Convective / Storm Discussion - 14th May 2014 onwards

[Herefordweather]

All appears to be dying out slowly to me?

[Weather-history]

Why are so many negative ref lack of storms, I mean considering it's still only May I've been happy with the radars today, a good week for storms I think, maybe just a taste of what's to come!

You could have made a similar comment last November about snow and look how that turned out! The last 4 years have been really poor for some parts for the thunder. I sort of can understand a degree of cynicism and pessimism on prospects. And even more so if you miss out in the next a couple of days! Edited May 19, 2014 by Weather-history

[Cyclonic]

I am heading up to Ventnor Downs to see if can catch some lightning shots (i have a chaffeur as not allowed to drive)

[Tam]

We have thunder and lightning now in Bridgwater - happy days

[Harry]

From the satellite imagery, it looks very much like an MCS - seems to have a strong NW shunt, will it be enough to stem NE drift...interesting few hours ahead

[Mokidugway]

Will that MCS over France follow the NWly flow of the Low or will it go off on its own?

proberbly do a sharp right turn and head for Belgium !!...

[lorenzo]

That's Godzilla over France

 

http://www.meteo-mc.fr/~meteomc/Images/sat/sat_new_ireu.gif

[cheese]

You could make a similar comment last November about snow and look how that turned out! The last 4 years have been really poor for some parts for the thunder. I sort of can understand a degree of cynicism and pessimism on prospects. And even more so if you miss out in the next a couple of days!

This is true. It's been a good start to the year with regards to convection for some, but not for everyone. I'll be straight-up honest and say that I'm not happy somewhere else is getting a great thunderstorm - I'm jealous and bitter, lol. If I can't get a thunderstorm, nowhere else can either.

Edited May 19, 2014 by cheese

[Cloud 10]

French monster incoming...

 

 

 

lol Lorenzo!

Edited May 19, 2014 by Cloud 10

[pip22]

That's Godzilla over France

 

http://www.meteo-mc.fr/~meteomc/Images/sat/sat_new_ireu.gif

What a Beast!!

[SteveB]

Cloud 10, on 19 May 2014 - 21:04, said:

French monster incoming...

 

http:////f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_images/tctc91_simplify/attachicon.gifeurope_ir.gif

 

 

lol Lorenzo!

In which direction is that heading?

[Mokidugway]

French monster incoming...

 

europe_ir.gif

absolute classic, fireworks tonight old bean !!!......

[Chris K]

In which direction is that heading?

 

Difficult to tell myself but C/S counties somewhere between Bristol and London is a good shout I reckon - if it keeps going!

 

Although Met office forecasts it to move towards Cornwall and W Country?

Edited May 19, 2014 by Chris K

[Weather-history]

The wind is coming from the NW here, but showers moving NW, is this just the storm outflow, or is it wind shear between surface and elevation?

I notice that and a shelf cloud as well.I think that's it for this area. Nothing obvious in the immediate future by the radar and to be honest it would not surprise we don't get anything tomorrow as well! Edited May 19, 2014 by Weather-history

[samadamsuk]

hey all

Darren that may well be pure sheer - would be nice to see some jetstream charts, but I believe a strong sw at 300mb - for maintenance of that mcs through evening a strongjet is needed, as the trough nudges in things look good. im on the terrace of my golf club near Cirencester with a coffee looking south good luck friends - these nights are priceless

[A.J]

French monster incoming...

 

http:////f1.nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_images/master/attachicon.gifeurope_ir.gif

 

 

lol Lorenzo!

looks like a 30 megaton mushroom!

[AderynCoch]

How far north do you reckon that MCS over France will get? It could be a noisy night for a lot of people!

[SteveB]

Chris K, on 19 May 2014 - 21:07, said:

Difficult to tell myself but C/S counties somewhere between Bristol and London is a good shout I reckon - if it keeps going!

Cheers Chris

[A.J]

hey all :)Darren that may well be pure sheer - would be nice to see some jetstream charts, but I believe a strong sw at 300mb - for maintenance of that mcs through evening a strongjet is needed, as the trough nudges in things look good. im on the terrace of my golf club near Cirencester with a coffee looking south good luck friends - these nights are priceless

20 miles or so south of you Sam, eyes peeled to the south with that pleasant nervous feeling in my stomach!

[chionomaniac]

That's Godzilla over France

 

http://www.meteo-mc.fr/~meteomc/Images/sat/sat_new_ireu.gif

Never underestimate the ability of Godzilla to turn into nothing more than a gecko by the time it reaches our shores!

[DAVID SNOW]

Last one from me, early in  the season and great for some but tonight nothing east of say Oxford at best.

[Cloud 10]

In which direction is that heading?

 

For a United Kingdom near you.  

[Mark -W-s-M]

Lightning now visible in weston super mare just to the south of me.

[A.J]

hey all :)Darren that may well be pure sheer - would be nice to see some jetstream charts, but I believe a strong sw at 300mb - for maintenance of that mcs through evening a strongjet is needed, as the trough nudges in things look good. im on the terrace of my golf club near Cirencester with a coffee looking south good luck friends - these nights are priceless

here you go, NMM12z hi-res run.......300hpa winds for midnight, they stay mainly SE through the period

 

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

Just looked at the radar and nearly had a heart attack! Has someone moved things back to the 90's or am i hallucinating! An actual MCS that is heading directly North!!!!!!!