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Convective / Storm Discussion - 14th May 2014 onwards

Jane Louise
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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted (edited)

Pretty exciting stuff from Estofex this morning:

 

post-2719-0-59379300-1400477854_thumb.pn

 

A level 1 was issued for parts of UK mainly for excessive rain and an isolated tornado/large hail event.

 

For UK: Scattered and early CI is forecast. Initial storms may produce a few large hail events, strong wind gust and an isolated tornado. Betimes, clustering storms may cause heavy to isolated excessive rain due to PWs of more than 20 mm and slow storm motions. 

Thunderstorms continue during the night next to the synoptic front over W-France. Elevated and weakening clusters however may spread all the way to Benelux until 06Z. 

 

www.estofex.org

Edited by Supacell
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Gord Rising Star

Gord

Posted
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
  • Location: Upper Gornal, Dudley, 205m asl
Posted

Seems to be a developing cell near Wolverhampton.

A few spots of rain and getting increasingly gloomy here.
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SalopWatcher Enthusiast

SalopWatcher

Posted
  • Location: Shrewsbury
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow, Floods...
  • Location: Shrewsbury
Posted

Got a isolated cell about to cross over town, no sferics but be nice to get a drop of rain. Showers developing over brum/wolves look interesting.

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Shane Wheeldon Explorer

Shane Wheeldon

Posted
  • Location: Telford
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstoms cant remember what one is tho!
  • Location: Telford
Posted

Looks like its all its all going to kick off while I'm at work typical too 1st day back after 2 months off sick! Boooooo lol!

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DeepSnow Community Regular

DeepSnow

Posted
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy Winters, warm stormy spring & sumemr, cool frosty Autumn!
  • Location: Barry, South Wales (40M/131ft asl)
Posted

Had just mainly distant thunder from that storm here in Aberystwyth right till the end just as it was saying good bye it gave a bright flash and what sounded like a small atom bomb going off for thunder!

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William Grimsley Seasoned

William Grimsley

Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
Posted

What a night. I was woken up at 02:45 by thunder and then for about 15 minutes there was frequent thunder and lightning to the SW. Though, no rain fell, here.

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted

ELT's of -55c forecast for tomorrow on GFS  :shok:

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William Grimsley Seasoned

William Grimsley

Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
Posted

ELT's of -55c forecast for tomorrow on GFS  :shok:

Holy smokes!

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William Grimsley Seasoned

William Grimsley

Posted
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Snow, High Winds.
  • Location: Newton Poppleford, Devon, UK
Posted

A lot of altocumulus castellanus clouds are covering the sky to the NE, ENE, E, ESE and SE of, here.

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Ben Sainsbury Accomplished

Ben Sainsbury

Posted
  • Location: Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Snowstorms
  • Location: Bristol
Posted

Imports tonight suggested?

By the looks of things that could indeed happen across more Central Southern areas.

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East_England_Stormchaser91 Veteran

East_England_Stormchaser91

Posted
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Thundery, Cold and Snowy
  • Location: King’s Lynn, Norfolk.
Posted

Things certainly looking very interesting indeed. Hats off to all the models on this one. They've all done a good job calling this, especially GEM which first spotted this really!

Glad some people have had their first bit of action already, but my god, I think we may see a MCS develop at some stage over the continent this week the way things are going.

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Chris.R Maestro

Chris.R

Posted
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Pemberton, Wigan, 54 M ASL. 53.53,-2.67
Posted

The temp is rocketing like an over-stimulated helium balloon. 13.7°. Sunny but very humid. It's going to be a hot one today. I think I am in a good place for some action today.

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

A huge difference between the GFS forecast for here and the met office. Carole K dry and warm once early showers have moved away GFS Thundery showers. GFS cape LI look very good today and again tomorrow. I guess it's acase of wait and see.

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Ǝssex Ǝasterly Seasoned

Ǝssex Ǝasterly

Posted
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Snow events / Wind storms
  • Location: Benfleet, Essex
Posted

Sky has cleared here and temps have responded, 19.6c and climbing, will have some good surface warming today!

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Harry Accomplished

Harry

Posted
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Bexley (home), C London (work)
Posted (edited)

The BBC seem to be frightened to mention the T word in their recent forecasts!

 

I think its fair to say they got burned a few times last year, speaking days in advance of big thunderstorms with little materialising.

 

I think to be fair they are playing it safe and rightly so...I'd sooner them mention the 't' word 12 hours in advance and be right, than 48-72 hours in advance and be wrong.

 

Incidentally a stunning start to the day here, notably more humid feeling today than yesterday and temperature rocketing.

 

Wouldn't say UKMO is ruling much out to be honest - if you run the forecast 'radar' for the next 24 hours you can see swathes of both home grown precip and imported French stuff.

Edited by Harry
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paul m Aficionado

paul m

Posted
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and thunderstorms
  • Location: Morley, Leeds West Yorkshire
Posted

If it happens today it will be a bonus. For those who do get them enjoy and upload those photos..

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Darren Bown Community Regular

Darren Bown

Posted
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
  • Location: Newton-le-Willows, Warrington, Merseyside
Posted

Rain in Birchwood, Cheshire, no report of thunder from a relative. Beautiful sunny skies in Surrey today!

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