into Tues morning....

     

    Posted Image

    Elevated storms a great possibility hopefully!
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Stansted, Essex (72m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Anything apart from grey days
  • Location: Stansted, Essex (72m asl)
    East_England_Stormchaser91, on 17 May 2014 - 20:36, said:

    Elevated storms a great possibility hopefully!

    Hopefully. Wouldn't lay a bet on it though! Here's the Net Weather storm forecast as well for 21:00

     

    Posted Image

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside

    Next 24 hours should see things firm up. BBC are being very sketchy with forecasting past tomorrow, you can tell that they are not sure what will happen. I heard a forecast a few hours ago that ended with 'next week will see things change quite dramatically'.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Condorrat, Cumbernauld G67
  • Location: Condorrat, Cumbernauld G67

    Hopefully. Wouldn't lay a bet on it though! Here's the Net Weather storm forecast as well for 21:00

     

    Posted Image

     

    I slightly east of the line in the west of scotland we could well just miss out on this but it will be close...................

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL

    Next 24 hours should see things firm up. BBC are being very sketchy with forecasting past tomorrow, you can tell that they are not sure what will happen. I heard a forecast a few hours ago that ended with 'next week will see things change quite dramatically'.

     

    Yeah, I've definitely noticed this too. Weatherview that was on at 1:45 this morning didn't go past Monday morning!

     

    Just had a look at their national forecast on the website, this too going no further than Monday. Great deal of uncertainty from them, without a doubt!

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside

    Yeah, I've definitely noticed this too. Weatherview that was on at 1:45 this morning didn't go past Monday morning!

     

    Just had a look at their national forecast on the website, this too going no further than Monday. Great deal of uncertainty from them, without a doubt!

     

    In a way, this is a good thing, as the forecasting of potential thundery periods is difficult, especially if a lot of the ingredients are showing, as this situation seems to be doing.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire

    I want this to make me as happy as seeing Arsenal winning the FA cup ! :p

    Ha hope it misses you or strikes the cup n it melts :diablo:

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire, England. 108.7m ASL
  • Location: Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire, England. 108.7m ASL

    Few small cumulus clouds developed this afternoon as the temperature hit 24'c in the shade. Only just come in from being in the garden all day, sat in the sun drinking a few beers and had an epic BBQ this evening, feel so bloated now though after eating burgers, hot dogs,spare ribs etc  :pardon:

    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: The Wash - Norfolk side
  • Weather Preferences: Storms storms and more storms
  • Location: The Wash - Norfolk side

    On the face of it this shows all the ingredients in place for an"interesting" afternoon. However, the frontal cloud may prove rather stubborn, resulting in zilch stormwisepost-1428-0-19099800-1400361320_thumb.jp

    Edited by Candice
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Between Sidmouth and Exeter
  • Location: Between Sidmouth and Exeter

    Just watched the BBC forecast on news 24 which went up to 16:00 on Monday with the detailed map, but that showed no sign of any surface based storms/showers anywhere apart from a few showers over the Pennines/ and briefly NW England at 2/3pm, with some possibly thundery presumably elevated stuff in far west Wales/SW England.

     

    post-7593-0-98997800-1400360955_thumb.jp

     

    Seems a little odd to me with the GFS consistently showing charts like this with precip shown breaking out, along with low pressure coming in and slight convergence, but then I guess they have better models/forecasting knowledge.

    Posted Image

     

     

    Unless things kick off later in the afternoon/evening due to a slight cap or something, and the forecast didn't go that far..(GFS does show cape near 1000j/kg is a bit more widespread at 18:00).

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: winscombe north somerset
  • Weather Preferences: action weather
  • Location: winscombe north somerset

    It looks to me that next weeks weather could be headline stuff but as far as present forecasts are concerned the professionals will wait till nearer the time before committing themselves as regards thundery spells and any storms .perhaps tomorrow will see a firming up on next weeks potential from the bbc as they take the Met office guidance and even more so come Monday .its a case of keeping an eye on the Fax charts ,but im fairly confident that given some amount of day time warming we could be on a lucky streak for some ,what a brilliant day ,is this our summer ,or is this just a taster  cheers and lets get some night time rattlers and lightning to read a paper by at night . :yahoo:  :yahoo:

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny, stormy and I don't dislike rain only cold
  • Location: Norwich, Norfolk, East Anglia

    I hope that if storms are likely to be stronger than your average British storm then some warnings are put out in good time.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Home - Bexley, London/Kent border. Work - Cannon Street, C London
  • Location: Home - Bexley, London/Kent border. Work - Cannon Street, C London

    Whenever thunder is forecast long advance it often ends in disappointment - in my experience lastminute.com forecasts are much better :-)

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside

    Just watched the BBC forecast on news 24 which went up to 16:00 on Monday with the detailed map, but that showed no sign of any surface based storms/showers anywhere apart from a few showers over the Pennines/ and briefly NW England at 2/3pm, with some possibly thundery presumably elevated stuff in far west Wales/SW England.

     

    http:////f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_images/tctc91_simplify/attachicon.gifBBC forecast.jpg

     

    Seems a little odd to me with the GFS consistently showing charts like this with precip shown breaking out, along with low pressure coming in and slight convergence, but then I guess they have better models/forecasting knowledge.

    Posted Image

     

     

    Unless things kick off later in the afternoon/evening due to a slight cap or something, and the forecast didn't go that far..(GFS does show cape near 1000j/kg is a bit more widespread at 18:00).

     

    CAPE and LI's are great across the UK, the problem is that the pressure and caps are probably too high away from the SW and Wales, and that's why the rain/storms are so far out west for Monday. 

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.

    I know it's a good 3 days out and will probably alter somewhat, but GFS is keen to develop what looks like a possible MCS feature Wednesday afternoon over France and push it North.

    Some mind boggling CAPE values up to 2000j/kg and LI values of -8 over the area it is progged to form over.

    Edited by East_England_Stormchaser91
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire, England. 108.7m ASL
  • Location: Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire, England. 108.7m ASL

    I feel people are reading to much into the -Li and surface based CAPE charts as regards to storms. With the advection of warm moist air [Theta Plume] what needs to be watched is the MLCAPE values as any storms that form overnight will be high based, or start of as surface based over the continent during daylight hours forming MCS's and move north overnight becoming elevated and being sustained by the theta energy. Im not ruling out surface based home grown storms, but these will all likely be very close to the weather front stalling over the west, and then they will be dependant on any cloud cover clearing allowing insolation during daylight hours.

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summers, cold winters.. How it should be!
  • Location: Douglas, Isle of Man - 380ft/116m ASL

    BBC detailed graphics for Monday were included on their latest national forecast and they sure look juicy. Chunks of green and yellow precipitation moving northwards, along with multiple mentioning of the word 'thunder'!

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    ×
    ×
    • Create New...